FK Nizjni Novgorod vs Dinamo Moskva Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium Sat, 18 Apr - 4:30 PM
Premier League
FK Nizjni Novgorod FK Nizjni Novgorod
Versus
Dinamo Moskva DMO
KICKOFF : Sat, 18 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 25 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the upcoming Premier League match at Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, FK Nizjni Novgorod are set to face Dinamo Moskva during the Regular Season of the 2025/2026 campaign. The home team currently occupies the 14th spot in the standings, whereas Dinamo Moskva sits in 7th, creating a noticeable gap in league positions. Power scores further highlight this disparity, with the away side at 30.01 against the hosts' 15.79, resulting in a 14.2 point advantage for the stronger team, Dinamo. Recent form reinforces this assessment as Nizjni Novgorod have managed a W2 D1 L3 record from six matches compared to Dinamo's more impressive W4 D1 L1. The hosts last played out a draw while away against Baltika Kaliningrad, and the visitors secured a win on the road versus Akron. These factors point toward a demanding afternoon for the home side as they seek to climb the table.

TL;DR

  • Structural: 14th-placed hosts face 7th-placed visitors with Dinamo holding a 14.2 power score advantage.
  • Form: Nizjni Novgorod show mixed results with two wins in six, while Dinamo have won four of their last six matches.
  • Squad: Dinamo Moskva possess the stronger squad based on power metrics, though detailed lineups are not specified.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics are unavailable, making recent form the key guide for expected output from both teams.
  • Transition: The away side demonstrated effective transitions in their recent away win, unlike the hosts' stalemate.
  • Set pieces: With xG data unavailable, set piece analysis relies on proxy metrics showing low confidence for both clubs.
  • xVariable: xG and related variables cannot be assessed directly, leading to proxy usage in pre-match evaluations.
  • Market: FK Nizjni Novgorod 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Dinamo Moskva 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FK Nizjni Novgorod A. Shpilevskiy
A. Shpilevskiy
VS
Dinamo Moskva P. Alpatov
P. Alpatov
1.15
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.46
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: D
Rostov Rank: L
Krasnodar Rank: L
Krylya Sovetov Rank: W
Sochi Rank: W
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Akron Rank: W
Orenburg Rank: D
Zenit Rank: L
Rostov Rank: W
CSKA Moskva Rank: W
Krylya Sovetov Rank: W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 3 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FK Nizjni Novgorod
0%
Draw
0%
Away Dinamo Moskva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.79
30.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FK Nizjni Novgorod
Dinamo Moskva
Power Score
15.79
30.01
League Position
14
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FK Nizjni Novgorod — Opponent-weighted form score
Dinamo Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FK Nizjni Novgorod Dinamo Moskva

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FK Nizjni Novgorod FK Nizjni Novgorod Home
9 matches
Dinamo Moskva DMO Away
Match Record
1
Wins
5
3
Draws
3
5
Losses
1
Goals
9
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
9
-10
Goal Difference
+10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:16:50+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
N. Medvedev
30 N. Medvedev
V. Grulev
27 V. Grulev
E. Fariña
24 E. Fariña
V. Aleksandrov
2 V. Aleksandrov
S. Karič
25 S. Karič
Y. Koledin
3 Y. Koledin
O. Olusegun
40 O. Olusegun
A. Opoku Sarfo
6 A. Opoku Sarfo
L. Vešner Tičić
29 L. Vešner Tičić
R. Cephas
21 R. Cephas
A. Balboa Camacho
10 A. Balboa Camacho
I. Leshchuk
31 I. Leshchuk
D. Skopintsev
7 D. Skopintsev
D. Loiola da Silva
57 D. Loiola da Silva
M. Osipenko
55 M. Osipenko
N. Marichal
2 N. Marichal
D. Fomin
74 D. Fomin
T. Marinkin
60 T. Marinkin
A. Gomes Lourenço
11 A. Gomes Lourenço
A. Miranchuk
21 A. Miranchuk
N. Ngamaleu
13 N. Ngamaleu
I. Sergeev
33 I. Sergeev

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium
Capacity
35000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

30
Nikita Medvedev
Nikita Medvedev Goalkeeper
6.77
21
R. Cephas
R. Cephas Midfielder
6.63
40
Olakunle Olusegun
Olakunle Olusegun Midfielder
6.78
10
Adrián Balboa
Adrián Balboa Centre Forward
6.77
2
Viktor Aleksandrov
Viktor Aleksandrov Centre Back
6.56
3
Yuriy Koledin
Yuriy Koledin Left Back
6.65
6
Alex Opoku Sarfo
Alex Opoku Sarfo Central Midfield
6.97
24
Edgardo Fariña
Edgardo Fariña Right Back
6.76
25
Sven Karič
Sven Karič Left Back
6.98
27
Vyacheslav Grulev
Vyacheslav Grulev Right Back
6.55
29
Luka Tičić
Luka Tičić Central Midfield
6.79

Starting XI ▼

31
Igor Leshchuk
Igor Leshchuk Goalkeeper
6.5
33
Ivan Sergeev
Ivan Sergeev Centre Forward
6.8
2
Nicolás Marichal
Nicolás Marichal Right Back
7
7
Dmitri Skopintsev
Dmitri Skopintsev Left Back
6.62
11
Arthur Gomes
Arthur Gomes Left Wing
6.99
13
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu Right Wing
6.75
21
Anton Miranchuk
Anton Miranchuk Attacking Midfield
7.04
55
Maksim Osipenko
Maksim Osipenko Right Back
6.97
57
David Ricardo
David Ricardo Left Back
6.66
60
Timofey Marinkin
Timofey Marinkin Defensive Midfield
6.61
74
Daniil Fomin
Daniil Fomin Defensive Midfield
6.81

CONCLUSION

Dinamo Moskva appear poised to continue their solid run when they travel to face FK Nizjni Novgorod. Their superior form and league position provide a foundation for success in this encounter. The home team can draw on crowd support, yet the differences in power and performances suggest the visitors hold an edge. Limited data on efficiency and set pieces adds uncertainty, but structural advantages favor Dinamo. Nizjni Novgorod must improve to challenge effectively. This game offers Dinamo a chance to strengthen their standing and the hosts an opportunity to earn vital points.

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