NEC Nijmegen vs FC Volendam Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Goffertstadion Sun, 8 Mar - 7:00 PM
Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen NEC
3 Winner 0
FC Volendam VOL
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 7:00 PM
Noé Lebreton - 39'
Başar Önal - 47'
Sami Ouaissa - 63'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. NEC Nijmegen 3–0 FC Volendam. The result saw NEC Nijmegen take the points. NEC Nijmegen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 57%–43%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: NEC Nijmegen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Nagtegaal
M. Nagtegaal
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
R. van Marrewijk
R. van Marrewijk
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
T. Hardeman
T. Hardeman
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
K. Bodde
K. Bodde
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
NEC Nijmegen D. Schreuder
D. Schreuder
VS
FC Volendam R. Kruijs
R. Kruijs
1.62
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.1
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fortuna Sittard Rank: L
Ajax Rank: D
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: D
FC Utrecht Rank: L
Heracles Almelo Rank: W
AZ Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Groningen Rank: W
NAC Breda Rank: L
PSV Rank: W
PEC Zwolle Rank: W
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: D
Ajax Rank: L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 2 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home NEC Nijmegen
73.4%
Draw
15.34%
Away FC Volendam
11.25%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.97
33.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
Power Score
58.97
33.33
League Position
3
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
NEC Nijmegen — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Volendam — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) NEC Nijmegen FC Volendam

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

NEC Nijmegen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Volendam

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

NEC Nijmegen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Volendam
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
55.53
18.72
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.72
55.53
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
NEC Nijmegen +3.99 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Volendam -3.99 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

NEC Nijmegen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Volendam
Created Set-piece attacking threat
NEC Nijmegen FC Volendam
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
NEC Nijmegen FC Volendam
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

NEC Nijmegen NEC Home
5 matches
FC Volendam VOL Away
Match Record
4
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
4
Goals
18
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
18
+10
Goal Difference
-10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:23:59+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Stadium
Goffertstadion
Capacity
12500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marc Nagtegaal
Roan van Marrewijk
Thomas Hardeman
Kevin Bodde

Statistics

Possession
NEC
57%
VOL
43%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
6 Shots 4
93 Dangerous attacks 21
57 Possession 43
12 Corners 1
7 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

65 Ball Safe 89
2 Assists 0
1 Injuries 0
19 Goal Attempts 7
18 Dribble Attempts 21
9 Successful Headers 16
56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52
10 Successful Dribbles 11
7 Goal Kicks 8
18 Throwins 19
1 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

120 Attacks 67

Possession

364 Successful Passes 262
22 Successful Long Passes 28
53 Long Passes 65
80 Successful Passes Percentage 74
21 Key Passes 6
457 Passes 354
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

3 Saves 8
25 Tackles 20
10 Interceptions 11

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 6
4 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

