Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premier League, England
Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Sunderland and Brighton & Hove Albion has officially finished, with Brighton securing a 1-0 away victory following a scoreless first half. Going into the fixture, Brighton & Hove Albion were favored by the pre-match market with a 44.9% win probability, compared to Sunderland's 27.5%. The final result successfully aligned with these market expectations. Despite Sunderland being classified as the generally stronger team, the away victory represented a significant deviation level (55.1%) driven by Brighton's winning performance. Play on the pitch was tightly contested. Brighton controlled a narrow possession advantage of 52% against Sunderland's 48%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for both teams in this fixture, meaning no concrete conclusion could be drawn regarding whether the 1-0 outcome was consistent with underlying chance creation. The match's overall efficiency shift remained strictly in line with projections. Furthermore, it was a disciplined affair; with zero red cards issued to either side, Brighton & Hove Albion were able to execute their game plan and claim the victory without any major disciplinary events impacting the final result.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Brighton & Hove Albion showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
Team Power Ranking
i
80.29
72.5
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Sunderland
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Sunderland
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:01:17+00:00
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General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary