Westerlo vs Genk Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Het Kuipje Tomorrow - 4:15 PM
Pro League
Westerlo KVC
Versus
Genk GNK
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 4:15 PM
Round 3 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Westerlo host Genk in Pro League (Conference League Play-off Group) at Het Kuipje. Domestically, Westerlo sit 9th in the table while Genk are 7th. Power ranking favours Westerlo by 1.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Westerlo holds a 1.9-point power advantage over Genk with scores of 27.23 to 25.29.
  • Form: Westerlo's form score of 27.94 far exceeds Genk's 13.28.
  • Squad: Westerlo ranks 9th and Genk 7th in the Pro League standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable with low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Baseline split: Westerlo 35.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.2% (Δ+0%) | Genk 38.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Westerlo I. Charai
I. Charai
VS
Genk N. Hayen
N. Hayen
1.45
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.45
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Standard Liège Rank: W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: W
Standard Liège Rank: D
Club Brugge Rank: L
OH Leuven Rank: W
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
OH Leuven Rank: D
Antwerp Rank: W
La Louvière Rank: D
Sint-Truiden Rank: W
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: L
Gent Rank: W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 8 - 17
17
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Westerlo
35.36%
Draw
26.18%
Away Genk
38.46%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
27.23
25.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Westerlo
Genk
Power Score
27.23
25.29
League Position
9
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Westerlo — Opponent-weighted form score
Genk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Westerlo Genk

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Westerlo KVC Home
30 matches
Genk GNK Away
Match Record
5
Wins
17
8
Draws
8
17
Losses
5
Goals
30
Goals Scored
53
53
Goals Conceded
30
-23
Goal Difference
+23
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T02:07:18+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
A. Jungdal
99 A. Jungdal
B. Reynolds
22 B. Reynolds
E. Bayram
40 E. Bayram
R. Neustädter
33 R. Neustädter
A. Lapage
4 A. Lapage
D. Haspolat
34 D. Haspolat
A. Piedfort
46 A. Piedfort
S. Saito
38 S. Saito
I. Sakamoto
13 I. Sakamoto
J. Alcócer
77 J. Alcócer
I. Ferri Julià
90 I. Ferri Julià
L. Kiaba Mounganga
28 L. Kiaba Mounganga
M. Smets
6 M. Smets
M. Sadick Aliu
3 M. Sadick Aliu
J. Ndenge Kongolo
44 J. Ndenge Kongolo
Z. El Ouahdi
77 Z. El Ouahdi
I. Bangoura
21 I. Bangoura
B. Heynen
8 B. Heynen
J. Ito
10 J. Ito
D. Heymans
38 D. Heymans
K. Karetsas
20 K. Karetsas
R. Mirisola
29 R. Mirisola

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 3 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium
Het Kuipje
Capacity
8182
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bert Verbeke
Mathias Hillaert
Simon Bourdeaud'hui
Martijn Tiesters

Expected Lineup

Referee : Bert Verbeke

Starting XI ▼

99
Andreas Jungdal
Andreas Jungdal Goalkeeper
6.85
90
Nacho Ferri
Nacho Ferri Centre Forward
7.05
22
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds Right Back
6.73
33
Roman Neustädter
Roman Neustädter Left Back
6.8
38
Shunsuke Saito
Shunsuke Saito Right Wing
6.75
40
Emin Bayram
Emin Bayram Right Back
7.15
46
Arthur Piedfort
Arthur Piedfort Defensive Midfield
7.06
77
Josimar Alcócer
Josimar Alcócer Left Wing
6.65
4
Amando Lapage
Amando Lapage Left Back
7.11
13
Isa Sakamoto
Isa Sakamoto Attacking Midfield
6.78
34
Doğucan Haspolat
Doğucan Haspolat Defensive Midfield
7.29
Referee : Bert Verbeke

Starting XI ▼

28
Lucca Brughmans
Lucca Brughmans Goalkeeper
6.63
20
Konstantinos Karetsas
Konstantinos Karetsas Midfielder
7
38
Daan Heymans
Daan Heymans Midfielder
7.25
10
Junya Ito
Junya Ito Midfielder
6.93
77
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Zakaria El Ouahdi Midfielder
7.09
29
Robin Mirisola
Robin Mirisola Centre Forward
6.74
21
Ibrahima Bangoura
Ibrahima Bangoura Central Midfield
6.71
8
Bryan Heynen
Bryan Heynen Central Midfield
7.28
44
Josué Kongolo
Josué Kongolo Right Back
6.66
6
Matte Smets
Matte Smets Left Back
7.12
3
Mujaid Sadick
Mujaid Sadick Centre Back
6.76

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Westerlo holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Westerlo a 1.9-point edge. External projection is Westerlo 35.4%, draw 26.2%, and Genk 38.5%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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