Nantes vs Angers SCO Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau Sun, 8 Mar - 12:09 AM
Ligue 1
Nantes NAN
0 Winner 1
Angers SCO ANG
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 12:09 AM
|
Goal
Amine Sbaï - 52'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Nantes 0–1 Angers SCO. The result saw Angers SCO take the points. Angers SCO showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 49%–51%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Angers SCO showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Evrard
V. Evrard
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.15
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.85
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Finjean
E. Finjean
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.15
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.85
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
W. Delajod
W. Delajod
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.15
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.85
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Souifi
A. Souifi
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.15
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.85
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Nantes A. Kantari
A. Kantari
VS
Angers SCO A. Dujeux
A. Dujeux
0.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
LOSC Lille Rank: L
Le Havre Rank: W
Monaco Rank: L
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: L
Lorient Rank: L
Nice Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monaco Rank: L
LOSC Lille Rank: L
Lorient Rank: L
Toulouse Rank: W
Metz Rank: W
Paris Rank: D
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 6 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nantes
41.69%
Draw
31.95%
Away Angers SCO
26.37%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
22.67
42.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nantes
Angers SCO
Power Score
22.67
42.67
League Position
17
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nantes — Opponent-weighted form score
Angers SCO — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nantes Angers SCO

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nantes

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Angers SCO

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Nantes ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Angers SCO
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.24
23.92
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.92
32.24
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Nantes +0.86 Efficiency Index
vs
Angers SCO -0.86 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Nantes
Angers SCO
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nantes ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Angers SCO
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nantes Angers SCO
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nantes Angers SCO
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Nantes
Angers SCO
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nantes NAN Home
9 matches
Angers SCO ANG Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
3
Goals
12
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
12
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:10:13+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 12:09 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Capacity
37473
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Valentin Evrard
Erwan Finjean
Willy Delajod
Azzedine Souifi

Statistics

Possession
NAN
50%
ANG
50%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 8
56 Dangerous attacks 24
49 Possession 51
3 Corners 4
19 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
26 Throwins 22
0 Injuries 1
14 Dribble Attempts 13
4 Successful Dribbles 5
4 Goal Kicks 8
1 Goal Attempts 2
21 Successful Headers 20
9 Ball Safe 16
5 Substitutions 6
0 Assists 1

Attacking

104 Attacks 74

Possession

53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
26 Successful Long Passes 19
372 Passes 417
82 Successful Passes Percentage 82
5 Key Passes 8
306 Successful Passes 344
49 Long Passes 48

Defensive

20 Tackles 16
12 Interceptions 4
3 Saves 3

Build-up

34 Total Crosses 15
8 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
14 Fouls 19

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Abdoulaye Bamba → Carlens Arcus
10th Substitution
87'
Event
L. Machine → Goduine Koyalipou
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Louis Mouton → Amine Sbaï
9th Substitution
83'
Event
Carlens Arcus
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Frédéric Guilbert → Chidozie Awaziem
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Rémy Cabella → Fabien Centonze
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Mostafa Mohamed → Ignatius Ganago
5th Substitution
66'
Event
Francis Coquelin → Louis Leroux
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Dehmaine Tabibou → Deiver Machado
4th Substitution
65'
52'
Event
Amine Sbaï
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Deiver Machado
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
47'
46'
Event
Lilian Raolisoa → Emmanuel Biumla
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
15'
Event
Pierrick Capelle → Yassin Belkhdim
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes committed a foul.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Angers: Abdoulaye Bamba comes on to replace Carlens Arcus, who is leaving due to an injury.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Mohamed Kaba from Nantes takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails over the crossbar.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Matthis Abline from Nantes took a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it sailed high and wide to the left. The assist came from Johann Lepenant.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Nantes 0, Angers 1.
90
Update Update
Lilian Raolisoa from Angers has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Angers: Louis Mouton replaces Amine Sbaï.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Angers: Lanroy Machine comes on to replace Goduine Koyalipou.
85
Update Update
Mostafa Mohamed from Nantes committed a foul.
85
Update Update
Lilian Raolisoa from Angers has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
84
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive play unfolds as Mostafa Mohamed from Nantes takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Hervé Koffi of Angers makes a save, denying the attempt in the bottom left corner.
83
Update Update
Matthis Abline from Nantes was awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Carlens Arcus of Angers has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
83
Update Update
Carlens Arcus from Angers committed a foul.
83
Attempt Attempt
A new offensive play unfolds as Dehmaine Tabibou from Nantes takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Hervé Koffi of Angers makes a great save, diving to his left to stop the ball.
81
Update Update
Francis Coquelin from Nantes has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
81
Update Update
Pierrick Capelle from Angers committed a foul.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nantes after a play that resulted in a deflection off Hervé Koffi.
80
Update Update
Branco van den Boomen from Angers committed a foul.
80
Update Update
Rémy Cabella from Nantes was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
78
Update Update
Rémy Cabella from Nantes committed a foul.
78
Update Update
Haris Belkebla from Angers has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
77
Update Update
Offside call against Angers. Amine Sbaï has been caught offside.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Rémy Cabella comes on to replace Fabien Centonze.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Frédéric Guilbert is coming on to replace Chidozie Awaziem.
74
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Mostafa Mohamed of Nantes attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The cross was delivered by Fabien Centonze.
73
Update Update
Nicolas Cozza from Nantes was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
73
Update Update
Fouled by Pierrick Capelle from Angers.
71
Update Update
Anthony Lopes from Nantes has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
71
Update Update
Amine Sbaï from Angers committed a foul.
70
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Nantes after Jacques Ekomié allowed the ball to go out.
69
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Dehmaine Tabibou from Nantes takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Hervé Koffi of Angers makes a great save, pushing the ball to the right corner.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Mostafa Mohamed replaces Ignatius Ganago.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Francis Coquelin comes on to replace Louis Leroux.
65
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Jordan Lefort from Angers attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Branco van den Boomen, who delivered a cross.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Dehmaine Tabibou comes on to replace Deiver Machado.
64
Update Update
Pierrick Capelle from Angers was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
64
Update Update
Deiver Machado from Nantes committed a foul.
64
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Goduine Koyalipou from Angers attempted a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area but couldn't find the target. The assist came from Amine Sbaï.
60
Update Update
Lilian Raolisoa of Angers committed a foul.
60
Update Update
Deiver Machado from Nantes earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
59
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Pierrick Capelle from Angers takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
59
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Branco van den Boomen from Angers takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails over the crossbar.
58
Update Update
Amine Sbaï from Angers has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
58
Update Update
Foul committed by Johann Lepenant from Nantes.
57
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Amine Sbaï from Angers takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area. Anthony Lopes from Nantes makes a great save, pushing the ball to the left corner. The assist came from Goduine Koyalipou.
56
Update Update
Johann Lepenant from Nantes earned a free kick in the defensive area.
56
Update Update
Lilian Raolisoa from Angers committed a foul.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Angers after a deflection off Anthony Lopes.
55
Corner Corner
Another offensive push is underway. Amine Sbaï from Angers takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Anthony Lopes from Nantes makes a great save, reaching to the top left corner. The assist came from Ousmane Camara.
55
