Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium Fri, 6 Mar - 2:12 PM
Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur TOT
1 Winner 3
Crystal Palace CRY
Full Time Fri, 6 Mar 2:12 PM
Dominic Solanke - 34'
Goal
|
Goal
Ismaïla Sarr - 40' (P), 45+7'
Jørgen Strand Larsen - 45+1'
Micky van de Ven 38' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

The match between Tottenham Hotspur and Crystal Palace has officially finished, concluding in a 0-0 draw. Crystal Palace entered the contest as the stronger team, meaning their failure to secure a victory represented a significant deviation in performance. Although specific pre-match market probabilities registered at zero across all potential outcomes, the resulting stalemate was ultimately considered market aligned. Expected goals (xG) metrics were unavailable for both teams in this fixture, making it impossible to evaluate if the scoreless outcome was consistent with the underlying offensive creation. However, Crystal Palace dictated the tempo on the pitch, commanding 60% possession compared to Tottenham's 40%. The overall efficiency shift remained in line with expectations, even as Tottenham recorded a positive efficiency rating of

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Crystal Palace showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
C. Taylor
C. Taylor
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.33
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 5.33
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
R. Ricardo
R. Ricardo
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.33
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 5.33
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
M. Scholes
M. Scholes
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.33
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 5.33
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
A. Madley
A. Madley
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.33
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 5.33
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Tottenham Hotspur I. Tudor
I. Tudor
VS
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
1.24
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sunderland Rank: D
Brentford Rank: D
Crystal Palace Rank: W
Liverpool Rank: L
Nottingham Forest Rank: L
Brentford Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fulham Rank: D
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: L
Leeds United Rank: L
Manchester City Rank: L
Fulham Rank: W
Burnley Rank: W
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 4 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tottenham Hotspur
38.59%
Draw
28.26%
Away Crystal Palace
33.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
33.33
41.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
Power Score
33.33
41.01
League Position
16
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Tottenham Hotspur — Opponent-weighted form score
Crystal Palace — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tottenham Hotspur Crystal Palace

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Tottenham Hotspur

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Crystal Palace

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Tottenham Hotspur ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Crystal Palace
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.63
18.25
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.25
33.63
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Tottenham Hotspur +1.83 Efficiency Index
vs
Crystal Palace -1.83 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Tottenham Hotspur
vs
Crystal Palace
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Tottenham Hotspur Crystal Palace
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +1.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Tottenham Hotspur Crystal Palace
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tottenham Hotspur TOT Home
3 matches
Crystal Palace CRY Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
2
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-06T14:12:18+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 06, 2026, 02:12 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England
Stadium
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Capacity
62850
Attendance
60213
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Craig Taylor
Ruebyn Ricardo
Mark Scholes
Andrew Madley

Statistics

Possession
TOT
44%
CRY
56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 3
12 Shots 9
29 Dangerous attacks 39
40 Possession 60
6 Corners 3
15 Free kicks 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

22 Throwins 13
0 Injuries 2
17 Dribble Attempts 9
3 Goal Kicks 7
41 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
22 Successful Headers 18
7 Successful Dribbles 3
4 Substitutions 4
61 Ball Safe 55
7 Goal Attempts 6
1 Assists 2
0 Penalties 1

Attacking

86 Attacks 92

Possession

41 Long Passes 49
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
19 Successful Long Passes 22
78 Successful Passes Percentage 87
242 Successful Passes 402
311 Passes 463
10 Key Passes 4

