Aston Villa vs Bologna Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Europa League
Bologna
BOL
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Aston Villa produced a clinical 4-0 demolition of Bologna in the second leg of their knockout tie, transforming an already commanding 7-1 aggregate lead entering the match into an 11-1 rout. The hosts surged to a 3-0 halftime advantage, with Bologna unable to respond despite enjoying 54% possession. No red cards disrupted play, allowing Villa's superior organization and finishing to shine through. As the designated stronger team, they capitalized relentlessly, adding a fourth goal post-interval without second-half adjustments needed. This performance reflected minimal structural deviation and efficiency in line with forecasts, underscoring Villa's dominance in the two-legged affair that began with a 3-1 first-leg win away at Bologna seven days prior.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured minimal at 2.4% in Aston Villa's favor.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift aligned precisely with pre-match projections.
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xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to missing data.
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Market alignment: Market fully aligned with Aston Villa's comprehensive victory.
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xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without available metrics.
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Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout events significantly influenced the outcome.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to natural match flow.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
J. Sánchez Martínez
Other match officials
R. Cabañero Martínez
1st Assistant
I. Prieto López de Ceraín
2nd Assistant
J. Munuera Montero
4th Official
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Aston Villa
Bologna
Team Power Ranking
i
36.35
30.03
Aston Villa
Bologna
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Aston Villa
Bologna
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Aston Villa
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- AVL had peak pressure around 27'.
- BOL started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-04-17T00:01:09+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


Aston Villa
vs
Sunderland
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 1:00 PM
Venue: Villa Park


Bologna
vs
Juventus
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 6:45 PM
Venue: Juventus Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Manager ▼


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Events
CONCLUSION
Aston Villa vs Bologna preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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