Sassuolo vs Como Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore Tomorrow - 4:30 PM
Serie A
Sassuolo SAS
Versus
Como COM
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 4:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sassuolo face Como at the MAPEI Stadium in a Serie A Regular Season match during the 2025/2026 season. The home side currently sits in 11th position in the league, while the visitors occupy a strong 5th place. Power scores indicate Como as the stronger team with 30.56 against Sassuolo's 21.53, resulting in a 9 point advantage for the away side. Recent form shows Sassuolo with a 38.89 score following a loss to Genoa on the road, and a record of two wins, one draw and three losses in six matches. In contrast, Como boasts a 72.22 form score with four wins in their last six outings, despite a recent home defeat to Inter. This matchup highlights Como's push for European spots against a Sassuolo team eager to improve their mid-table standing through solid home performances. The fixture offers Sassuolo a chance to turn around their fortunes against a high-flying Como side.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Como holds a 9-point power advantage and a 6-place lead in the table, marking them as the stronger side overall.
  • Form: Como leads with 72.22 form score and W4 D1 L1 record; Sassuolo trails at 38.89 with W2 D1 L3.
  • Squad: Como's higher league position suggests greater squad depth and confidence for the away challenge.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable; evaluation centers on power scores and recent performance trends.
  • Transition: Transition play appears sharper for Como, aligning with their consistent results and attacking momentum.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data limited with low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: Advanced metrics unavailable, shifting focus toward traditional form, structure and execution.
  • Market: Projection split: Sassuolo 19.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.9% (Δ+0%) | Como 56.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sassuolo F. Grosso
F. Grosso
VS
Como F. Fàbregas i Soler
F. Fàbregas i Soler
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.88
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genoa Rank: L
Cagliari Rank: W
Juventus Rank: D
Bologna Rank: L
Lazio Rank: L
Atalanta Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter Rank: L
Udinese Rank: D
Pisa Rank: W
Roma Rank: W
Cagliari Rank: W
Lecce Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sassuolo
19.26%
Draw
23.89%
Away Como
56.85%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.53
30.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sassuolo
Como
Power Score
21.53
30.56
League Position
11
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sassuolo — Opponent-weighted form score
Como — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sassuolo Como

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sassuolo SAS Home
2 matches
Como COM Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
0
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:02:56+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
A. Murić
Kosovo
49 A. Murić
S. Walukiewicz
Poland
6 S. Walukiewicz
J. Idzes
Netherlands
21 J. Idzes
T. Muharemovic
Bosnia and Herzegovina
80 T. Muharemovic
W. Coulibaly
France
25 W. Coulibaly
I. Koné
Canada
90 I. Koné
N. Matić
Serbia
18 N. Matić
K. Thorstvedt
Norway
42 K. Thorstvedt
C. Volpato
Italy
7 C. Volpato
A. Pinamonti
Italy
99 A. Pinamonti
A. Lauriente
France
45 A. Lauriente
J. Butez
France
1 J. Butez
?. Valle Gómez
Spain
3 ?. Valle Gómez
M. Kempf
Germany
2 M. Kempf
D. Santos Silva
Brazil
34 D. Santos Silva
I. Brempt
Belgium
77 I. Brempt
M. Perrone
Argentina
23 M. Perrone
S. Roberto Carnicer
Spain
8 S. Roberto Carnicer
M. Baturina
Croatia
20 M. Baturina
N. Paz Martínez
Argentina
10 N. Paz Martínez
A. Diao Diaoune
Senegal
38 A. Diao Diaoune
A. Douvikas
Greece
11 A. Douvikas

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 17, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Capacity
21584
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Francesco Fourneau
Claudio Barone
Giacomo Monaco
Simone Galipò

Lineup

Referee : Francesco Fourneau

Starting XI ▼

49
Arijanet Murić
Arijanet Murić Goalkeeper
7.18
6
Sebastian Walukiewicz
Sebastian Walukiewicz Defender
6.67
21
Jay Idzes
Jay Idzes Defender
6.67
25
Woyo Coulibaly
Woyo Coulibaly Defender
6.51
80
Tarik Muharemović
Tarik Muharemović Defender
6.96
18
Nemanja Matic
Nemanja Matic Midfielder
6.82
42
Kristian Thorstvedt
Kristian Thorstvedt Midfielder
6.92
90
Ismaël Koné
Ismaël Koné Midfielder
6.86
7
Cristian Volpato
Cristian Volpato Attacker
6.81
45
Armand Laurienté
Armand Laurienté Attacker
6.97
99
Andrea Pinamonti
Andrea Pinamonti Attacker
6.75
Referee : Francesco Fourneau

Starting XI ▼

1
Jean Butez
Jean Butez Goalkeeper
7.08
2
Marc Oliver Kempf
Marc Oliver Kempf Defender
6.86
3
Álex Valle
Álex Valle Defender
6.85
34
Diego Carlos
Diego Carlos Defender
6.87
77
Ignace Van der Brempt
Ignace Van der Brempt Defender
6.6
8
Sergi Roberto
Sergi Roberto Midfielder
6.63
10
Nico Paz
Nico Paz Midfielder
7.53
23
Máximo Perrone
Máximo Perrone Midfielder
7
11
Anastasios Douvikas
Anastasios Douvikas Attacker
6.85
20
Martin Baturina
Martin Baturina Attacker
7.13
38
Assane Diao
Assane Diao Attacker
6.74

CONCLUSION

Como enters this fixture with clear momentum and structural superiority, making them well equipped to claim a strong result on the road. Sassuolo must use their home environment at MAPEI Stadium to create disruptions, particularly after both teams suffered losses last time out. While detailed efficiency and set piece insights remain limited, the visitors' superior form record points to better overall execution. Sassuolo will look to exploit any transition opportunities to offset the power gap. This Serie A meeting should deliver an intriguing battle between a mid-table host seeking improvement and an ambitious away side targeting sustained success.

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