Obolon'-Brovar vs SK Poltava Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine

Obolon' Arena Fri, 17 Apr - 3:00 PM

Premier League

Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar

1 – 1

SK Poltava SK Poltava

Full Time Fri, 17 Apr 3:00 PM

Round 24 Regular Season

Oleg Slobodyan - 82' (P)

V. Sad - 54' (P)

Oleg Veremiyenko 67'

CONTEXT

Obolon'-Brovar and SK Poltava played out a 1-1 draw in a match marked by resilience and disruption. The home side, considered stronger, held 53% possession but struggled to convert dominance into a win. The first half ended 0-0, even at halftime. Tension escalated in the second half when SK Poltava received a red card, yet they equalized and held firm against numerical disadvantage. This outcome defied expectations, showing a significant 75.7% structural deviation attributed to Obolon'-Brovar. Market views did not align with the result, while efficiency remained in line with norms. The red card introduced distortion, altering second-half dynamics and preventing a home victory despite their edge.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match exhibited 75.7% significant structural deviation for Obolon'-Brovar.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
Market alignment: Market expectations did not align with the draw.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable from available data.
Event impact: Away red card significantly influenced game flow.
Red card distortion: Red card caused second-half distortion as per adjustments.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

O. Solovyan

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Levchenko

2nd Assistant

I. Sadkovskiy

4th Official

S. Dariichuk

1st Assistant

O. Antonenko

P. Matviychenko

0.87

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.4

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 0 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Obolon'-Brovar

62.11%

Draw

24.26%

SK Poltava

13.63%

Movement

Changes since opening

Obolon'-Brovar

+54.94%

Draw

-65.36%

SK Poltava

+10.42%

Team Power Ranking

14.23

10.8

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Obolon'-Brovar

SK Poltava

Power Score

14.23

10.8

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Obolon'-Brovar — Opponent-weighted form score

SK Poltava — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Obolon'-Brovar SK Poltava

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Obolon'-Brovar

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

SK Poltava

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Obolon'-Brovar ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy SK Poltava

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

35.57

15.11

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

15.11

35.57

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Obolon'-Brovar +2.08 Efficiency Index

SK Poltava -2.08 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Obolon'-Brovar

SK Poltava

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Obolon'-Brovar ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy SK Poltava

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Obolon'-Brovar SK Poltava

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Obolon'-Brovar SK Poltava

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Obolon'-Brovar

SK Poltava

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Obolon'-Brovar

SK Poltava

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Obolon'-Brovar SK Poltava

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Transition Efficiency Index Higher = stronger on the counter

Obolon'-Brovar 0.28

SK Poltava 0.27

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Obolon'-Brovar SK Poltava

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Obolon'-Brovar

SK Poltava

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Obolon'-Brovar had peak pressure around 86'.
SK Poltava started the game with stronger pressure.

Obolon'-Brovar Pressure SK Poltava Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Obolon'-Brovar reached the top pressure at 86' (47.12).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar Home

1 matches

SK Poltava SK Poltava Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-1

Data last updated: 2026-04-18T00:01:23+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

31 D. Marchenko

28 P. Polehenko

44 O. Zhovtenko

50 D. Semenov

5 E. Shevchenko

6 M. Chekh

20 R. Volokhatiy

13 I. Medynskyi

10 O. Slobodyan

75 M. Tretyakov

9 D. Ustymenko

1 M. Minchev

95 I. Kotsyumaka

33 O. Veremiienko

5 V. Pidlepych

24 I. Ukhan

15 V. Danilenko

21 A. Doroshenko

7 D. Galenkov

10 V. Sad

8 V. Odariuk

38 D. Sukhoruchko

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 17, 2026, 03:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 24 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Obolon' Arena

Capacity :

5100

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ , Clear

Referees :

Oleksandr Solovyan

Maksim Levchenko

Igor Sadkovskiy

Serhii Dariichuk

Statistics

Possession

Obolon'-Brovar

56%

SK Poltava

44%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

8 Shots 2

57 Dangerous attacks 22

53 Possession 47

7 Corners 2

1 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

3 Goal Kicks 10

1 Penalties 1

Attacking

106 Attacks 88

Defensive

1 Saves 7

Discipline

13 Fouls 21

2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Oleksandr Solovyan

Manager ▼

O. Antonenko Coach

Starting XI ▼

Denys Marchenko Goalkeeper

6.43

Yevgeniy Shevchenko Defender

6.17

Pavlo Polegenko Defender

6.18

O. Zhovtenko Defender

6.35

Dmytro Semenov Defender

6.3

Maksym Chekh Midfielder

6.32

Oleg Slobodyan Midfielder

6.4

Igor Medynskyi Midfielder

6.38

Sergiy Sukhanov

Attacker67'

6.51

R. Volokhatyi Midfielder

6.45

Taras Lyakh

83'

6.68

Maksym Tretyakov Midfielder

6.62

Denys Ustymenko Attacker

6.65

Substitutes ▼

Sergiy Sukhanov

Attacker67'

6.51

Taras Lyakh

83'

6.68

Bench ▼

Nazariy Fedorivskyi Goalkeeper

6.02

Vadym Stashkiv Goalkeeper

5.9

Oleksandr Feshchenko Defender

6.43

Andriy Lomnytskyi Defender

6.39

Artem Kulakovskyi Midfielder

6.41

Ruslan Chernenko Midfielder

6.42

Yegor Prokopenko Midfielder

6.32

Ivan Nesterenko Midfielder

6.41

Oleksandr Kozlov Attacker

6.37

Kostyantyn Bychek Attacker

6.48

Referee : Oleksandr Solovyan