Tottenham Hotspur vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium Sat, 18 Apr - 4:30 PM
Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur TOT
Versus
Brighton & Hove Albion BHA
KICKOFF : Sat, 18 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the upcoming Premier League match at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Tottenham Hotspur will take on Brighton & Hove Albion as part of the 2025/2026 regular season. Sitting at the bottom half in 18th position, the home team has struggled significantly with a record of no wins, one draw, and five losses across the first six games. Following a recent away loss to Sunderland, Spurs need to regroup quickly. Brighton & Hove Albion, positioned in ninth, arrive with excellent form consisting of five wins and one loss in their last six matches, capped by an away success over Burnley. Power rankings give the visitors a substantial 13.5 point advantage, marking them as the stronger side overall. This game presents an opportunity for the hosts to turn their season around against a confident opponent keen on extending their positive run.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Premier League fixture sees 18th-placed Tottenham host 9th-placed Brighton with the visitors possessing a clear power score edge of 13.5 points.
  • Form: Hosts remain winless with one draw and five losses recently whereas the away team has secured five victories from six outings.
  • Squad: Injuries and selections will play a role as both managers look to utilize their respective rosters effectively in this league clash.
  • Efficiency: Current efficiency indicators remain inconclusive due to unavailable advanced metrics for the season.
  • Transition: Brighton demonstrates superior ability to transition between phases which may challenge Tottenham's organization at home.
  • Set pieces: Set piece situations offer limited insights currently with proxy data suggesting low confidence in predictive value for either side.
  • xVariable: Advanced variables lean towards the away team based on their strong start compared to the hosts' difficulties.
  • Market: Baseline split: Tottenham Hotspur 35.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.5% (Δ+0%) | Brighton & Hove Albion 39.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Tottenham Hotspur R. De Zerbi
R. De Zerbi
VS
Brighton & Hove Albion F. Hürzeler
F. Hürzeler
0.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sunderland Rank: L
Nottingham Forest Rank: L
Liverpool Rank: D
Crystal Palace Rank: L
Fulham Rank: L
Arsenal Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Burnley Rank: W
Liverpool Rank: W
Sunderland Rank: W
Arsenal Rank: L
Nottingham Forest Rank: W
Brentford Rank: W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 2 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tottenham Hotspur
35.14%
Draw
25.46%
Away Brighton & Hove Albion
39.4%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.53
31.02
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tottenham Hotspur
Brighton & Hove Albion
Power Score
17.53
31.02
League Position
18
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Tottenham Hotspur — Opponent-weighted form score
Brighton & Hove Albion — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tottenham Hotspur Brighton & Hove Albion

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tottenham Hotspur TOT Home
19 matches
Brighton & Hove Albion BHA Away
Match Record
11
Wins
6
2
Draws
2
6
Losses
11
Goals
29
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
29
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:16:39+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
A. Kinský
Czech Republic
31 A. Kinský
P. Porro Sauceda
Spain
23 P. Porro Sauceda
R. Drăgușin
Romania
3 R. Drăgușin
M. van de Ven
Netherlands
37 M. van de Ven
I. Udogie
Italy
13 I. Udogie
A. Gray
England
14 A. Gray
L. Bergvall
Sweden
15 L. Bergvall
C. Gallagher
England
22 C. Gallagher
R. Kolo Muani
France
39 R. Kolo Muani
D. Solanke
England
19 D. Solanke
R. de Andrade
Brazil
9 R. de Andrade
B. Verbruggen
Netherlands
1 B. Verbruggen
F. Kadıoğlu
Turkey
24 F. Kadıoğlu
O. Boscagli
France
21 O. Boscagli
J. van Hecke
Netherlands
6 J. van Hecke
M. Wieffer
Netherlands
27 M. Wieffer
P. Groß
Germany
30 P. Groß
Y. Ayari
Sweden
26 Y. Ayari
Y. Minteh
Gambia
11 Y. Minteh
J. Hinshelwood
England
13 J. Hinshelwood
C. Noom Quomah
Cameroon
17 C. Noom Quomah
D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
England
18 D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Capacity
62850
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Stuart Attwell
Constantine Hatzidakis
Mark Scholes
Farai Hallam

Lineup

Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI ▼

31
Antonín Kinský
Antonín Kinský Goalkeeper
6.61
3
Radu Drăgușin
Radu Drăgușin Defender
6.5
13
Destiny Udogie
Destiny Udogie Defender
6.52
23
Pedro Porro
Pedro Porro Defender
6.89
37
Micky van de Ven
Micky van de Ven Defender
6.75
14
Archie Gray
Archie Gray Midfielder
6.62
15
Lucas Bergvall
Lucas Bergvall Midfielder
6.63
22
Conor Gallagher
Conor Gallagher Midfielder
6.59
9
Richarlison
Richarlison Attacker
6.95
19
Dominic Solanke
Dominic Solanke Attacker
6.78
39
Randal Kolo Muani
Randal Kolo Muani Attacker
6.5
Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI ▼

1
Bart Verbruggen
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper
6.87
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
Jan Paul van Hecke Defender
7.09
21
Olivier Boscagli
Olivier Boscagli Defender
6.87
24
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Defender
6.85
27
Mats Wieffer
Mats Wieffer Defender
6.96
13
Jack Hinshelwood
Jack Hinshelwood Midfielder
6.69
26
Yasin Ayari
Yasin Ayari Midfielder
6.93
30
Pascal Groß
Pascal Groß Midfielder
7.2
11
Yankuba Minteh
Yankuba Minteh Attacker
6.91
17
Carlos Baleba
Carlos Baleba Attacker
6.58
18
Danny Welbeck
Danny Welbeck Attacker
6.83

CONCLUSION

Several factors point to a challenging afternoon for Tottenham Hotspur despite the familiarity of their home ground. Their poor start to the campaign contrasts sharply with Brighton's impressive early results and higher league standing. Managers from both sides will emphasize discipline and creativity to gain the upper hand. While home crowds often inspire comebacks, the away team's structure and recent successes could allow them to control large portions of the match. Ultimately success may depend on clinical finishing and defensive solidity as the season progresses further. Fans can anticipate an engaging battle where momentum favors one particular squad entering the contest.

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