Defensive

60 Duels Won 62
17 Tackles 24
1 Saves 3
10 Interceptions 6

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 2
12 Total Crosses 20

Discipline

14 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Nathaniel Clyne
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Yves Bissouma
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
82'
81'
Event
Christantus Uche → Jørgen Strand Larsen
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Will Hughes → Adam Wharton
7th Substitution
Event
Xavi Simons → Pedro Porro 
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Richarlison  → Dominic Solanke
5th Substitution
74'
67'
Event
Brennan Johnson → Evann Guessand
4th Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+7'
Event
Ismaïla Sarr
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
45+1'
Event
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Conor Gallagher → Souza
3rd Substitution
43'
Event
Yves Bissouma → Randal Kolo Muani
2nd Substitution
43'
40'
Event
Ismaïla Sarr
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Micky van de Ven
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
38'
Event
Dominic Solanke
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
34'
32'
Event
Ismaïla Sarr
Goal disallowed
Event
Pape Matar Sarr
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
25'
22'
Event
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
14'
Event
Nathaniel Clyne → Daniel Muñoz
1st Substitution
Event
Souza
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
7'
Event
6th Yellowcard
7'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nathaniel Clyne of Crystal Palace has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Update Update
Xavi Simons from Tottenham Hotspur earned a free kick in an offensive position.
90
Update Update
Nathaniel Clyne from Crystal Palace committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Christantus Uche from Crystal Palace has been awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Tottenham Hotspur 1, Crystal Palace 3.
90
Update Update
Pape Matar Sarr from Tottenham Hotspur earned a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
90
Update Update
Jaydee Canvot from Crystal Palace committed a foul.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Jaydee Canvot from Crystal Palace had a header from inside the six-yard box on the left side, but it went just wide to the left following a corner kick.
90
Update Update
Richarlison from Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Opportunity squandered! Mathys Tel from Tottenham Hotspur had a header from within the six-yard box on the left side, but it went just wide. The assist came from Xavi Simons, who delivered a precise cross.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Crystal Palace after Pape Matar Sarr allowed the ball to go out.
86
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Xavi Simons from Tottenham Hotspur fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
85
Update Update
Xavi Simons from Tottenham Hotspur earned a free kick in an offensive position.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Daichi Kamada against Crystal Palace.
84
Update Update
Daichi Kamada committed a foul against Crystal Palace.
84
Update Update
Conor Gallagher from Tottenham Hotspur has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
84
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Christantus Uche from Crystal Palace fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
83
Update Update
Kevin Danso of Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
83
Update Update
Christantus Uche from Crystal Palace has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
82
Update Update
Tyrick Mitchell from Crystal Palace earned a free kick in the defensive area.
82
Update Update
Kevin Danso of Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yves Bissouma of Tottenham Hotspur has been shown a yellow card.
81
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Christantus Uche comes on to replace Jørgen Strand Larsen.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Will Hughes is coming on to replace Adam Wharton.
78
Update Update
Match interruption - Crystal Palace.
77
Update Update
Pape Matar Sarr from Tottenham Hotspur was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
77
Update Update
Adam Wharton committed a foul against Crystal Palace.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham Hotspur: Xavi Simons comes on to replace Pedro Porro.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham Hotspur: Richarlison comes on to replace Dominic Solanke.
73
Update Update
Kevin Danso from Tottenham Hotspur has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
73
Update Update
Jørgen Strand Larsen from Crystal Palace committed a foul.
70
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Jørgen Strand Larsen of Crystal Palace attempted a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area.
68
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive push. Pape Matar Sarr from Tottenham Hotspur takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but the attempt is stopped.
67
Update Update
Tyrick Mitchell of Crystal Palace committed a foul.
67
Update Update
Pedro Porro of Tottenham Hotspur has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Brennan Johnson comes on to replace Evann Guessand.
62
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after Chris Richards allowed the ball to go out of play.
60
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Adam Wharton from Crystal Palace attempts a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! João Palhinha from Tottenham Hotspur took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Crystal Palace after Kevin Danso allows the ball to go out.
48
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Archie Gray from Tottenham Hotspur tries a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
48
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Pape Matar Sarr from Tottenham Hotspur attempts a left-footed strike from the right side of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Dominic Solanke.
48
Update Update
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Kevin Danso from Tottenham Hotspur directed a header from within the six-yard area, but it was blocked on the left side. The assist came from Mathys Tel, who delivered a cross.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after Dean Henderson allowed the ball to go out.
46
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after Chris Richards allowed the ball to go out.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after Chadi Riad allowed the ball to go out.
46
Update Update
Another offensive effort unfolds. Kevin Danso of Tottenham Hotspur heads the ball from the center of the box, but Dean Henderson of Crystal Palace makes a great save, stopping it in the top center of the goal. The assist came from Mathys Tel.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tottenham Hotspur 1, Crystal Palace 2. Jørgen Strand Larsen scores for Crystal Palace, firing a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom right corner. The assist comes from Adam Wharton, who delivered a perfectly timed through ball.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tottenham Hotspur 1, Crystal Palace 3. Ismaïla Sarr from Crystal Palace scores with a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area.