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Fabien Centonze from Nantes takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
54
Update Update
Louis Leroux from Nantes was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
54
Update Update
Pierrick Capelle from Angers committed a foul.
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Angers takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Nantes. Amine Sbaï scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, finding the bottom right corner. The assist came from Jordan Lefort, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Angers after Fabien Centonze allowed the ball to go out.
50
Update Update
Pierrick Capelle from Angers earned a free kick in the defensive area.
50
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes committed a foul.
49
Update Update
Deiver Machado from Nantes was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
49
Update Update
Lilian Raolisoa from Angers committed a foul.
47
Update Update
Deiver Machado from Nantes committed a foul.
47
Update Update
Pierrick Capelle from Angers has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Deiver Machado of Nantes has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score still tied at Nantes 0, Angers 0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
Carlens Arcus from Angers committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Branco van den Boomen from Angers earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Angers: Lilian Raolisoa is coming on to replace Emmanuel Biumla.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at 0-0 between Nantes and Angers.
45
Update Update
Johann Lepenant from Nantes was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
Deiver Machado from Nantes committed a foul.
44
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Chidozie Awaziem from Nantes attempted a header from the center of the penalty area, but it went wide to the left.
43
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
43
Update Update
Branco van den Boomen from Angers committed a foul.
42
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
42
Update Update
Haris Belkebla from Angers committed a foul.
41
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Johann Lepenant from Nantes attempts a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
41
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Louis Leroux from Nantes attempted a left-footed shot from the middle of the box, but it soared over the goal. The assist came from Ali Youssif, who set him up with a header.
40
Update Update
Haris Belkebla from Angers committed a foul.
40
Update Update
Ignatius Ganago from Nantes earned a free kick in an offensive position.
39
Update Update
Carlens Arcus from Angers committed a foul.
39
Update Update
Louis Leroux from Nantes was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
38
Update Update
Deiver Machado from Nantes committed a foul.
38
Update Update
Carlens Arcus from Angers has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
35
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Johann Lepenant from Nantes took a shot with his right foot from the right side of the penalty area, but it went wide. The assist came from Matthis Abline.
34
Update Update
Ali Youssif from Nantes committed a foul.
34
Update Update
Hervé Koffi from Angers has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nantes after Ousmane Camara allowed the ball to go out.
30
Update Update
Deiver Machado from Nantes earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
30
Update Update
Foul committed by Carlens Arcus of Angers.
27
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Carlens Arcus from Angers attempted a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar following a corner kick.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Angers after a play by Fabien Centonze results in a deflection.
25
Update Update
Offside call against Angers. Jacques Ekomié has been flagged for being offside.
24
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Ignatius Ganago from Nantes took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, narrowly missing the target after a quick counterattack.
22
Update Update
Louis Leroux from Nantes committed a foul.
22
Update Update
Pierrick Capelle from Angers has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
21
Corner Corner
Another offensive push! Goduine Koyalipou from Angers heads the ball from the center of the box, but Anthony Lopes from Nantes makes a fantastic save, reaching up to deny it in the top left corner. The assist came from Carlens Arcus, who delivered a precise cross.
20
Update Update
Haris Belkebla from Angers has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
20
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes committed a foul.
18
Update Update
Amine Sbaï from Angers committed a foul.
18
Update Update
Offside call against Nantes. Deiver Machado has been caught offside.
18
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
15
Update Update
Emmanuel Biumla from Angers committed a foul.
15
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Angers: Pierrick Capelle replaces Yassin Belkhdim due to an injury.
15
Update Update
Matthis Abline from Nantes was awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
15
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Goduine Koyalipou from Angers took a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Amine Sbaï.
14
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
11
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Yassin Belkhdim from Angers.
10
Update Update
Offside call against Angers. Yassin Belkhdim is caught in an offside position.
9
Update Update
Opportunity wasted! Goduine Koyalipou from Angers attempted a header from the center of the box, but it sailed over the goal. The cross was delivered by Carlens Arcus.
7
Update Update
Opportunity wasted! Mohamed Kaba from Nantes attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Matthis Abline.
6
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
6
Update Update
Amine Sbaï from Angers has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
6
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes committed a foul.
6
Update Update
Yassin Belkhdim from Angers committed a foul.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Angers after Nicolas Cozza allowed the ball to go out.
2
Update Update
Goduine Koyalipou from Angers committed a foul.
2
Update Update
Hervé Koffi from Angers has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
2
Update Update
Deiver Machado from Nantes committed a foul.
2
Update Update
Nicolas Cozza from Nantes earned a free kick on the left side of the field.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Angers SCO exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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