Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Stadium of Light Sat, 14 Mar - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Sunderland SUN
0 Winner 1
Brighton & Hove Albion BHA
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 3:00 PM
|
Goal
Yankuba Minteh - 58'

CONTEXT

The match between Sunderland and Brighton & Hove Albion has officially finished, with Brighton securing a 1-0 away victory following a scoreless first half. Going into the fixture, Brighton & Hove Albion were favored by the pre-match market with a 44.9% win probability, compared to Sunderland's 27.5%. The final result successfully aligned with these market expectations. Despite Sunderland being classified as the generally stronger team, the away victory represented a significant deviation level (55.1%) driven by Brighton's winning performance. Play on the pitch was tightly contested. Brighton controlled a narrow possession advantage of 52% against Sunderland's 48%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for both teams in this fixture, meaning no concrete conclusion could be drawn regarding whether the 1-0 outcome was consistent with underlying chance creation. The match's overall efficiency shift remained strictly in line with projections. Furthermore, it was a disciplined affair; with zero red cards issued to either side, Brighton & Hove Albion were able to execute their game plan and claim the victory without any major disciplinary events impacting the final result.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Brighton & Hove Albion showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

T. Kirk

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Smart

1st Assistant

B. Antrobus

2nd Assistant

S. Barrott

4th Official

Sunderland R. Le Bris
R. Le Bris
VS
Brighton & Hove Albion F. Hürzeler
F. Hürzeler
1.26
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.23
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fulham Rank: 87 L
Liverpool Rank: 95 L
Arsenal Rank: 100 L
Burnley Rank: 81 W
West Ham United Rank: 83 L
Crystal Palace Rank: 87 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aston Villa Rank: 94 L
Crystal Palace Rank: 87 L
Everton Rank: 88 D
Fulham Rank: 87 L
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 89 D
Manchester City Rank: 98 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sunderland
27.54%
Draw
27.54%
Away Brighton & Hove Albion
44.93%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
80.29
72.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
Power Score
80.29
72.5
League Position
13
12
Global Rank
55
17

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sunderland — Opponent-weighted form score
Brighton & Hove Albion — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sunderland Brighton & Hove Albion

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sunderland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brighton & Hove Albion

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sunderland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brighton & Hove Albion
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.42
27.21
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.21
35.42
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sunderland +0.89 Efficiency Index
vs
Brighton & Hove Albion -0.89 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sunderland
vs
Brighton & Hove Albion
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sunderland Brighton & Hove Albion
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sunderland Brighton & Hove Albion
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sunderland SUN Home
1 matches
Brighton & Hove Albion BHA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:01:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Ellborg
Sweden
31 M. Ellborg
L. Geertruida
Netherlands
6 L. Geertruida
D. Ballard
Substitution
Northern Ireland
5 D. Ballard
O. Alderete Fernández
Paraguay
15 O. Alderete Fernández
T. Hume
Northern Ireland
32 T. Hume
G. Xhaka
Switzerland
34 (C) G. Xhaka
C. Rigg
England
11 C. Rigg
M. Diarra
France
19 M. Diarra
N. Sadiki
Belgium
27 N. Sadiki
C. Talbi
Substitution
Belgium
7 C. Talbi
B. Brobbey
Substitution
Netherlands
9 B. Brobbey
Pitch
B. Verbruggen
Netherlands
1 B. Verbruggen
F. Kadıoğlu
Turkey
24 F. Kadıoğlu
L. Dunk
England
5 (C) L. Dunk
J. van Hecke
Netherlands
6 J. van Hecke
M. Wieffer
Netherlands
27 M. Wieffer
P. Groß
Germany
30 P. Groß
J. Milner
England
20 J. Milner
Y. Minteh
Substitution
Gambia
11 Y. Minteh
J. Hinshelwood
Substitution
England
13 J. Hinshelwood
D. Gómez Amarilla
Substitution
Paraguay
25 D. Gómez Amarilla
D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
Substitution
England
18 D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 14, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England
Stadium :
Stadium of Light
Capacity :
48707
Attendance :
45497
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Thomas Kirk
Edward Smart
Black Antrobus
Samuel Barrott

