Las Palmas vs Leganés Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio de Gran Canaria Tomorrow - 7:00 PM
La Liga 2
Las Palmas LPA
Versus
Leganés LEG
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 7:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Las Palmas are set to take on Leganés in an important La Liga 2 match at the Estadio de Gran Canaria during the 2025/2026 regular season. Sitting in seventh place, the home team enjoys a slight power score lead over the visitors who sit fifteenth. Following a loss away at Málaga, Las Palmas will look to bounce back strongly in front of their supporters. Leganés arrive with renewed confidence after defeating Albacete at home. The form guide reveals the hosts have three wins and three defeats from their last six games while the away side have two wins, two draws and two losses. This clash offers both teams a chance to solidify their positions or climb further up the table. Supporters anticipate a competitive display filled with tactical nuances and individual brilliance.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Home advantage at Estadio de Gran Canaria sees seventh-placed Las Palmas challenge fifteenth-placed Leganés in a standard league fixture.
  • Form: Recent performances show Las Palmas with three wins from six matches compared to Leganés securing two victories and two draws in the same span.
  • Squad: Team compositions remain a focal point with both clubs aiming to deploy optimal personnel for maximum impact in this contest.
  • Efficiency: Limited efficiency metrics suggest close competition although the home side holds a minor edge in overall power ratings.
  • Transition: Effective play switching from defence to attack may decide the outcome as teams seek to exploit transitional moments.
  • Set pieces: Reliance on dead ball situations appears balanced with insufficient detailed data to highlight a clear superior side.
  • xVariable: Underlying numbers provide Las Palmas with a small advantage, reflected in their higher power score of 25.7 against 24.65.
  • Market: Las Palmas 55.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.3% (Δ+0%) | Leganés 19% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Las Palmas L. García Fernández
L. García Fernández
VS
Leganés I. Oca Pulido
I. Oca Pulido
1.62
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Málaga Rank: L
Huesca Rank: W
Granada Rank: W
SD Eibar Rank: L
Sporting Gijón Rank: W
Albacete Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Albacete Rank: W
Almería Rank: L
Real Zaragoza Rank: D
Málaga Rank: D
Ceuta Rank: W
Real Valladolid Rank: L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 3 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Las Palmas
55.78%
Draw
25.25%
Away Leganés
18.97%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.7
24.65
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Las Palmas
Leganés
Power Score
25.7
24.65
League Position
7
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score
Leganés — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Las Palmas Leganés

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Las Palmas LPA Home
15 matches
Leganés LEG Away
Match Record
5
Wins
7
3
Draws
3
7
Losses
5
Goals
13
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
13
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:05:16+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Horkaš
1 D. Horkaš
V. Álvarez Rozada
17 V. Álvarez Rozada
S. Barcia Laranxeira
6 S. Barcia Laranxeira
M. Marmol Medina
3 M. Marmol Medina
E. Clemente Maza
5 E. Clemente Maza
J. Viera Ramos
21 J. Viera Ramos
L. Amatucci
16 L. Amatucci
K. Rodríguez Concepción
20 K. Rodríguez Concepción
P. García Mejías
22 P. García Mejías
J. Rodríguez Ruiz
10 J. Rodríguez Ruiz
M. Fuster Lázaro
14 M. Fuster Lázaro
J. Soriano Oropesa
1 J. Soriano Oropesa
E. Franquesa Dolz
15 E. Franquesa Dolz
M. Antolín Garzón
2 M. Antolín Garzón
I. Miquel i Pons
5 I. Miquel i Pons
M. Leiva Calvo
36 M. Leiva Calvo
A. Diawara
24 A. Diawara
G. Melero Manzanares
16 G. Melero Manzanares
S. Cisse
8 S. Cisse
L. Lopes
11 L. Lopes
N. García García
17 N. García García
J. Díaz Espósito
10 J. Díaz Espósito

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 17, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Capacity
32392
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Dinko Horkas
Dinko Horkas Goalkeeper
6.83
21
Jonathan Viera
Jonathan Viera Midfielder
6.94
22
Ale García
Ale García Midfielder
6.84
10
Jesé
Jesé Attacker
6.91
14
Manu Fuster
Manu Fuster Attacker
7.18
5
Enrique Clemente
Enrique Clemente Left Back
7.03
3
Mika Mármol
Mika Mármol Left Back
7.04
6
Sergio Barcia
Sergio Barcia Right Back
7.05
16
Lorenzo Amatucci
Lorenzo Amatucci Central Midfield
6.99
17
Viti Rozada
Viti Rozada Right Back
6.67
20
Kirian Rodríguez
Kirian Rodríguez Central Midfield
6.75

Starting XI ▼

1
Juan Soriano
Juan Soriano Goalkeeper
7
10
Juan Cruz
Juan Cruz Attacker
7
11
Duk
Duk Attacker
6.85
17
Naim García
Naim García Centre Forward
6.79
2
Marvelous Antolín Garzón
Marvelous Antolín Garzón Left Back
6.83
5
Ignasi Miquel
Ignasi Miquel Right Back
6.78
8
Seydouba Cissé
Seydouba Cissé Central Midfield
6.96
15
Enric Franquesa
Enric Franquesa Left Back
6.75
16
Gonzalo Melero
Gonzalo Melero Central Midfield
6.67
24
Amadou Diawara
Amadou Diawara Central Midfield
6.88
36
Marcos Leiva Calvo
Marcos Leiva Calvo Right Back
6.6

CONCLUSION

With a home advantage and better league position, Las Palmas enter this fixture as favorites to secure all three points. Their power rating provides a narrow edge that could prove significant over the course of ninety minutes. Nevertheless, Leganés have demonstrated an ability to pick up results on their travels and cannot be underestimated. Key moments in open play along with disciplined defending will likely influence the final scoreline. Fans can look forward to an engaging afternoon where the home side attempts to dictate the tempo while the visitors search for opportunities on the break. Ultimately, strong execution in critical areas should allow Las Palmas to prevail but only if they maintain focus throughout.

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