Kasımpaşa vs Eyüpspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu Sun, 15 Mar - 1:00 PM
Super Lig
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa
1 Winner 0
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 1:00 PM
Adrian Benedyczak - 33'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Kasımpaşa 0–0 Eyüpspor. The match ended in a draw. Kasımpaşa showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 45%–55%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kasımpaşa showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Tuğral
M. Tuğral
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.07
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
A. Demirbaş
A. Demirbaş
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.07
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
O. Kamacı
O. Kamacı
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.07
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
A. Yılmaz
A. Yılmaz
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.07
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Kasımpaşa E. Belözoğlu
E. Belözoğlu
VS
Eyüpspor A. Gerin
A. Gerin
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.9
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Konyaspor Rank: 66 D
Rizespor Rank: 68 L
Fenerbahçe Rank: 85 D
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 60 W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 67 L
Samsunspor Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 L
Göztepe Rank: 74 D
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 67 W
Galatasaray Rank: 88 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 75 L
Alanyaspor Rank: 70 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kasımpaşa
49.44%
Draw
26.47%
Away Eyüpspor
24.09%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.8
63.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kasımpaşa
Eyüpspor
Power Score
63.8
63.28
League Position
14
16
Global Rank
343
358

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kasımpaşa — Opponent-weighted form score
Eyüpspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kasımpaşa Eyüpspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kasımpaşa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Eyüpspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kasımpaşa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Eyüpspor
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.78
16.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.55
23.78
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kasımpaşa +0.79 Efficiency Index
vs
Eyüpspor -0.79 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kasımpaşa
Eyüpspor
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kasımpaşa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Eyüpspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kasımpaşa Eyüpspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kasımpaşa Eyüpspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kasımpaşa
Eyüpspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa Home
3 matches
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
5
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:56:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Gianniotis
Greece
1 A. Gianniotis
C. Winck Neto
Brazil
2 (C) C. Winck Neto
R. Nascimiento Franca
Brazil
50 R. Nascimiento Franca
A. Arous
Tunisia
4 A. Arous
K. Çörekçi
Turkey
22 K. Çörekçi
C. Ribeiro Dias
Portugal
8 C. Ribeiro Dias
A. Baldursson
Iceland
16 A. Baldursson
İ. Kahveci
Turkey
71 İ. Kahveci
F. Diabaté
Substitution
Mali
34 F. Diabaté
M. Ben Ouannes
Substitution
Tunisia
12 M. Ben Ouannes
A. Benedyczak
Substitution
Poland
19 A. Benedyczak
J. Yılmaz
Turkey
24 J. Yılmaz
C. Meraş
Substitution
Turkey
77 C. Meraş
B. Özyurt
Turkey
5 B. Özyurt
J. Onguéné
Substitution
Cameroon
68 J. Onguéné
T. Ulvan
Substitution
Turkey
17 T. Ulvan
B. Gezek
Turkey
55 B. Gezek
T. İlter
Substitution
Azerbaijan
28 (C) T. İlter
L. Pintor
Substitution
France
23 L. Pintor
E. Akbaba
Turkey
8 E. Akbaba
M. Altunbaş
Turkey
26 M. Altunbaş
U. Bozok
Turkey
19 U. Bozok

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Capacity
14234
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mehmet Emin Tuğral
Ayberk Demirbaş
Ogün Kamacı
A. Yılmaz

Statistics

Possession
Kasımpaşa
46%
Eyüpspor
54%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 7
34 Dangerous attacks 22
45 Possession 55
2 Corners 2
13 Free kicks 19
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

15 Successful Headers 13
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53
5 Goal Kicks 8
10 Dribble Attempts 15
31 Throwins 18
35 Ball Safe 52
0 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Successful Dribbles 8
5 Goal Attempts 3
6 Injuries 2
3 Substitutions 5

Attacking

109 Attacks 67
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

69 Successful Passes Percentage 76
312 Passes 393
214 Successful Passes 297
7 Key Passes 5
28 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
54 Long Passes 62
15 Successful Long Passes 26

Defensive

1 Saves 1
10 Tackles 10
9 Interceptions 14

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 2
16 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

14 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : A. Yılmaz

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Gianniotis
Andreas Gianniotis Goalkeeper
6.73
2
Cláudio Winck
Cláudio Winck (C) Defender
6.65
4
Adem Arous
Adem Arous Defender
6.76
22
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi Defender
7.08
50
Rodrigo Becão
Rodrigo Becão Defender
6.88
8
Cafú
Cafú Midfielder
6.95
12
Mortadha Ben Ouanes
Mortadha Ben Ouanes Midfielder
6.88
26
Kerem Demirbay
Kerem Demirbay
Midfielder90+7'
16
Andri Fannar Baldursson
Andri Fannar Baldursson Midfielder
6.59
34
Fousseni Diabaté
Fousseni Diabaté Midfielder
6.52
18
Jim Allevinah
Jim Allevinah
Attacker87'
6.77
71
İrfan Can Kahveci
İrfan Can Kahveci Midfielder
6.83
19
Adrian Benedyczak
Adrian Benedyczak Attacker
7.1
23
Cenk Tosun
Cenk Tosun
Attacker75'
6.61
Referee : A. Yılmaz

Starting XI ▼

24
Jankat Yılmaz
Jankat Yılmaz Goalkeeper
6.95
5
Bedirhan Özyurt
Bedirhan Özyurt Defender
7.11
17
Talha Ülvan
Talha Ülvan Defender
6.84
2
Calegari
Calegari
Defender85'
6.52
68
Jérôme Onguene
Jérôme Onguene Defender
6.36
15
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
Midfielder72'
6.41
77
Umut Meraş
Umut Meraş Defender
6.62
22
Denis Radu
Denis Radu
Defender85'
6.53
8
Emre Akbaba
Emre Akbaba Midfielder
6.95
23
Lenny Pintor
Lenny Pintor Midfielder
5.99
10
Ángel Torres
Ángel Torres
Attacker55'
6.71
26
Metehan Altunbaş
Metehan Altunbaş Midfielder
6.95
28
Taşkın İlter
Taşkın İlter (C) Midfielder
6.51
20
Mateusz Legowski
Mateusz Legowski
Midfielder55'
6.41
55
Baran Gezek
Baran Gezek Midfielder
6.92
19
Umut Bozok
Umut Bozok Attacker
6.67

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kerem Demirbay → Mortadha Ben Ouanes
8th Substitution
90+7'
90+4'
Event
6th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Jim Allevinah
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Jim Allevinah → Fousseni Diabaté
7th Substitution
87'
85'
Event
Denis Radu → Umut Meraş
6th Substitution
85'
Event
Calegari → Talha Ülvan
5th Substitution
Event
Rodrigo Becão
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
78'
Event
İrfan Can Kahveci
Time wasting / 2nd Yellowcard
77'
Event
Cenk Tosun → Adrian Benedyczak
4th Substitution
75'
72'
Event
Charles-Andre Raux Yao → Jérôme Onguene
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Mateusz Legowski
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
55'
Event
Mateusz Legowski → Taşkın İlter
1st Substitution
55'
Event
Ángel Torres → Lenny Pintor
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Adrian Benedyczak
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
33'
13'
Event
Var

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Kasımpaşa exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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