Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Twente Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
De Adelaarshorst Sun, 8 Mar - 1:30 PM
Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles GAE
1 Winner 4
FC Twente TWE
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 1:30 PM
Jakob Breum - 56'
Goal
|
Goal
Jari De Busser - 19' (Own Goal)
Sam Lammers - 26', 74' (P)
Kristian Hlynsson - 50'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 FC Twente. The result saw FC Twente take the points. FC Twente showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 51%–49%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Twente showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Bos
A. Bos
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
R. Polman
R. Polman
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
R. Brondijk
R. Brondijk
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
R. Martens
R. Martens
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Go Ahead Eagles M. Boel
M. Boel
VS
FC Twente J. van den Brom
J. van den Brom
1.18
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.81
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Telstar Rank: D
FC Volendam Rank: D
Ajax Rank: D
Fortuna Sittard Rank: D
FC Groningen Rank: D
FC Twente Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Feyenoord Rank: W
FC Groningen Rank: W
Telstar Rank: D
SC Heerenveen Rank: W
NAC Breda Rank: D
Excelsior Rank: D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 3 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Go Ahead Eagles
20.41%
Draw
23.59%
Away FC Twente
56%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
37.18
56.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Go Ahead Eagles
FC Twente
Power Score
37.18
56.41
League Position
12
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Go Ahead Eagles — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Twente — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Go Ahead Eagles FC Twente

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Go Ahead Eagles

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Twente

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Go Ahead Eagles ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Twente
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.41
26.73
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.73
34.41
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Go Ahead Eagles +0.83 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Twente -0.83 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Go Ahead Eagles
FC Twente
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Go Ahead Eagles ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Twente
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Go Ahead Eagles FC Twente
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Go Ahead Eagles FC Twente
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Go Ahead Eagles
FC Twente
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Go Ahead Eagles GAE Home
9 matches
FC Twente TWE Away
Match Record
1
Wins
5
3
Draws
3
5
Losses
1
Goals
11
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
11
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:05:55+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Stadium
De Adelaarshorst
Capacity
10400
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alex Bos
Richard Polman
Richard Brondijk
Richard Martens

Statistics

Possession
GAE
51%
TWE
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 4
2 Big Chances Created 3
12 Shots 8
51 Dangerous attacks 42
51 Possession 49
6 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 7
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
10 Successful Dribbles 6
85 Ball Safe 88
16 Successful Headers 18
6 Goal Kicks 12
8 Goal Attempts 8
1 Hit Woodwork 0
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
0 Penalties 1
1 Assists 1
24 Throwins 25
22 Dribble Attempts 16

Attacking

102 Attacks 115
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

10 Key Passes 6
427 Passes 413
80 Successful Passes Percentage 76
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46
340 Successful Passes 314
65 Long Passes 65
24 Successful Long Passes 30