45
Update Update
João Palhinha from Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Evann Guessand from Crystal Palace earned a free kick in an offensive position.
45
Update Update
Ismaïla Sarr from Crystal Palace has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Porro of Tottenham Hotspur.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 8 minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the scoreline reading Tottenham Hotspur 1, Crystal Palace 3.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the scoreline reading Tottenham Hotspur 1, Crystal Palace 3.
44
Update Update
Ismaïla Sarr commits a handball for Crystal Palace.
43
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham Hotspur: Yves Bissouma comes on to replace Randal Kolo Muani.
43
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham Hotspur: Conor Gallagher comes on to replace Souza.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now Tottenham Hotspur 1, Crystal Palace 1. Ismaïla Sarr from Crystal Palace successfully converts the penalty, placing a right-footed shot into the bottom left corner.
38
Update Update
Micky van de Ven of Tottenham Hotspur has given away a penalty following a foul inside the box.
38
Update Update
Penalty awarded to Crystal Palace! Ismaïla Sarr is brought down inside the box.
38
Red Card Red Card Important
Micky van de Ven from Tottenham Hotspur has been shown a red card.
37
Update Update
Evann Guessand from Crystal Palace has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
37
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Porro of Tottenham Hotspur.
36
Update Update
Nathaniel Clyne commits a foul for Crystal Palace.
36
Update Update
Mathys Tel from Tottenham Hotspur earned a free kick in the defensive area.
34
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Mathys Tel from Tottenham Hotspur fires a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Souza.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after a defensive play by Jaydee Canvot.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tottenham Hotspur takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Crystal Palace. Dominic Solanke scores with a left-footed shot from close range, sending the ball into the upper part of the net. The assist comes from Archie Gray following a corner kick.
32
Update Update
VAR Review: Goal Disallowed - Tottenham Hotspur 0-0 Crystal Palace.
29
Update Update
Offside call against Crystal Palace. Ismaïla Sarr has been caught offside.
29
Update Update
GOAL DISALLOWED AFTER VAR REVIEW: Ismaïla Sarr of Crystal Palace finds the back of the net, but the goal is canceled following a VAR check.
28
Corner Corner
Goal! Crystal Palace takes the lead against Tottenham Hotspur with a score of 1-0. Ismaïla Sarr found the back of the net with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it perfectly into the right corner. The assist came from Evann Guessand.
28
Update Update
Randal Kolo Muani committed a foul against Tottenham Hotspur.
27
Update Update
Chadi Riad from Crystal Palace has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
27
Update Update
Mathys Tel from Tottenham Hotspur earned a free kick in an offensive position.
27
Update Update
Adam Wharton committed a foul against Crystal Palace.
27
Update Update
Randal Kolo Muani committed a foul against Tottenham Hotspur.
26
Update Update
Pape Matar Sarr from Tottenham Hotspur earned a free kick in the defensive area.
25
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pape Matar Sarr from Tottenham Hotspur has been shown a yellow card.
25
Update Update
Offside call against Tottenham Hotspur. Dominic Solanke has been caught offside.
25
Update Update
Evann Guessand from Crystal Palace committed a foul.
24
Update Update
Souza from Tottenham Hotspur has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
23
Update Update
Nathaniel Clyne of Crystal Palace committed a foul.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jørgen Strand Larsen of Crystal Palace has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
21
Update Update
Micky van de Ven from Tottenham Hotspur was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
21
Update Update
Jørgen Strand Larsen committed a foul on a Crystal Palace player.
19
Update Update
Chris Richards from Crystal Palace committed a foul.
19
Update Update
Micky van de Ven from Tottenham Hotspur was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
18
Update Update
Jørgen Strand Larsen from Crystal Palace was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
18
Update Update
Randal Kolo Muani committed a foul against Tottenham Hotspur.
18
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Crystal Palace after Archie Gray allowed the ball to go out.
17
Update Update
Evann Guessand from Crystal Palace earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
17
Update Update
Pedro Porro from Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Ismaïla Sarr from Crystal Palace has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
16
Update Update
Micky van de Ven from Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
15
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Mathys Tel from Tottenham Hotspur takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area. However, Dean Henderson, the Crystal Palace goalkeeper, makes a crucial save right in the center of the goal. The assist for this attempt came from Pedro Porro, who set it up with a header.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after Tyrick Mitchell allowed the ball to go out.
14
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Nathaniel Clyne replaces Daniel Muñoz due to injury.
13
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
12
Update Update
Match is currently on hold due to an injury to Daniel Muñoz from Crystal Palace.
12
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Daniel Muñoz of Crystal Palace takes a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
9
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
8
Update Update
Match is currently on hold due to an injury to Daniel Muñoz from Crystal Palace.
7
Update Update
Daniel Muñoz from Crystal Palace earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
7
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Souza of Tottenham Hotspur has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
7
Update Update
Souza committed a foul on a Tottenham Hotspur player.
6
Update Update
Jørgen Strand Larsen from Crystal Palace was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
6
Update Update
Kevin Danso from Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
6
Update Update
Jørgen Strand Larsen from Crystal Palace was awarded a free kick on the right side of the pitch.
4
Update Update
Mathys Tel from Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
4
Update Update
Jaydee Canvot from Crystal Palace has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
1
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Adam Wharton from Crystal Palace takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but Guglielmo Vicario of Tottenham Hotspur makes a save, diving to his left to deny the attempt.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Crystal Palace exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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