Antwerp vs OH Leuven Match Preview, Stats & Prediction

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium

Bosuilstadion Sat, 18 Apr - 2:00 PM

Pro League

Antwerp ANT

OH Leuven OHL

Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 2:00 PM

Round 3 Conference League Play-off Group

Youssef Hamdaoui - 89'

Xander Dierckx - 51'

Óscar Gil 28'

Birger Verstraete 73'

CONTEXT

Antwerp claimed a 2-0 home win against OH Leuven in a match that remained goalless at halftime with both teams level. Antwerp controlled 56% of possession throughout, reflecting their status as the stronger side. The second half saw OH Leuven reduced to nine men after two red cards, enabling Antwerp to capitalize with both goals post-interval. This outcome showed minimal structural deviation of 5.4% in Antwerp's favor, aligning closely with pre-match market expectations where Antwerp was heavily favored. Efficiency metrics remained in line with anticipated performance levels. The red card events introduced significant distortion, particularly influencing second-half dynamics and preventing any potential upset. No xG data was available for deeper chance quality analysis, but the possession edge and disciplinary issues underscored Antwerp's dominance. The result reinforces Antwerp's structural superiority without major surprises.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured minimal at 5.4% favoring Antwerp.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed as true.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to unavailable data.
Event impact: Two red cards for OH Leuven altered second-half flow.
Red card distortion: Red card distortion evident from OH Leuven's two dismissals.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

B. Put

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

W. Cochet

2nd Assistant

A. De Beuckelaer

4th Official

B. Bijnens

1st Assistant

J. Oosting

F. Mazzù

1.09

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.23

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

5 - 5 - 2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Antwerp

94.6%

Draw

5.08%

OH Leuven

0.32%

Team Power Ranking

20.03

19.53

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Antwerp

OH Leuven

Power Score

20.03

19.53

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Antwerp — Opponent-weighted form score

OH Leuven — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Antwerp OH Leuven

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Antwerp

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

OH Leuven

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Antwerp ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy OH Leuven

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

46.88

14.89

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

14.89

46.88

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Antwerp +3.04 Efficiency Index

OH Leuven -3.04 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Antwerp

OH Leuven

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Antwerp ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy OH Leuven

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Antwerp OH Leuven

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Antwerp OH Leuven

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Antwerp

OH Leuven

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Antwerp

OH Leuven

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Antwerp OH Leuven

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Antwerp OH Leuven

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Antwerp

OH Leuven

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

ANT had peak pressure around 81'.
ANT started the game with stronger pressure.

ANT Pressure OHL Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: ANT reached the top pressure at 81' (87.74).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Antwerp ANT Home

12 matches

OH Leuven OHL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-4

Expected Goals

0.24

1.89

xGA

0.24

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:05:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2

Match Formation 3-4-3

41 T. Nozawa

33 Z. Van Den Bosch

4 Y. Tsunashima

5 D. Foulon

14 A. Valencia

78 Xander Dierckx

8 D. Praet

22 F. Adekami

30 C. Scott

18 V. Janssen

7 G. Kerk

1 T. Leysen

5 T. Ominami

34 R. Nyakossi

28 E. Pletinckx

14 H. Teklab

6 W. George

4 B. Verstraete

27 Ó. Gil Regaño

10 Y. Maziz

39 S. Kaba

7 T. Verlinden

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 18, 2026, 02:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 3 · Conference League Play-off Group

Stadium :

Bosuilstadion

Capacity :

16649

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Bert Put

Wouter Cochet

Arne De Beuckelaer

Bryan Bijnens

Statistics

Possession

ANT

56%

OHL

44%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0

5 Big Chances Created 0

9 Shots 2

65 Dangerous attacks 31

56 Possession 44

11 Corners 2

13 Free kicks 16

2 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 2

Match Overview

11 Successful Dribbles 6

78 Ball Safe 92

3 Injuries 2

27 Throwins 14

26 Dribble Attempts 14

3 Goal Kicks 10

11 Goal Attempts 3

42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43

2 Assists 0

2 Substitutions 5

Attacking

105 Attacks 60

3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

65 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

302 Successful Passes 222

84 Successful Passes Percentage 75

46 Long Passes 63

30 Successful Long Passes 29

361 Passes 295

18 Key Passes 5

Defensive

5 Interceptions 15

53 Duels Won 65

2 Saves 4

22 Tackles 29

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 8

10 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

16 Fouls 13

7 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Bert Put

Manager ▼

J. Oosting Coach

Starting XI ▼

Taishi Brandon Nozawa Goalkeeper

Yuto Tsunashima Defender

6.87

Daam Foulon Defender

6.77

Zeno Van Den Bosch Defender

6.83

Dennis Praet Midfielder

6.89

Anthony Valencia Midfielder

6.88

Farouck Adekami Midfielder

6.86

Eran Tuypens

Defender86'

6.42

Xander Dierckx Midfielder

6.22

Youssef Hamdaoui

Midfielder79'

6.67

Gyrano Kerk Attacker

6.77

Vincent Janssen Attacker

7.05

Christopher Scott Attacker

6.87

Substitutes ▼

Youssef Hamdaoui

Midfielder79'

6.67

Eran Tuypens

Defender86'

6.42

Bench ▼

Yannick Thoelen Goalkeeper

7.08

Rein Van Helden Defender

6.94

G. Bijl Defender

6.81

Kiki Kouyaté Defender

6.93

Andreas Verstraeten Midfielder

6.68

Marwan Alsahafi Attacker

6.58

Thibo Somers Attacker

6.97

Referee : Bert Put