Djurgården vs Malmö FF Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Djurgården DJU
Versus
Malmö FF MAL
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Round 3 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Djurgården and Malmö FF prepare to face each other in an important Allsvenskan regular season match at Tele2 Arena. Currently sitting in second position, the home team holds a notable power score advantage over their opponents who occupy fifth place. Recent results have been positive for both sides, as Djurgården secured a victory against Kalmar in their last home appearance while Malmö FF triumphed over GAIS at home. Form records indicate consistent performances with the hosts achieving four wins, one draw and one loss from six matches. The visitors have managed three wins alongside two draws and one defeat in the same number of games. This fixture offers a chance for Djurgården to extend their strong start to the 2026 campaign against a resilient Malmö FF side eager to improve their league standing. Supporters anticipate a competitive display where tactical discipline will play a significant role.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Second-placed hosts carry a clear power advantage into the Tele2 Arena meeting with fifth-placed visitors.
  • Form: Djurgården hold a slight edge after four wins from six outings compared to Malmö FF securing three victories.
  • Squad: Both lineups enter refreshed from recent successes with no significant disruptions reported across either group.
  • Efficiency: Hosts display marginally superior execution across key metrics while visitors maintain competitive standards.
  • Transition: Rapid shifts from defence into attack stand poised to create openings for whichever side seizes the initiative.
  • Set pieces: Low confidence data suggests standard routines will matter yet without detailed insights into conversion rates.
  • xVariable: Unpredictable in-game adaptations and individual moments could ultimately tilt the balance either way.
  • Market: Djurgården 41.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28% (Δ+0%) | Malmö FF 30.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Djurgården J. Honkavaara
J. Honkavaara
VS
Malmö FF M. Ramírez
M. Ramírez
2.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.83
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kalmar Rank: W
GAIS Rank: W
Öster Rank: W
IFK Göteborg Rank: D
Värnamo Rank: W
GAIS Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
GAIS Rank: W
Örgryte Rank: D
GAIS Rank: W
Häcken Rank: D
Hammarby Rank: L
Norrköping Rank: W
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 7 - 17
17
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Djurgården
41.2%
Draw
28%
Away Malmö FF
30.8%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.96
19.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Djurgården
Malmö FF
Power Score
22.96
19.01
League Position
2
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Djurgården Opponent-weighted form score
Malmö FF Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Djurgården Malmö FF

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 42 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Djurgården DJU Home
42 matches
Malmö FF MAL Away
Match Record
18
Wins
17
7
Draws
7
17
Losses
18
Goals
57
Goals Scored
49
49
Goals Conceded
57
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:03:39+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Rinne
35 J. Rinne
M. Larsson
24 M. Larsson
M. Tenho
5 M. Tenho
L. Hien
3 L. Hien
M. Marques
21 M. Marques
M. Siltanen
20 M. Siltanen
H. Finndell
14 H. Finndell
P. Åslund
8 P. Åslund
B. Hegland
16 B. Hegland
O. Fallenius
15 O. Fallenius
K. Lien
9 K. Lien
R. Olsen
1 R. Olsen
G. Dal Toé Busanello
25 G. Dal Toé Busanello
C. Rosler
19 C. Rosler
P. Jansson
18 P. Jansson
J. Larsen
17 J. Larsen
O. Sjöstrand
24 O. Sjöstrand
T. Lundbergh
47 T. Lundbergh
O. Rosengren
7 O. Rosengren
T. Ali
22 T. Ali
E. Botheim
20 E. Botheim
S. Haksabanovic
29 S. Haksabanovic

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 17, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Tele2 Arena
Capacity
32000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Fredrik Klitte
Simon Kristensson
Daniel Gustavsson
Erik Mattsson

Expected Lineup

Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI

35
Jacob Rinne
Jacob Rinne Goalkeeper
7.21
9
Kristian Strømland Lien
Kristian Strømland Lien Centre Forward
7.55
3
Leon Hien
Leon Hien Left Back
6.92
21
Mikael Marques
Mikael Marques Left Back
7.49
20
Matias Siltanen
Matias Siltanen Defensive Midfield
7.38
14
Hampus Finndell
Hampus Finndell Defensive Midfield
6.93
8
Patric Åslund
Patric Åslund Right Wing
6.95
16
B. Hegland
B. Hegland Attacking Midfield
7.28
15
Oskar Fallenius
Oskar Fallenius Left Wing
7.34
24
Max Larsson
Max Larsson Right Back
6.84
5
Miro Tenho
Miro Tenho Right Back
7.23
Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI

1
Robin Olsen
Robin Olsen Goalkeeper
7.42
24
Oscar Sjöstrand
Oscar Sjöstrand Midfielder
7.15
22
Taha Ali
Taha Ali Midfielder
6.76
20
Erik Botheim
Erik Botheim Attacker
7.26
29
Sead Haksabanovic
Sead Haksabanovic Attacker
6.97
19
Colin Rösler
Colin Rösler Left Back
7.15
7
Otto Rosengren
Otto Rosengren Central Midfield
7.62
17
Jens Stryger Larsen
Jens Stryger Larsen Right Back
6.86
47
Theodor Lundbergh
Theodor Lundbergh Central Midfield
6.84
18
Pontus Jansson
Pontus Jansson Right Back
7.2
25
Busanello
Busanello Left Back
6.78

CONCLUSION

This matchup highlights Djurgården's edge in overall strength and current positioning within the league table. Malmö FF nevertheless remain capable of producing strong performances away from home as evidenced by their solid form. Key to the outcome will be how effectively each team manages transitions between phases of play and utilizes their squad depth. Although set piece information stays limited, such moments often swing results in closely matched games. Ultimately the home advantage combined with superior power scores points toward a favorable result for the leaders although nothing can be taken for granted in this competitive environment.