Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Maksimir Sat, 14 Mar - 4:15 PM
1. HNL
Dinamo Zagreb GNK
4 Winner 2
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 4:15 PM
Dion Beljo - 64' (P), 74', 80'
Gabriel Vidovic - 71'
Goal
|
Goal
Alen Grgic - 36'
Filip Mažar - 85'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Dinamo Zagreb 4–2 Slaven Koprivnica. The result saw Dinamo Zagreb take the points. Dinamo Zagreb showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 64%–36%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Dinamo Zagreb showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Strukan
D. Strukan
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.15
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
V. Đurak
V. Đurak
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.15
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
I. Pajač
I. Pajač
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.15
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Dujo Sarić
Dujo Sarić
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.15
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Dinamo Zagreb M. Kovačević
M. Kovačević
VS
Slaven Koprivnica M. Gregurina
M. Gregurina
2.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.37
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Istra 1961 Rank: 66 W
Rijeka Rank: 72 D
Vukovar Rank: 57 W
Osijek Rank: 61 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 62 W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica Rank: 60 D
Istra 1961 Rank: 65 W
Vukovar Rank: 57 D
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 62 W
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 L
Varaždin Rank: 66 L
55
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
55 - 9 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dinamo Zagreb
72.37%
Draw
18.76%
Away Slaven Koprivnica
8.87%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.36
64.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dinamo Zagreb
Slaven Koprivnica
Power Score
78.36
64.39
League Position
1
5
Global Rank
70
320

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dinamo Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dinamo Zagreb Slaven Koprivnica

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Dinamo Zagreb

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Slaven Koprivnica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Dinamo Zagreb ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Slaven Koprivnica
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.47
18.06
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.06
35.47
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Dinamo Zagreb +1.78 Efficiency Index
vs
Slaven Koprivnica -1.78 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Dinamo Zagreb
Slaven Koprivnica
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dinamo Zagreb ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Slaven Koprivnica
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Dinamo Zagreb Slaven Koprivnica
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Dinamo Zagreb Slaven Koprivnica
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Dinamo Zagreb
Slaven Koprivnica
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dinamo Zagreb GNK Home
22 matches
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Away
Match Record
17
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
17
Goals
65
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
65
+43
Goal Difference
-43
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:20:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Livaković
Croatia
40 D. Livaković
M. Valincic
Substitution
Croatia
25 M. Valincic
S. Domínguez Viloria
Spain
36 S. Domínguez Viloria
S. McKenna
Scotland
26 S. McKenna
M. Vinlöf
Substitution
Sweden
22 M. Vinlöf
L. Stojković
Croatia
7 L. Stojković
M. Soldo
Croatia
14 M. Soldo
M. Zajc
Substitution
Slovenia
8 (C) M. Zajc
F. Topić
Substitution
Croatia
30 F. Topić
D. Dijon
Croatia
9 D. Dijon
G. Vidović
Substitution
Croatia
10 G. Vidović
O. Hadzikic
Austria
31 O. Hadzikic
A. Jakir
Substitution
Croatia
3 A. Jakir
D. Kovačić
Croatia
4 D. Kovačić
V. Međimorec
Croatia
2 (C) V. Međimorec
F. Krušelj
Croatia
18 F. Krušelj
F. Mažar
Croatia
17 F. Mažar
I. Ćubelić
Substitution
Croatia
15 I. Ćubelić
A. Grgić
Substitution
Croatia
27 A. Grgić
I. Lepinjica
Substitution
Croatia
23 I. Lepinjica
J. Mitrović
Croatia
11 J. Mitrović
M. Dabro
Substitution
Croatia
7 M. Dabro

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadium
Stadion Maksimir
Capacity
24851
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Duje Strukan
Vedran Đurak
Igor Pajač
Dujo Sarić

Statistics

Possession
GNK
62%
Slaven Koprivnica
38%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 2
6 Big Chances Created 1
19 Shots 5
74 Dangerous attacks 30
64 Possession 36
5 Corners 0
8 Free kicks 8

