Rio Ave vs AVS Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube Tomorrow - 7:45 PM
Liga Portugal
Rio Ave RIO
Versus
AVS AVS
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 7:45 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the heart of the Liga Portugal Regular Season, Rio Ave is set to face AVS at their home ground, the Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube. Standing in 11th place, Rio Ave enjoys a notable edge over 18th-placed AVS, reflected in power scores of 22.13 to 11.79 and a 10.3 point advantage. Their form score of 72.22 dwarfs that of the visitors at 22.22. Fresh from a victory away to Santa Clara, the home side has compiled a record of four wins, one draw and one loss in six matches. AVS, meanwhile, remains winless with four draws and two defeats in a similar span, their last result being a home draw with Vitória Guimarães. This contest offers Rio Ave a platform to assert their superiority against a struggling opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Home side Rio Ave sits 11th with a 10.3 power score advantage over 18th-placed visitors AVS.
  • Form: Rio Ave boasts a strong W4 D1 L1 record from six matches while AVS is winless at W0 D4 L2.
  • Squad: Rio Ave likely to deploy a settled squad leveraging recent success against an AVS team in transition.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency indicators are not fully detailed but point toward a home team edge in overall execution.
  • Transition: Rio Ave demonstrates better transition capabilities aligned with their higher form and power metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis relies on proxy data with low confidence levels for both Rio Ave and AVS.
  • xVariable: Advanced variables reinforce the home advantage with underlying numbers supporting Rio Ave's prospects.
  • Market: Baseline split: Rio Ave 55.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.3% (Δ+0%) | AVS 19.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rio Ave S. Silaidopoulos
S. Silaidopoulos
VS
AVS J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.52
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Santa Clara Rank: W
Alverca Rank: L
Estoril Rank: W
Estrela Amadora Rank: W
Tondela Rank: W
Famalicão Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Guimarães Rank: D
Gil Vicente Rank: L
Tondela Rank: D
Santa Clara Rank: L
Alverca Rank: D
Estrela Amadora Rank: D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rio Ave
55.21%
Draw
25.29%
Away AVS
19.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.13
11.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rio Ave
AVS
Power Score
22.13
11.79
League Position
11
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rio Ave — Opponent-weighted form score
AVS — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rio Ave AVS

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rio Ave RIO Home
3 matches
AVS AVS Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:05:24+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
E. van der Gouw
99 E. van der Gouw
M. Vrousai
17 M. Vrousai
J. Brabec
32 J. Brabec
G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição
39 G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição
N. Abby
6 N. Abby
T. Nikitscher
44 T. Nikitscher
A. Ntoi
5 A. Ntoi
D. Bezerra de Oliveira
7 D. Bezerra de Oliveira
O. Pohlmann
80 O. Pohlmann
D. Špikić
18 D. Špikić
T. Folgado Monteiro
9 T. Folgado Monteiro
A. Vasconcelos Ramos
1 A. Vasconcelos Ramos
L. Rivas
12 L. Rivas
P. Leal Sousa Lima
3 P. Leal Sousa Lima
C. Castro
42 C. Castro
M. Cardoso Francisco
97 M. Cardoso Francisco
P. Lima Barros
8 P. Lima Barros
R. Medeiros de Moura
70 R. Medeiros de Moura
G. Mendonça
23 G. Mendonça
A. Green
25 A. Green
A. Fernandes Mendes
7 A. Fernandes Mendes
B. Akinsola
11 B. Akinsola

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 17, 2026, 07:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Capacity
12815
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

99
Ennio Van Der Gouw
Ennio Van Der Gouw Goalkeeper
6.83
9
Tamble Monteiro
Tamble Monteiro Centre Forward
6.68
17
Marios Vrousai
Marios Vrousai Right Back
7.04
32
Jakub Brabec
Jakub Brabec Right Back
6.85
39
Gustavo Mancha
Gustavo Mancha Left Back
6.69
6
Nelson Abbey
Nelson Abbey Left Back
6.59
44
Tamás Nikitscher
Tamás Nikitscher Defensive Midfield
6.65
5
Andreas Ntoi
Andreas Ntoi Defensive Midfield
6.56
80
Ole Pohlmann
Ole Pohlmann Attacking Midfield
6.63
7
Diogo Bezerra
Diogo Bezerra Right Wing
6.69
18
Dario Spikic
Dario Spikic Left Wing
6.7

Starting XI ▼

1
Adriel
Adriel Goalkeeper
6.92
7
Tomané
Tomané Centre Forward
6.88
25
Andre Green
Andre Green Attacker
6.52
11
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola Attacker
6.57
8
Pedro Lima Barros
Pedro Lima Barros Central Midfield
6.68
97
Mateus Pivô
Mateus Pivô Right Back
6.54
12
Leonardo Rivas
Leonardo Rivas Left Back
6.56
42
Cristian David Castro Devenish
Cristian David Castro Devenish Right Back
6.5
70
Roni
Roni Central Midfield
6.73
23
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça Central Midfield
6.74
3
Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor Left Back
6.5

CONCLUSION

Rio Ave appears poised for a positive outcome in this home encounter against AVS. Their superior structural standing, combined with strong recent form, positions them favorably to secure the win. AVS has shown defensive resolve in earning several draws but lacks the attacking punch needed to consistently challenge higher-placed teams. With the power advantage clearly in the hosts' favor and momentum from their latest win, Rio Ave will aim to control the game from the outset. Success here could see them progress steadily in the league table while AVS must find ways to improve their results to escape the lower reaches of the standings.

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