Celta de Vigo vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Estadio de Balaídos Today - 4:45 PM
Europa League
Celta de Vigo CEL
Versus
SC Freiburg SCF
KICKOFF : Today - 4:45 PM
Quarter Finals Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 3

CONTEXT

Europa League quarter-final action continues with Celta de Vigo taking on SC Freiburg in the second leg at Estadio de Balaídos. Trailing 0-3 on aggregate after the first leg defeat, the home team confronts a steep challenge to progress further in the tournament. SC Freiburg carries a substantial lead into this away fixture and intends to protect it through organized defending and selective attacking moves. Supporters at the venue will rally behind their players in hopes of witnessing a remarkable recovery. Power rankings identify the German club as superior while form indicators also lean toward the visitors. Domestic league positions reveal Celta de Vigo sitting 16th and their opponents placed 7th. Multiple factors converge to create a tense atmosphere for this international cup knockout match where one side seeks heroics and the other consolidation.

TL;DR

  • Structural: This is the second leg of the Europa League quarter-final. SC Freiburg holds a commanding 3-0 aggregate lead from the first leg. Celta de Vigo needs to mount a comeback at home.
  • Form: Hosts show W3 D2 L1 from six matches while visitors record W4 D0 L2. Recent results indicate a slight edge for SC Freiburg entering the decisive clash.
  • Squad: Power scores favor SC Freiburg at 31.59 over Celta de Vigo's 30.12. The away team emerges as stronger overall ahead of this European encounter.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics for both clubs remain constrained in current data. Freiburg maintains higher form score at 66.67 versus Celta's 61.11.
  • Transition: Teams exhibit different approaches in moving between defence and attack. Freiburg looks to exploit counters effectively given their aggregate advantage.
  • Set pieces: Available set piece data displays low confidence with proxy usage required. Further insights limited due to absence of detailed xG statistics.
  • xVariable: Key variables highlight SC Freiburg as the stronger team with a 1.5 point power advantage. This factor influences expectations in the quarter-final tie.
  • Market: Celta de Vigo 50.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26% (Δ+0%) | SC Freiburg 23.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Celta de Vigo C. Giráldez González
C. Giráldez González
VS
SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
1.82
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.11
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
SC Freiburg Rank: L
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: D
PAOK Rank: W
PAOK Rank: W
Crvena Zvezda Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celta de Vigo Rank: W
Genk Rank: W
Genk Rank: L
LOSC Lille Rank: L
Maccabi Tel Aviv Rank: W
Salzburg Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Celta de Vigo
50.27%
Draw
26%
Away SC Freiburg
23.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30.12
31.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Celta de Vigo
SC Freiburg
Power Score
30.12
31.59
League Position
16
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Celta de Vigo — Opponent-weighted form score
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celta de Vigo SC Freiburg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Celta de Vigo CEL Home
1 matches
SC Freiburg SCF Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
0
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:01:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
I. Radu
Romania
13 I. Radu
J. Rodríguez Galiano
Spain
32 J. Rodríguez Galiano
J. Aidoo
Ghana
4 J. Aidoo
M. Alonso Mendoza
Spain
20 M. Alonso Mendoza
Ó. Mingueza García
Spain
3 Ó. Mingueza García
M. Vecino Falero
Uruguay
15 M. Vecino Falero
Ilaix Moriba
Guinea
6 Ilaix Moriba
S. Carreira Vilariño
Spain
5 S. Carreira Vilariño
F. López González
Spain
8 F. López González
B. Iglesias Quintas
Spain
7 B. Iglesias Quintas
W. Swedberg
Sweden
19 W. Swedberg
N. Atubolu
Germany
1 N. Atubolu
J. Makengo
France
33 J. Makengo
P. Lienhart
Austria
3 P. Lienhart
M. Ginter
Germany
28 M. Ginter
L. Kübler
Germany
17 L. Kübler
J. Manzambi
Switzerland
44 J. Manzambi
M. Eggestein
Germany
8 M. Eggestein
V. Grifo
Italy
32 V. Grifo
Y. Suzuki
Japan
14 Y. Suzuki
J. Beste
Germany
19 J. Beste
I. Matanovic
Croatia
31 I. Matanovic

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 16, 2026, 04:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe · Quarter Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 3
Stadium
Estadio de Balaídos
Capacity
25000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Gary Beswick
Daniel Cook
Robert Jones
Anthony Taylor

Lineup

Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI ▼

13
Ionuț Radu
Ionuț Radu Goalkeeper
6.58
4
Joseph Aidoo
Joseph Aidoo Defender
6.31
20
Marcos Alonso
Marcos Alonso Defender
6.86
32
Javi Rodríguez
Javi Rodríguez Defender
6.67
3
Óscar Mingueza
Óscar Mingueza Midfielder
6.78
5
Sergio Carreira
Sergio Carreira Midfielder
6.74
6
Ilaix Moriba
Ilaix Moriba Midfielder
6.84
15
Matías Vecino
Matías Vecino Midfielder
6.64
7
Borja Iglesias
Borja Iglesias Attacker
6.63
8
Fer López
Fer López Attacker
6.65
19
Williot Swedberg
Williot Swedberg Attacker
7.03
Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI ▼

1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
6.88
3
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart Defender
6.99
17
Lukas Kübler
Lukas Kübler Defender
6.71
28
Matthias Ginter
Matthias Ginter Defender
7.19
33
Jordy Makengo
Jordy Makengo Defender
6.58
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder
7.11
14
Yuito Suzuki
Yuito Suzuki Midfielder
7.18
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Midfielder
7.09
19
Niklas Beste
Niklas Beste Attacker
6.9
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Attacker
6.89
32
Vincenzo Grifo
Vincenzo Grifo Attacker
7.1

CONCLUSION

Overall expectations point toward SC Freiburg advancing despite the away setting given their impressive first leg margin. Celta de Vigo possesses the home support and motivation to push forward aggressively in pursuit of goals. However, breaking down a resilient German defense will demand precision and sustained pressure throughout the ninety minutes. Managers on both sides have prepared thoroughly for various scenarios that could unfold. Success for the hosts hinges on early breakthroughs while the guests focus on maintaining structure and capitalizing on any openings. This quarter-final tie exemplifies the drama inherent in European competitions as teams battle for a place in the semi-finals.

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