Kocaelispor vs Göztepe Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
İsmetpaşa Stadyumu Tomorrow - 2:00 PM
Super Lig
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
Versus
Göztepe GOZ
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 2:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Kocaelispor host Göztepe in Super Lig (Regular Season) at İsmetpaşa Stadyumu. Domestically, Kocaelispor sit 9th in the table while Göztepe are 6th. Power ranking favours Göztepe by 0.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Göztepe enters as the marginally stronger team with a 0.1-point power advantage (21.31 vs Kocaelispor's 21.24) and higher league position (6th vs 9th).
  • Form: Kocaelispor holds a superior form score of 11.56 compared to Göztepe's 10.06.
  • Squad: Squad strength appears near-parity based on power scores, with no detailed lineups available.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance data unavailable due to low confidence, proxy usage, and absent xG.
  • xVariable: xVariable statistics not available for this fixture.
  • Market: Kocaelispor 33.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 31.2% (Δ+0%) | Göztepe 35% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Kocaelispor S. İnan
S. İnan
VS
Göztepe S. Stoilov
S. Stoilov
1.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Galatasaray Rank: D
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: D
Alanyaspor Rank: L
Konyaspor Rank: L
Eyüpspor Rank: W
Beşiktaş Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kasımpaşa Rank: D
Galatasaray Rank: L
Gençlerbirliği Rank: W
Alanyaspor Rank: D
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: L
Eyüpspor Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kocaelispor
33.72%
Draw
31.24%
Away Göztepe
35.04%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.24
21.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kocaelispor
Göztepe
Power Score
21.24
21.31
League Position
9
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Kocaelispor Opponent-weighted form score
Göztepe Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kocaelispor Göztepe

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kocaelispor Kocaelispor Home
1 matches
Göztepe GOZ Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T00:09:05+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
S. Öztaşdelen
83 S. Öztaşdelen
A. Oğuz
22 A. Oğuz
A. Dijksteel
2 A. Dijksteel
H. Smolčić
6 H. Smolčić
R. Rivas Vindel
99 R. Rivas Vindel
M. Susoho
20 M. Susoho
M. Da Silva Cafumana
14 M. Da Silva Cafumana
H. Keita
8 H. Keita
D. Agyei
7 D. Agyei
S. Dursun
19 S. Dursun
J. Nonge Boende
98 J. Nonge Boende
M. Lis
1 M. Lis
M. Mputu
26 M. Mputu
H. dos Santos
5 H. dos Santos
A. Godói Santos
3 A. Godói Santos
M. Cherni
15 M. Cherni
N. Dismas
20 N. Dismas
A. Dennis
30 A. Dennis
A. Kurtulan
2 A. Kurtulan
E. Bekiroglu
11 E. Bekiroglu
Juan
9 Juan
J. de Carvalho Costa
39 J. de Carvalho Costa

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
İsmetpaşa Stadyumu
Capacity
34829
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

83
Serhat Öztaşdelen
Serhat Öztaşdelen Goalkeeper
7.33
98
Joseph Nonge
Joseph Nonge Attacker
6.56
7
Dan Agyei
Dan Agyei Attacker
6.58
19
Serdar Dursun
Serdar Dursun Centre Forward
6.76
99
Rigoberto Rivas
Rigoberto Rivas Left Back
6.55
20
Mahamadou Susoho
Mahamadou Susoho Central Midfield
6.56
22
Ahmet Oğuz
Ahmet Oğuz Right Back
6.98
2
Anfernee Dijksteel
Anfernee Dijksteel Right Back
6.67
6
Hrvoje Smolcic
Hrvoje Smolcic Left Back
7.01
8
Habib Keïta
Habib Keïta Central Midfield
6.78
14
Show
Show Central Midfield
6.83

Starting XI

1
Mateusz Lis
Mateusz Lis Goalkeeper
6.91
2
Arda Okan Kurtulan
Arda Okan Kurtulan Midfielder
6.8
15
Amin Cherni
Amin Cherni Midfielder
6.76
9
Juan
Juan Attacker
7.05
39
Janderson
Janderson Attacker
6.74
3
Allan Godói
Allan Godói Right Back
6.89
11
Efkan Bekiroğlu
Efkan Bekiroğlu Attacking Midfield
6.87
20
Novatus Miroshi
Novatus Miroshi Central Midfield
6.77
30
Anthony Dennis
Anthony Dennis Central Midfield
6.79
5
Héliton
Héliton Centre Back
6.89
26
Malcom Bokele
Malcom Bokele Left Back
6.73

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Göztepe holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Göztepe a 0.1-point edge. External projection is Kocaelispor 33.7%, draw 31.2%, and Göztepe 35%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.