Statistics

Possession
SUN
49%
BHA
51%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 5
60 Dangerous attacks 43
48 Possession 52
7 Corners 3
12 Free kicks 7
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

9 Goal Attempts 7
5 Goal Kicks 12
19 Dribble Attempts 12
13 Successful Headers 16
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58
28 Throwins 9
9 Successful Dribbles 7
87 Ball Safe 93
3 Substitutions 4
4 Injuries 1

Attacking

116 Attacks 81
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

6 Key Passes 9
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 26
332 Successful Passes 371
22 Successful Long Passes 15
422 Passes 471
57 Long Passes 57
79 Successful Passes Percentage 79

Defensive

7 Tackles 26
5 Interceptions 12
3 Saves 3

Build-up

1 Accurate Crosses 5
20 Total Crosses 13

Discipline

7 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Thomas Kirk

Starting XI ▼

31
Melker Ellborg
Melker Ellborg Goalkeeper
6.8
5
Dan Ballard
Dan Ballard Defender
6.95
13
Luke O'Nien
Luke O'Nien
Midfielder64'
6.53
6
Lutsharel Geertruida
Lutsharel Geertruida Defender
6.51
15
Omar Alderete
Omar Alderete Defender
7.04
32
Trai Hume
Trai Hume Defender
6.73
7
Chemsdine Talbi
Chemsdine Talbi Midfielder
6.66
3
Dennis Cirkin
Dennis Cirkin
Defender85'
6.3
11
Chris Rigg
Chris Rigg Midfielder
6.73
19
Habib Diarra
Habib Diarra Midfielder
6.3
27
Noah Sadiki
Noah Sadiki Midfielder
6.92
34
Granit Xhaka
Granit Xhaka (C) Midfielder
6.7
9
Brian Brobbey
Brian Brobbey Attacker
6.76
12
Eliezer Mayenda
Eliezer Mayenda
Attacker78'
6.27
Referee : Thomas Kirk