Defensive

15 Tackles 22
6 Interceptions 10
2 Saves 5

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 1
26 Total Crosses 14

Discipline

8 Fouls 8

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Daouda Weidmann → Ramiz Zerrouki
10th Substitution
Event
Yassir Salah Rahmouni → Jakob Breum
8th Substitution
83'
83'
Event
Ricky van Wolfswinkel → Sam Lammers
9th Substitution
83'
Event
Mathias Kjølø → Thomas van den Belt
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Sam Lammers
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Dean James
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
73'
72'
Event
Robin Pröpper → Ruud Nijstad
6th Substitution
Event
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson → Julius Dirksen
5th Substitution
71'
71'
Event
Marko Pjaca → Sondre Ørjasæter
4th Substitution
Event
Jakob Breum
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
56'
50'
Event
Kristian Hlynsson
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Jaden Slory → Richonell Margaret
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Thibo Baeten → Søren Tengstedt
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Dean James → Alfons Sampsted
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
26'
Event
Sam Lammers
Header / 1st Goal
19'
Event
Jari De Busser
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
That's it! The match has come to an end with the final score: Go Ahead Eagles 1, FC Twente 4.
90
Update Update
Marko Pjaca from FC Twente earned a free kick in an offensive position.
90
Update Update
Marko Pjaca from FC Twente committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Marko Pjaca from FC Twente earned a free kick in an offensive position.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Go Ahead Eagles 1, FC Twente 4.
90
Update Update
Melle Meulensteen from Go Ahead Eagles has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Twente: Daouda Weidmann comes on to replace Ramiz Zerrouki.
88
Update Update
Jaden Slory from Go Ahead Eagles was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
88
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be four minutes of stoppage time.
86
Update Update
Mats Rots from FC Twente committed a foul.
85
Update Update
Mathis Suray from Go Ahead Eagles has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
85
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Stefán Sigurdarson from Go Ahead Eagles takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Thibo Baeten, who delivered a cross.
83
Update Update
Mats Rots from FC Twente committed a foul.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Twente: Mathias Kjølø replaces Thomas van den Belt.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Twente: Ricky van Wolfswinkel is coming on to replace Sam Lammers.
82
Update Update
A header attempt from Stefán Sigurdarson of Go Ahead Eagles is denied as it gets blocked. The opportunity was set up by a cross from Dean James.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Go Ahead Eagles: Yassir Salah Rahmouni comes on to replace Jakob Breum.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Go Ahead Eagles after Robin Pröpper allowed the ball to go out.
82
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Aske Adelgaard of Go Ahead Eagles took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the left of the goal. The attempt was set up by Jakob Breum following a corner kick.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Go Ahead Eagles, following a foul by Bart van Rooij.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Go Ahead Eagles after Bart van Rooij allowed the ball to go out.
80
Update Update
Another offensive effort underway. Mathis Suray of Go Ahead Eagles heads the ball from the right side of the six-yard box, but the attempt is stopped by the goalkeeper.
76
Update Update
Jakob Breum from Go Ahead Eagles was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
76
Update Update
Ramiz Zerrouki from FC Twente committed a foul.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Go Ahead Eagles 1, FC Twente 4. Sam Lammers from FC Twente successfully scores the penalty with a left-footed shot.
73
Update Update
FC Twente has been awarded a penalty! Sam Lammers was fouled inside the box.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dean James of Go Ahead Eagles has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
73
Update Update
Dean James from Go Ahead Eagles has given away a penalty due to a foul committed in the box.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Twente: Robin Pröpper comes on to replace Ruud Nijstad.
72
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Go Ahead Eagles: Stefán Sigurdarson replaces Julius Dirksen.
71
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Sondre Ørjasæter from FC Twente.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Twente: Marko Pjaca comes on to replace Sondre Ørjasæter due to an injury.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Go Ahead Eagles after Mats Rots allowed the ball to go out.
69
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Jaden Slory from Go Ahead Eagles takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area. The attempt is denied by FC Twente's goalkeeper, Lars Unnerstall, who makes a central save. The assist came from Joris Kramer.
68
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
67
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Julius Dirksen from Go Ahead Eagles.
60
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Melle Meulensteen from Go Ahead Eagles fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
59
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Jakob Breum from Go Ahead Eagles takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Lars Unnerstall of FC Twente makes a fantastic save, deflecting the ball into the top right corner.
59
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Mathis Suray from Go Ahead Eagles fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Go Ahead Eagles 1, FC Twente 3. Jakob Breum from Go Ahead Eagles takes a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area.
56
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Mathis Suray from Go Ahead Eagles took a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it didn't find the target.
