Palermo vs Cesena Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Renzo Barbera Tomorrow - 3:15 PM
Serie B
Palermo PAL
Versus
Cesena CES
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 3:15 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Palermo welcome Cesena to Stadio Renzo Barbera for a Serie B regular season fixture in 2025/2026. Sitting fourth in the table, the hosts boast a power score of 31.54, eclipsing Cesena's 21.39 by 10.2 points, marking them as the stronger side. Form favors Palermo too, with a 25.89 rating against the visitors' 17.78, reflecting consistent performances. Cesena lurk in eighth, needing to bridge the gap on the road. Limited advanced metrics available, but Palermo's structural edge positions them to control possession and chances. Expect the Rosanero to press their home advantage in this mid-table tussle, where defensive solidity could prove decisive.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Palermo hold a 10.2-point power advantage and sit higher in fourth place versus Cesena's eighth.
  • Form: Palermo's form score of 25.89 surpasses Cesena's 17.78.
  • Squad: Palermo's squad power rates at 31.54, ahead of Cesena's 21.39.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available.
  • Transition: No transition play data provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not available.
  • Market: Palermo 60.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.9% (Δ+0%) | Cesena 16.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Palermo F. Inzaghi
F. Inzaghi
VS
Cesena A. Cole
A. Cole
1.85
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.22
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Frosinone Rank: D
Avellino Rank: W
Calcio Padova Rank: W
Juve Stabia Rank: D
Monza Rank: L
Carrarese Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juve Stabia Rank: L
Südtirol Rank: D
Catanzaro Rank: W
Mantova Rank: L
Frosinone Rank: D
Modena Rank: D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 8 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Palermo
60.51%
Draw
22.87%
Away Cesena
16.61%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.54
21.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Palermo
Cesena
Power Score
31.54
21.39
League Position
4
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Palermo — Opponent-weighted form score
Cesena — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Palermo Cesena

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Palermo PAL Home
13 matches
Cesena CES Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
8
Draws
8
2
Losses
3
Goals
13
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
13
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T00:10:01+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Gomis
1 A. Gomis
N. Pierozzi
27 N. Pierozzi
M. Bani
13 M. Bani
P. Ceccaroni
32 P. Ceccaroni
R. Muati Modesto
18 R. Muati Modesto
A. Palumbo
5 A. Palumbo
F. Ranocchia
10 F. Ranocchia
J. Segre
8 J. Segre
T. Augello
3 T. Augello
J. Le Douaron
21 J. Le Douaron
J. Pohjanpalo
20 J. Pohjanpalo
J. Klinsmann
33 J. Klinsmann
G. Frabotta
99 G. Frabotta
M. Piacentini
26 M. Piacentini
G. Zaro
19 G. Zaro
A. Ciofi
15 A. Ciofi
D. Bisoli
25 D. Bisoli
S. Bastoni
10 S. Bastoni
C. Shpendi
9 C. Shpendi
T. Berti
14 T. Berti
R. Ciervo
11 R. Ciervo
A. Cerri
7 A. Cerri

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Capacity
36365
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Giuseppe Collu
Paolo Bitonti
Gioiele Iacobellis
Francesco Luciani

Expected Lineup

Referee : Giuseppe Collu

Starting XI ▼

1
Alfred Gomis
Alfred Gomis Goalkeeper
6.42
18
Rui Modesto
Rui Modesto Midfielder
5.97
3
Tommaso Augello
Tommaso Augello Midfielder
7.09
20
Joel Pohjanpalo
Joel Pohjanpalo Attacker
7.18
21
Jérémy Le Douaron
Jérémy Le Douaron Attacker
6.72
13
Mattia Bani
Mattia Bani Centre Back
7.21
5
Antonio Palumbo
Antonio Palumbo Central Midfield
7.18
8
Jacopo Segre
Jacopo Segre Central Midfield
6.86
10
Filippo Ranocchia
Filippo Ranocchia Central Midfield
7.3
32
Pietro Ceccaroni
Pietro Ceccaroni Left Back
7.03
27
Niccolò Pierozzi
Niccolò Pierozzi Right Back
6.91
Referee : Giuseppe Collu

Starting XI ▼

33
Jonathan Klinsmann
Jonathan Klinsmann Goalkeeper
6.66
7
Alberto Cerri
Alberto Cerri Centre Forward
7.09
15
Andrea Ciofi
Andrea Ciofi Right Back
6.8
99
Gianluca Frabotta
Gianluca Frabotta Left Back
6.94
25
Dimitri Bisoli
Dimitri Bisoli Defensive Midfield
6.8
26
Matteo Piacentini
Matteo Piacentini Left Back
6.65
10
Simone Bastoni
Simone Bastoni Defensive Midfield
6.66
14
Tommaso Berti
Tommaso Berti Attacking Midfield
7.04
9
Cristian Shpendi
Cristian Shpendi Left Wing
6.73
11
Riccardo Ciervo
Riccardo Ciervo Right Wing
6.88
19
Giovanni Zaro
Giovanni Zaro Right Back
7.04

CONCLUSION

Palermo enter as clear favorites, leveraging their superior power, form, and home turf to target all three points against Cesena. The 10.2-point edge underscores their structural dominance, likely translating to control in midfield and forward areas. Cesena must disrupt early to counter the hosts' momentum, but Palermo's higher league standing suggests resilience. Without advanced set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus falls on basic execution—Palermo's attack should capitalize on opportunities. A routine victory looms for the Rosanero in this Serie B encounter.

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