Starting XI ▼

1
Bart Verbruggen
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper
7.22
5
Lewis Dunk
Lewis Dunk (C) Defender
7.96
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
Jan Paul van Hecke Defender
7.5
24
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Defender
7.25
27
Mats Wieffer
Mats Wieffer Defender
7.22
11
Yankuba Minteh
Yankuba Minteh Midfielder
7.84
29
Maxim De Cuyper
Maxim De Cuyper
Defender76'
6.38
13
Jack Hinshelwood
Jack Hinshelwood Midfielder
6.86
26
Yasin Ayari
Yasin Ayari
Midfielder88'
20
James Milner
James Milner Midfielder
6.85
25
Diego Gómez
Diego Gómez Midfielder
6.63
34
Joël Veltman
Joël Veltman
Defender90+4'
30
Pascal Groß
Pascal Groß Midfielder
7.48
18
Danny Welbeck
Danny Welbeck Attacker
7.09
33
Matt O'Riley
Matt O'Riley
Midfielder90+5'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Matt O'Riley → Danny Welbeck
7th Substitution
90+4'
Event
Joël Veltman → Diego Gómez
6th Substitution
88'
Event
Yasin Ayari → Jack Hinshelwood
5th Substitution
Event
Dennis Cirkin → Chemsdine Talbi
4th Substitution
85'
Event
Eliezer Mayenda → Brian Brobbey
3rd Substitution
78'
76'
Event
Maxim De Cuyper → Yankuba Minteh
2nd Substitution
Event
Granit Xhaka
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
75'
74'
Event
Yankuba Minteh
Off the ball foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Luke O'Nien → Dan Ballard
1st Substitution
64'
58'
Event
Yankuba Minteh
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
51'
Event
Diego Gómez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Chris Rigg
Goal disallowed
50'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Sunderland 0, Brighton and Hove Albion 1.
90
Update Update
Matt O'Riley committed a foul against Brighton and Hove Albion.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Dennis Cirkin from Sunderland took a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar.
90
Update Update
Trai Hume from Sunderland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Joël Veltman from Brighton and Hove Albion committed a foul.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Brighton and Hove Albion: Joël Veltman comes on to replace Diego Gómez.
90
Update Update
Granit Xhaka of Sunderland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Diego Gómez committed a foul against Brighton and Hove Albion.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 8 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Noah Sadiki from Sunderland committed a foul.
90
Update Update
James Milner from Brighton and Hove Albion has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Brighton and Hove Albion: Matt O'Riley replaces Danny Welbeck.
90
Update Update
Trai Hume from Sunderland was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
89
Update Update
Dennis Cirkin from Sunderland committed a foul.
89
Update Update
Mats Wieffer from Brighton and Hove Albion earned a free kick on the right flank.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Brighton and Hove Albion: Yasin Ayari is coming on to replace Jack Hinshelwood.
88
Update Update
Offside call against Sunderland. Habib Diarra is caught in an offside position.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: Dennis Cirkin is coming on to replace Chemsdine Talbi.
82
Update Update
Offside call against Sunderland. Eliezer Mayenda has been caught in an offside position.
80
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Sunderland after Lewis Dunk's defensive play.
79
Attempt Attempt
Granit Xhaka attempts a shot from outside the penalty area for Sunderland, but it gets deflected and blocked.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: Eliezer Mayenda comes on to replace Brian Brobbey.
78
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
77
Update Update
Maxim De Cuyper committed a foul against a player from Brighton and Hove Albion.
77
Update Update
Noah Sadiki from Sunderland earned a free kick in an offensive position.
77
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Maxim De Cuyper from Brighton and Hove Albion.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Granit Xhaka of Sunderland has been shown a yellow card.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Brighton and Hove Albion: Maxim De Cuyper comes on to replace Yankuba Minteh.
75
Update Update
Chris Rigg from Sunderland earned a free kick on the right flank.
75
Update Update
Yankuba Minteh from Brighton and Hove Albion committed a foul.
74
Update Update
Yankuba Minteh commits a foul for Brighton and Hove Albion.
74
Update Update
Another offensive effort underway. Omar Alderete from Sunderland attempts a header from the middle of the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped by the goalkeeper.
74
Update Update
Luke O'Nien from Sunderland earned a free kick on the right flank.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yankuba Minteh from Brighton and Hove Albion has been shown a yellow card.
72
Update Update
Noah Sadiki from Sunderland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
72
Update Update
Mats Wieffer from Brighton and Hove Albion committed a foul.
68
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Diego Gómez from Brighton and Hove Albion attempted a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it sailed high and wide to the right. The chance was set up by Mats Wieffer after a quick counter-attack.
68
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Diego Gómez from Brighton and Hove Albion attempted a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the right of the goal. The assist came from Mats Wieffer after a quick counterattack.
66
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Trai Hume from Sunderland attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went just wide to the left. The assist came from Chris Rigg.
64
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: Luke O'Nien replaces Dan Ballard due to injury.
63
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Dan Ballard from Sunderland.
63
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Habib Diarra from Sunderland attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sunderland after Diego Gómez gave it away.
58
Corner Corner
Goal! Brighton and Hove Albion takes the lead against Sunderland, making it 1-0. Yankuba Minteh scores with a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the right, finding the bottom left corner after a corner kick.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Brighton and Hove Albion takes the lead against Sunderland, making it 1-0. Yankuba Minteh scores with a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the right, finding the left corner of the net following a corner kick.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Brighton and Hove Albion after Trai Hume allowed the ball to go out.
55
Update Update