55
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive push from FC Twente. Sam Lammers takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it's stopped by the goalkeeper.
53
Update Update
Sam Lammers from FC Twente committed a foul.
53
Update Update
Aske Adelgaard from Go Ahead Eagles was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Go Ahead Eagles 0, FC Twente 3. Kristian Hlynsson from FC Twente scores with a header from close range, directing the ball into the left corner of the net.
49
Corner Corner
Goal! Go Ahead Eagles 0, FC Twente 3. Kristian Hlynsson of FC Twente scores with a header from close range, directing the ball into the bottom left corner.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Twente after a defensive play by Julius Dirksen.
48
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to FC Twente after a play by Julius Dirksen results in a deflection.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Twente after Melle Meulensteen allowed the ball to go out.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Twente after Joris Kramer allowed the ball to go out.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Go Ahead Eagles: Thibo Baeten comes on to replace Søren Tengstedt.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Go Ahead Eagles: Dean James replaces Alfons Sampsted.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Go Ahead Eagles trailing FC Twente by a score of 0 to 2.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Aske Adelgaard from Go Ahead Eagles took a left-footed shot from a challenging angle on the left but it went wide. The assist came from Richonell Margaret.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Go Ahead Eagles: Thibo Baeten comes on to replace Søren Tengstedt.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Go Ahead Eagles: Jaden Slory comes on to replace Richonell Margaret.
38
Update Update
Bart van Rooij from FC Twente earned a free kick in the defensive area.
38
Update Update
Richonell Margaret from Go Ahead Eagles committed a foul.
34
Update Update
Richonell Margaret from Go Ahead Eagles committed a foul.
34
Update Update
Bart van Rooij from FC Twente was awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
31
Update Update
Foul committed by Mathis Suray of Go Ahead Eagles.
31
Update Update
Ramiz Zerrouki from FC Twente earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
29
Update Update
Richonell Margaret from Go Ahead Eagles committed a foul.
29
Update Update
Daan Rots from FC Twente has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
29
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Sam Lammers from FC Twente attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the right. The assist came from Sondre Ørjasæter following a corner kick.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Twente, following a defensive play by Alfons Sampsted.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Go Ahead Eagles 0, FC Twente 2. Sam Lammers scores for FC Twente with a header from close range into the center of the net. The assist came from Bart van Rooij, who delivered a precise cross.
24
Update Update
Ruud Nijstad from FC Twente committed a foul.
24
Update Update
Søren Tengstedt from Go Ahead Eagles has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
22
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Kristian Hlynsson from FC Twente fires a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Thomas van den Belt, who set him up with a header.
21
Update Update
Daan Rots from FC Twente has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
21
Update Update
Aske Adelgaard from Go Ahead Eagles committed a foul.
20
Update Update
Jakob Breum from Go Ahead Eagles has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
20
Update Update
Ramiz Zerrouki from FC Twente committed a foul.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
An unfortunate own goal by Jari De Busser of Go Ahead Eagles has put FC Twente in the lead. The score now stands at Go Ahead Eagles 0, FC Twente 1.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Twente after a defensive play by Julius Dirksen.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Twente after Jakob Breum allowed the ball to go out.
17
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Ramiz Zerrouki from FC Twente takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Go Ahead Eagles, following a save by Lars Unnerstall.
13
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive play unfolds as Richonell Margaret from Go Ahead Eagles takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area. However, Lars Unnerstall of FC Twente makes a save, directing the ball to the left corner. The assist for this attempt comes from Jakob Breum.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Go Ahead Eagles after a play by Bart van Rooij resulted in a defensive error.
12
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Melle Meulensteen from Go Ahead Eagles takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails over the goal and to the right.
11
Update Update
Søren Tengstedt from Go Ahead Eagles was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
11
Update Update
Mats Rots from FC Twente committed a foul.
6
Update Update
Julius Dirksen from Go Ahead Eagles committed a foul.
6
Update Update
Sam Lammers from FC Twente earned a free kick in an offensive position.
5
Corner Corner
Another offensive effort unfolds. Kristian Hlynsson from FC Twente takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Jari De Busser from Go Ahead Eagles makes a save in the right corner. The assist came from Thomas van den Belt.
3
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Victor Edvardsen of Go Ahead Eagles attempts a header from the middle of the penalty area. However, the shot is expertly stopped by Lars Unnerstall, the goalkeeper for FC Twente, who is positioned centrally. The assist for this opportunity came from Jakob Breum, who delivered a precise cross.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FC Twente exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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