Match Overview

38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 59
1 Penalties 0
17 Throwins 24
6 Goal Kicks 8
16 Dribble Attempts 17
3 Assists 1
6 Successful Dribbles 10
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 0
146 Attacks 98

Possession

42 Long Passes 70
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 27
655 Passes 369
86 Successful Passes Percentage 74
565 Successful Passes 274
19 Successful Long Passes 19

Defensive

17 Tackles 16
0 Saves 6
7 Interceptions 14

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 1
16 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

8 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Duje Strukan

Starting XI ▼

40
Dominik Livakovic
Dominik Livakovic Goalkeeper
6.12
22
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf Defender
6.35
3
Bruno Goda
Bruno Goda
Defender46'
6.57
25
Moris Valincic
Moris Valincic Defender
6.4
15
Niko Galesic
Niko Galesic
Defender61'
6.22
26
Scott McKenna
Scott McKenna Defender
6.73
36
Sergi Domínguez
Sergi Domínguez Defender
6.88
7
Luka Stojkovic
Luka Stojkovic Midfielder
7.44
8
Miha Zajc
Miha Zajc (C) Midfielder
7.74
41
Sven Šunta
Sven Šunta
Midfielder90+2'
14
Marko Soldo
Marko Soldo Midfielder
6.32
9
Dion Beljo
Dion Beljo Attacker
3
9.41
10
Gabriel Vidovic
Gabriel Vidovic Attacker
7.88
11
Arbër Hoxha
Arbër Hoxha
Attacker81'
6.61
30
Fran Topic
Fran Topic Attacker
6.82
21
Mateo Lisica
Mateo Lisica
Attacker62'
6.86
Referee : Duje Strukan

Starting XI ▼

31
Osman Hadzikic
Osman Hadzikic Goalkeeper
6.73
2
Vinko Medjimorec
Vinko Medjimorec (C) Defender
5.75
3
Antonio Jakir
Antonio Jakir Defender
5.84
35
Leonard Žuta
Leonard Žuta
Defender85'
6.47
4
Dominik Kovacic
Dominik Kovacic Defender
6.05
18
Filip Kruselj
Filip Kruselj Defender
5.89
11
Josip Mitrovic
Josip Mitrovic Midfielder
6.38
15
Ivan Cubelic
Ivan Cubelic Midfielder
6.28
21
Ljuban Crepulja
Ljuban Crepulja
Midfielder65'
6.45
17
Filip Mažar
Filip Mažar Midfielder
7.45
23
Igor Lepinjica
Igor Lepinjica Midfielder
6.44
24
Leon Bošnjak
Leon Bošnjak
Midfielder73'
6.84
27
Alen Grgic
Alen Grgic Midfielder
7.28
26
Gabrijel Sivalec
Gabrijel Sivalec
Attacker73'
6.53
7
Marko Dabro
Marko Dabro Attacker
6.32
90
Ilija Nestorovski
Ilija Nestorovski
Attacker64'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sven Šunta → Miha Zajc
10th Substitution
90+2'
85'
Event
Filip Mažar
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
85'
Event
Leonard Žuta → Antonio Jakir
9th Substitution
Event
Arbër Hoxha → Gabriel Vidovic
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Dion Beljo
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
80'
Event
Dion Beljo
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
74'
73'
Event
Gabrijel Sivalec → Alen Grgic
7th Substitution
73'
Event
Leon Bošnjak → Igor Lepinjica
6th Substitution
Event
Gabriel Vidovic
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
71'
65'
Event
Ljuban Crepulja → Ivan Cubelic
5th Substitution
Event
Dion Beljo
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
64'
64'
Event
Ilija Nestorovski → Marko Dabro
4th Substitution
Event
Mateo Lisica → Fran Topic
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Niko Galesic → Moris Valincic
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Bruno Goda → Matteo Pérez Vinlöf
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
36'
Event
Alen Grgic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Dinamo Zagreb exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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