10 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 0

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Dirk Proper → Darko Nejasmic
10th Substitution
86'
Event
Isak Hansen-Aarøen → Tjaronn Chery
9th Substitution
86'
84'
Event
Myron Mau-Asam → Ozan Kökcü
8th Substitution
Event
Youssef El Kachati → Bryan Linssen
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Danilo → Başar Önal
6th Substitution
74'
70'
Event
Aaron Meijers → Yannick Leliendal
5th Substitution
Event
Sami Ouaissa
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
63'
55'
Event
Robert Mühren → Juninho Bacuna
3rd Substitution
55'
Event
Alex Plat → Aurelio Oehlers
4th Substitution
Event
Başar Önal
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
47'
46'
Event
Joel Ideho → Bilal Ould-Chikh
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Noé Lebreton
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
39'
Event
Ahmetcan Kaplan → Brayann Pereira
1st Substitution
30'
Event
Philippe Sandler
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
27'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: N.E.C. 3, FC Volendam 0.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after Myron Mau-Asam gave away the possession.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after Aaron Meijers allowed the ball to go out.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after Mawouna Amevor gave it away.
87
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Youssef El Kachati from N.E.C. takes a left-footed shot from a challenging angle on the left, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Noé Lebreton.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for N.E.C.: Isak Hansen-Aarøen replaces Tjaronn Chery.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for N.E.C.: Dirk Proper comes on to replace Darko Nejasmic.
85
Update Update
Tjaronn Chery from N.E.C. was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
85
Update Update
Myron Mau-Asam from FC Volendam committed a foul.
85
Corner Corner
Another offensive effort underway. Robert Mühren from FC Volendam heads the ball from the center of the box, but Jasper Cillessen of N.E.C. makes a fantastic save, tipping it away to the top left corner. The assist came from Joel Ideho, who delivered a precise cross.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Volendam: Myron Mau-Asam replaces Ozan Kökçü.
83
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Noé Lebreton from N.E.C. takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area. However, the attempt is thwarted by FC Volendam's goalkeeper, Kayne van Oevelen, who makes a save right in the center of the goal.
82
Update Update
Sami Ouaissa from N.E.C. has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
82
Update Update
Nick Verschuren from FC Volendam committed a foul.
81
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Tjaronn Chery from N.E.C. took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar. The assist came from Sami Ouaissa.
80
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Danilo from N.E.C. takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist comes from Deveron Fonville.
78
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Youssef El Kachati from N.E.C. fires a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Tjaronn Chery.
76
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Sami Ouaissa from N.E.C. attempted a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for N.E.C.: Youssef El Kachati is coming on to replace Bryan Linssen.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for N.E.C.: Danilo comes on to replace Basar Önal.
71
Corner Corner
Another offensive play underway. Bryan Linssen from N.E.C. takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's expertly saved in the bottom right corner by Kayne van Oevelen of FC Volendam. The assist came from Ahmetcan Kaplan.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after a foul by Kayne van Oevelen.
71
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Deveron Fonville from N.E.C. attempts a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Volendam: Aaron Meijers comes on to replace Yannick Leliendal.
69
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Nick Verschuren from FC Volendam attempted a header from the center of the penalty area, but it went just wide. The chance was set up by Robin van Cruijsen, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
68
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to FC Volendam after a deflection off Kodai Sano.
66
Update Update
Foul committed by Noé Lebreton of N.E.C.
66
Update Update
Dave Kwakman from FC Volendam earned a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
65
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Precious Ugwu from FC Volendam attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Nick Verschuren.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! N.E.C. leads 3-0 against FC Volendam. Sami Ouaissa scores with a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, placing it into the left corner of the net. The assist comes from Tjaronn Chery.
60
Update Update
Ozan Kökçü from FC Volendam earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
60
Update Update
Foul committed by Darko Nejasmic of N.E.C.
60
Corner Corner
Another offensive effort unfolds. Robin van Cruijsen from FC Volendam takes a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but Jasper Cillessen of N.E.C. makes a save in the top left corner. The assist came from Joel Ideho.
58
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Darko Nejasmic from N.E.C. attempted a header from the center of the penalty area following a corner kick.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after a defensive play by Kayne van Oevelen.
57
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Sami Ouaissa from N.E.C. tried a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Jasper Cillessen.
57
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Ahmetcan Kaplan from N.E.C. takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Kayne van Oevelen of FC Volendam makes a save, diving to his right to keep the ball out of the net.
55
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Volendam: Alex Plat comes on to replace Aurelio Oehlers.
55
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Volendam: Robert Mühren is coming on to replace Juninho Bacuna.
53
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Bryan Linssen from N.E.C. fires a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Sami Ouaissa.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after Juninho Bacuna allowed it.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after a foul by Mawouna Amevor.
