Slaven Koprivnica vs Hajduk Split Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Gradski Stadion Tomorrow - 3:45 PM
1. HNL
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica
Versus
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 3:45 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Slaven Koprivnica will host Hajduk Split in a 1. HNL Regular Season fixture at the Gradski Stadion. The home side sits in fifth position in the league table, while the visitors occupy second place. This positions Hajduk Split as the stronger team on current standings entering the match. Slaven Koprivnica's season form reads W1 D2 L3 from 6 matches. Their last outing was a Loss away to Varaždin. Hajduk Split's season form reads W4 D1 L1 from 6 matches after a Win at home to Gorica. The contrasting records highlight Hajduk Split's greater consistency this season compared to the home team's more mixed results. Both sides will seek to build on their recent outings and adjust their approach according to league positioning. The contest offers Slaven Koprivnica a chance to close the gap on the teams above them at home.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hajduk Split hold a +15 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Hajduk Split sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Slaven Koprivnica show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Hajduk Split have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Hajduk Split carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Hajduk Split hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Slaven Koprivnica 22.2% (Δ-0.3%) | Draw 28% (Δ+-0%) | Hajduk Split 49.9% (Δ+0.3%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Slaven Koprivnica M. Gregurina
M. Gregurina
VS
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
1.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Varaždin Rank: L
Rijeka Rank: L
Osijek Rank: D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Gorica Rank: D
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica Rank: W
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Vukovar Rank: W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Varaždin Rank: D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 21 - 42
42
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Slaven Koprivnica
22.15%
Draw
27.95%
Away Hajduk Split
49.9%

Movement

Changes since opening
Slaven Koprivnica
-0.31%
Draw
-0.03%
Hajduk Split
+0.34%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.27
33.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Slaven Koprivnica
Hajduk Split
Power Score
18.27
33.23
League Position
5
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Slaven Koprivnica Hajduk Split

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 70 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Home
70 matches
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Away
Match Record
7
Wins
42
21
Draws
21
42
Losses
7
Goals
49
Goals Scored
118
118
Goals Conceded
49
-69
Goal Difference
+69
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:02:42+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
O. Hadzikic
31 O. Hadzikic
F. Krušelj
18 F. Krušelj
T. Božić
6 T. Božić
D. Kovačić
4 D. Kovačić
F. Jović
22 F. Jović
I. Ćubelić
15 I. Ćubelić
L. Crepulja
21 L. Crepulja
F. Mažar
17 F. Mažar
J. Mitrović
11 J. Mitrović
M. Dabro
7 M. Dabro
G. Sivalec
26 G. Sivalec
T. Silić
33 T. Silić
?. Hrgović
32 ?. Hrgović
D. Maresic
15 D. Maresic
Z. Šarlija
31 Z. Šarlija
N. Sigur
8 N. Sigur
F. Krovinović
23 F. Krovinović
A. Pajaziti
4 A. Pajaziti
M. Šego
11 M. Šego
R. Pukstas
21 R. Pukstas
R. Brajković
28 R. Brajković
M. Livaja
10 M. Livaja

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 17, 2026, 03:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Gradski Stadion
Capacity
3205
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

31
Osman Hadzikic
Osman Hadzikic Goalkeeper
6.66
26
Gabrijel Sivalec
Gabrijel Sivalec Attacker
6.46
7
Marko Dabro
Marko Dabro Centre Forward
6.54
11
Josip Mitrovic
Josip Mitrovic Attacker
6.96
4
Dominik Kovacic
Dominik Kovacic Left Back
6.75
6
Tomislav Bozic
Tomislav Bozic Right Back
6.79
15
Ivan Cubelic
Ivan Cubelic Central Midfield
6.68
17
Filip Mažar
Filip Mažar Central Midfield
6.79
18
Filip Kruselj
Filip Kruselj Right Back
6.79
21
Ljuban Crepulja
Ljuban Crepulja Central Midfield
6.87
22
Filip Jovic
Filip Jovic Left Back
6.37

Starting XI ▼

33
Toni Silic
Toni Silic Goalkeeper
6.88
10
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja Centre Forward
7.18
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Defensive Midfield
6.88
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Left Back
6.99
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Attacking Midfield
7.37
23
Filip Krovinovic
Filip Krovinovic Defensive Midfield
7.11
28
Roko Brajkovic
Roko Brajkovic Right Wing
6.98
31
Zvonimir Sarlija
Zvonimir Sarlija Right Back
6.94
32
Simun Hrgovic
Simun Hrgovic Left Back
6.8
8
Niko Sigur
Niko Sigur Right Back
6.98
11
Michele Sego
Michele Sego Left Wing
7.02

CONCLUSION

Hajduk Split has the stronger pre-match profile with a 15-point power advantage. Projections identify Hajduk Split as the leader with 49.6 percent and this aligns with the structural signals. Slaven Koprivnica is fifth in the league with form of one win two draws and three losses from six matches compared to Hajduk Split in second with four wins one draw and one loss from six matches. The away team comes off a home win against Gorica while the home team lost away to Varazdin. Improved defensive execution is required for Slaven Koprivnica to compete effectively.

Related Football Previews