Sandefjord vs Rosenborg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Komplett Arena Tomorrow - 2:00 PM
Eliteserien
Sandefjord Sandefjord
Versus
Rosenborg Rosenborg
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 2:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sandefjord host Rosenborg in Eliteserien (Regular Season) at Komplett Arena. Domestically, Sandefjord sit 7th in the table while Rosenborg are 13th. Power ranking favours Sandefjord by 8.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sandefjord holds a 8.7-point power advantage over Rosenborg and sits higher at 7th versus 13th in the Eliteserien.
  • Form: Sandefjord's form score of 14.58 exceeds Rosenborg's 10.42.
  • Squad: Sandefjord's squad power rated at 26.72 dwarfs Rosenborg's 18.01.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data unavailable due to lack of xG with low confidence proxy used.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not available for this fixture.
  • Market: Projection split: Sandefjord 47.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.9% (Δ+0%) | Rosenborg 27.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sandefjord A. Tegström
A. Tegström
VS
Rosenborg A. Johansson
A. Johansson
1.82
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brann Rank: W
KFUM Rank: W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: L
Vålerenga Rank: L
KFUM Rank: W
Strømsgodset Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: W
Tromsø Rank: L
Vålerenga Rank: L
Molde Rank: L
Strømsgodset Rank: W
Tromsø Rank: L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 5 - 19
19
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sandefjord
47.58%
Draw
24.91%
Away Rosenborg
27.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.72
18.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
Power Score
26.72
18.01
League Position
7
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sandefjord — Opponent-weighted form score
Rosenborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sandefjord Rosenborg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 26 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sandefjord Sandefjord Home
26 matches
Rosenborg Rosenborg Away
Match Record
2
Wins
19
5
Draws
5
19
Losses
2
Goals
21
Goals Scored
59
59
Goals Conceded
21
-38
Goal Difference
+38
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T00:09:12+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
E. Hadaya
30 E. Hadaya
F. Pedersen
4 F. Pedersen
Z. Smajlovic
2 Z. Smajlovic
X. Lambrix
44 X. Lambrix
V. Walle Egeli
3 V. Walle Egeli
E. Sundbö Pettersen
14 E. Sundbö Pettersen
S. Mørk
6 S. Mørk
B. Berntsen
19 B. Berntsen
J. Vester Nielsen
37 J. Vester Nielsen
J. Dunsby
27 J. Dunsby
N. Moller
11 N. Moller
L. Wahlstedt
1 L. Wahlstedt
T. Solheim Dahl
3 T. Solheim Dahl
H. Røsten
2 H. Røsten
T. Nemčík
21 T. Nemčík
J. Søgaard Mortensen
15 J. Søgaard Mortensen
E. Ceide
35 E. Ceide
O. Selnæs
10 O. Selnæs
I. Fossum
8 I. Fossum
S. Nordli
7 S. Nordli
A. Chiakha
18 A. Chiakha
M. Bomholt
17 M. Bomholt

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium
Komplett Arena
Capacity
6582
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marius Hansen Grøtta

Expected Lineup

Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI ▼

30
Elias Hadaya
Elias Hadaya Goalkeeper
6.88
11
Nikolaj Möller
Nikolaj Möller Centre Forward
6.68
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Fredrik Carson Pedersen Right Back
6.62
6
Sander Risan Mørk
Sander Risan Mørk Defensive Midfield
7.13
19
Bendik Berntsen
Bendik Berntsen Right Wing
6.64
2
Zinedin Smajlović
Zinedin Smajlović Right Back
7.34
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
Vetle Walle Egeli Left Back
6.9
14
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen Defensive Midfield
6.63
27
Jakob Dunsby
Jakob Dunsby Left Wing
6.59
37
Jakob Vester
Jakob Vester Attacking Midfield
7.06
44
Xander Lambrix
Xander Lambrix Left Back
6.88
Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI ▼

1
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt Goalkeeper
6.66
7
Simen Bolkan Nordli
Simen Bolkan Nordli Midfielder
7.36
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Emil Konradsen Ceide Midfielder
6.62
17
Mads Bomholt
Mads Bomholt Attacker
6.89
18
Amin Chiakha
Amin Chiakha Attacker
6.27
2
Håkon Røsten
Håkon Røsten Left Back
6.83
3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
Tobias Solheim Dahl Left Back
6.69
8
Iver Fossum
Iver Fossum Central Midfield
6.67
10
Ole Selnæs
Ole Selnæs Central Midfield
6.94
21
Tomas Nemcik
Tomas Nemcik Right Back
6.6
15
Jonas Mortensen
Jonas Mortensen Right Back
7.2

CONCLUSION

Sandefjord enters as clear favorites, leveraging superior power, form, and league standing against a struggling Rosenborg. The 8.7-point edge and home advantage at Komplett Arena position the hosts to control proceedings. While data gaps on set pieces and efficiency limit deeper insights, the structural narrative favors Sandefjord securing vital points. Rosenborg must find resilience to counter this mismatch, but projections align with a home victory in this Eliteserien encounter.

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