51
Update Update
Another offensive effort underway. Bryan Linssen from N.E.C. attempts a header from the left side of the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after a foul by Nick Verschuren.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after a play by Nick Verschuren results in a defensive error.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! N.E.C. leads 2-0 against FC Volendam. Basar Önal scores with a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, finding the bottom right corner. The assist comes from Noé Lebreton.
46
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Sami Ouaissa from N.E.C. fires a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked. The assist came from Tjaronn Chery.
45
Update Update
Juninho Bacuna committed a foul against FC Volendam.
45
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive play unfolds as Bryan Linssen from N.E.C. takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's expertly saved in the left corner by Kayne van Oevelen of FC Volendam. The assist came from Kodai Sano.
45
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort underway. Darko Nejasmic from N.E.C. takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped.
45
Update Update
Ahmetcan Kaplan from N.E.C. has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
45
Update Update
Mawouna Amevor from FC Volendam has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
Sami Ouaissa from N.E.C. committed a foul.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with N.E.C. leading FC Volendam 1-0.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score at N.E.C. 1, FC Volendam 0.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Volendam: Joel Ideho comes on to replace Bilal Ould-Chikh.
44
Update Update
Juninho Bacuna from FC Volendam earned a free kick in an offensive position.
44
Update Update
Ahmetcan Kaplan from N.E.C. committed a foul.
44
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Dave Kwakman from FC Volendam took a right-footed shot from over 35 yards out following a free kick, but it went wide to the left.
43
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Tjaronn Chery from N.E.C. takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it is expertly stopped by goalkeeper Kayne van Oevelen of FC Volendam, who is positioned centrally. The assist comes from Bryan Linssen.
42
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push! Tjaronn Chery from N.E.C. takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped.
41
Update Update
Ahmetcan Kaplan from N.E.C. has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
41
Update Update
Juninho Bacuna from FC Volendam committed a foul.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! N.E.C. takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against FC Volendam. Noé Lebreton from N.E.C. fires a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area into the bottom left corner.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after a foul by Mawouna Amevor.
37
Update Update
Bilal Ould-Chikh from FC Volendam has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
37
Update Update
Deveron Fonville from N.E.C. committed a foul.
36
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push here. Robin van Cruijsen from FC Volendam takes a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but Jasper Cillessen from N.E.C. makes a great save, diving to his left. The assist came from Aurelio Oehlers.
32
Update Update
Bryan Linssen - N.E.C.
32
Update Update
Juninho Bacuna from FC Volendam earned a free kick in the defensive area.
31
Update Update
Offside call against N.E.C. Tjaronn Chery has been caught in an offside position.
31
Update Update
Offside call against N.E.C. Tjaronn Chery has been caught in an offside position.
30
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
30
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for N.E.C.: Ahmetcan Kaplan replaces Brayann Pereira due to an injury.
29
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Brayann Pereira from N.E.C.
28
Update Update
Foul committed by Precious Ugwu of FC Volendam.
28
Update Update
Basar Önal from N.E.C. has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
27
Update Update
Yannick Leliendal from FC Volendam earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
27
Update Update
Philippe Sandler from N.E.C. committed a foul.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Philippe Sandler of N.E.C. has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after a foul by Mawouna Amevor.
24
Update Update
Basar Önal from N.E.C. strikes the crossbar with a right-footed attempt from outside the penalty area, assisted by Tjaronn Chery.
22
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Juninho Bacuna of FC Volendam attempts a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it narrowly misses the top left corner. The assist came from Aurelio Oehlers.
19
Update Update
Philippe Sandler from N.E.C. committed a foul.
19
Update Update
Juninho Bacuna from FC Volendam earned a free kick in the defensive area.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after Precious Ugwu allowed it.
15
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Tjaronn Chery from N.E.C. fires a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after Precious Ugwu allowed the ball to go out.
13
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Tjaronn Chery from N.E.C. attempted a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it went wide. The assist came from Noé Lebreton.
10
Update Update
Juninho Bacuna from FC Volendam committed a foul.
10
Update Update
Brayann Pereira from N.E.C. was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
6
Update Update
Ozan Kökçü from FC Volendam was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
6
Update Update
Foul committed by Darko Nejasmic of N.E.C.
3
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Sami Ouaissa from N.E.C. attempted a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
2
Update Update
Fouled by Dave Kwakman of FC Volendam.
2
Update Update
Sami Ouaissa from N.E.C. was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
1
Update Update
Bilal Ould-Chikh from FC Volendam has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
1
Update Update
Kodai Sano from N.E.C. committed a foul.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: NEC Nijmegen exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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