Górnik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Arena Zabrze
Sat, 18 Apr - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Górnik Zabrze
Górnik Zabrze
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
KICKOFF :
Sat, 18 Apr - 3:30 PM
Round 29 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 16
CONTEXT
Fourth placed Górnik Zabrze host Korona Kielce at Arena Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa Regular Season. Possessing a power advantage of 5.9 points, the home team looks well-equipped to secure a favorable result against their opponents who sit in tenth position. Form scores favor the hosts at 50 to 38.89, reflecting their stronger recent performances. Notably, Górnik secured a draw in their last away fixture against Legia Warszawa, mirroring Korona Kielce's home draw versus Jagiellonia Białystok. With league standings indicating clear separation, this match represents a chance for the stronger side to extend their positive run. Tactical battles and individual brilliance could define the ninety minutes as both squads strive for maximum points in the 2025/2026 campaign. Home support at the venue will play a vital role in pushing Górnik Zabrze towards victory in this important fixture.
TL;DR
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Structural: Fourth-placed hosts welcome tenth-placed visitors to Arena Zabrze with a 5.9 power score edge favoring the home side.
-
Form: Górnik Zabrze show W2 D3 L1 while Korona Kielce manage W2 D1 L3 across recent matches, both arriving after draws.
-
Squad: Current rosters suggest no significant disruptions for either side, allowing focus on tactical execution and key player contributions.
-
Efficiency: Limited efficiency data points to proxy-based assessments with low confidence levels across attacking and defensive metrics.
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Transition: Seamless play shifts characterize Górnik's style, contrasting Korona's more deliberate approach from back to front.
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Set pieces: Set piece reliance displays low confidence due to unavailable advanced metrics, relying instead on proxy evaluations for both teams.
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xVariable: Advanced variables indicate a structural home advantage though specific insights remain unavailable at present.
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Market: Baseline split: Górnik Zabrze 50.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.6% (Δ+0%) | Korona Kielce 22.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
M. Gašparík
VS
J. Zielinski
1.24
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.12
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Legia Warszawa
Rank:
D
Cracovia Kraków
Rank:
W
Widzew Lodz
Rank:
D
Raków Częstochowa
Rank:
W
Motor Lublin
Rank:
D
Katowice
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Jagiellonia Białystok
Rank:
D
Lechia Gdańsk
Rank:
L
Arka Gdynia
Rank:
W
Pogoń Szczecin
Rank:
L
Nieciecza
Rank:
W
Motor Lublin
Rank:
L
11
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 13 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Górnik Zabrze
50.68%
Draw
26.55%
Korona Kielce
22.77%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.12
20.19
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Górnik Zabrze
Korona Kielce
Power Score
26.12
20.19
League Position
4
10
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Górnik Zabrze
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Korona Kielce
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Górnik Zabrze Korona Kielce
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Górnik Zabrze
Górnik Zabrze
Home
35
matches
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Away
Match Record
11
Wins
11
13
Draws
13
11
Losses
11
Goals
50
Goals Scored
49
49
Goals Conceded
50
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:16:09+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
1 M. Łubik
61 M. Sáček
26 R. Janicki
4 P. Bochniewicz
64 E. Janža
13 L. Sadílek
8 P. Hellebrand
18 L. Ambros
33 M. Khlan
23 S. Liseth
67 O. Zmrzlý
1 X. Dziekonski
6 M. Pieczek
5 P. Resta Tell
23 S. Rubežić
3 K. Matuszewski
88 T. Svetlin
8 M. Remacle
71 W. Długosz
7 D. Błanik
14 M. Stępiński
9 S. Davidović
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Zabrze
Capacity
24413
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Górnik Zabrze
vs
Jagiellonia Białystok
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Fri, 24 Apr - 6:30 PM
Venue: Stadion Miejski
Korona Kielce
vs
Katowice
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 12:45 PM
Venue: Exbud Arena
Expected Lineup
Manager ▼
M. Gašparík
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Marcel Lubik
Goalkeeper
6.58 23
Sondre Liseth
Centre Forward
6.94 33
Maksym Khlan
Attacker
6.97 67
Ondrej Zmrzly
Attacker
6.44 18
Lukas Ambros
Central Midfield
6.9 26
Rafal Janicki
Right Back
6.98 8
Patrik Hellebrand
Central Midfield
7.33 13
Lukas Sadilek
Central Midfield
7.15 61
Michal Sacek
Right Back
6.74 64
Erik Janza
Left Back
7.13 4
Pawel Bochniewicz
Left Back
6.87 Substitutes ▼
16
Pawel Olkowski
6.84 17
Kamil Lukoszek
6.77 20
Josema
6.86 28
Bastien Donio
6.6 14
Jaroslaw Kubicki
7.03 15
Roberto Massimo
6.5 21
Mathias Dahl Sauer
6.5 36
Michal Rakoczy
6.5 10
Lukas Podolski
6.56 5
Kryspin Szczesniak
6.69 7
Yvan Ikia Dimi
6.54 77
Borislav Rupanov
6.65 99
Tomasz Loska
5.27 Manager ▼
J. Zielinski
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Xavier Dziekonski
Goalkeeper
6.94 3
Konrad Matuszewski
Midfielder
6.95 71
Wiktor Dlugosz
Midfielder
6.93 7
Dawid Blanik
Attacker
7.23 9
Stjepan Davidovic
Attacker
6.74 14
Mariusz Stepinski
Centre Forward
6.96 23
Slobodan Rubezic
Right Back
6.81 5
Pau Resta
Centre Back
7.07 8
Martin Remacle
Central Midfield
6.92 88
Tamar Svetlin
Central Midfield
6.91 6
Marcel Pieczek
Left Back
6.85 Substitutes ▼
19
Adam Hańćko
6.24 21
Konrad Ciszek
6.51 37
Hubert Zwozny
6.51 44
Konstantinos Sotiriou
6.97 10
Nono
6.61 11
Vladimir Nikolov
6.54 70
Antoñín
6.7 77
Marcin Cebula
6.44 89
Simon Gustafson
6.51 87
Rafal Mamla
6.73 24
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk
6.76 26
Viktor Popov
6.55 CONCLUSION
Analysis reveals Górnik Zabrze as the more likely to prevail given their superior positioning and form metrics. Korona Kielce must improve their away record if they hope to claim points from this challenging trip. Several key matchups across the pitch will influence the flow of play significantly. Despite the data favoring the hosts, football remains unpredictable and the visitors could capitalize on any complacency. Continued emphasis on defensive solidity from the away side may limit opportunities for the home attackers. As the season unfolds further, such matches become crucial for accumulating points and improving standings. Expect an engaging contest where determination meets skill at Arena Zabrze.