Omar Alderete from Sunderland has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
55
Update Update
Diego Gómez committed a foul against a player from Brighton and Hove Albion.
53
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Brian Brobbey from Sunderland took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
51
Update Update
Noah Sadiki from Sunderland has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
51
Update Update
Noah Sadiki from Sunderland was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Diego Gómez of Brighton and Hove Albion has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
50
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Danny Welbeck of Brighton and Hove Albion attempted a header from a challenging angle on the right but failed to convert. The assist came from Pascal Groß, who delivered a cross.
50
Update Update
VAR Review: Goal Disallowed for Sunderland, score remains Sunderland 0-0 Brighton and Hove Albion.
49
Update Update
GOAL DISALLOWED AFTER VAR REVIEW: Chris Rigg from Sunderland finds the back of the net, but the goal is canceled following a VAR check.
48
Update Update
Chris Rigg from Sunderland was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
48
Update Update
Fouled by Ferdi Kadioglu - Brighton & Hove Albion.
48
Update Update
Offside call against Sunderland. Omar Alderete is caught in an offside position.
45
Update Update
Ferdi Kadioglu of Brighton and Hove Albion has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at Sunderland 0, Brighton and Hove Albion 0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sunderland after Jan Paul van Hecke allows it to go out.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
Habib Diarra from Sunderland committed a foul.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score still tied at Sunderland 0, Brighton and Hove Albion 0.
44
Update Update
The attempt is thwarted. Dan Ballard from Sunderland heads the ball from the middle of the penalty area, but it's deflected away. The assist came from Trai Hume, who delivered a cross.
44
Update Update
Habib Diarra from Sunderland earned a free kick in an offensive position.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sunderland after Diego Gómez allowed the ball to go out.
42
Update Update
Pascal Groß from Brighton and Hove Albion committed a foul.
42
Update Update
Brian Brobbey of Sunderland committed a foul.
42
Update Update
Bart Verbruggen from Brighton and Hove Albion has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sunderland, following a defensive play by Bart Verbruggen.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sunderland after Bart Verbruggen allowed the ball out of play.
38
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Chris Rigg from Sunderland took a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it went wide to the left.
37
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
36
Update Update
Match is temporarily halted due to an injury to Dan Ballard from Sunderland.
35
Update Update
Omar Alderete from Sunderland committed a foul.
35
Update Update
Jack Hinshelwood from Brighton and Hove Albion has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
34
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
34
Update Update
Pascal Groß from Brighton and Hove Albion earned a free kick in an offensive position.
32
Update Update
Fouled by Habib Diarra of Sunderland.
32
Update Update
Pascal Groß from Brighton and Hove Albion has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
32
Update Update
Chris Rigg from Sunderland committed a foul.
32
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Chris Rigg from Sunderland takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Chemsdine Talbi.
28
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
27
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Noah Sadiki from Sunderland.
26
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Brighton and Hove Albion after Dan Ballard allowed the ball to go out.
26
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Jan Paul van Hecke from Brighton and Hove Albion fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it’s blocked. The assist came from Jack Hinshelwood, who set him up with a header.
25
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Jack Hinshelwood from Brighton and Hove Albion takes a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped by the goalkeeper.
23
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Noah Sadiki from Sunderland fired a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Chemsdine Talbi.
23
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal is thwarted. Noah Sadiki from Sunderland fires a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Trai Hume.
22
Update Update
Offside call against Brighton and Hove Albion. Yankuba Minteh has been caught in an offside position.
17
Attempt Attempt
A shot was deflected. Ferdi Kadioglu of Brighton and Hove Albion attempted a right-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Jack Hinshelwood.
16
Corner Corner
A new offensive play unfolds as Omar Alderete from Sunderland takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area. The attempt is successfully stopped in the right corner by Bart Verbruggen of Brighton and Hove Albion, with Dan Ballard providing the assist.
15
Update Update
Diego Gómez committed a foul for Brighton and Hove Albion.
15
Update Update
Noah Sadiki from Sunderland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
14
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal is thwarted. Chemsdine Talbi from Sunderland fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Brian Brobbey.
12
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Pascal Groß from Brighton and Hove Albion attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a corner, but it went off target.
10
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Chemsdine Talbi from Sunderland fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Lewis Dunk from Brighton and Hove Albion takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
9
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Jack Hinshelwood from Brighton and Hove Albion takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box. However, Melker Ellborg of Sunderland makes a great save, diving to his left to stop the ball. The assist came from Yankuba Minteh, who delivered a precise cross.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Brighton and Hove Albion after Melker Ellborg allowed the ball to go out.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sunderland after Mats Wieffer gave it away.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sunderland after Ferdi Kadioglu allowed the ball to go out.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Brighton & Hove Albion exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.