Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Beşiktaş Park
Sat, 7 Mar - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Beşiktaş
BES
0
1
1
Galatasaray
GAL
Full Time
Sat, 7 Mar
5:00 PM
|
Victor Osimhen - 39'
|
Leroy Sané 62'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 16
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Beşiktaş 0–1 Galatasaray. The result saw Galatasaray take the points. Galatasaray showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 60%–40%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Galatasaray showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
-
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Kayatepe
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
2.67
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0.87
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
O. Ergün
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
2.67
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0.87
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
A. Usta
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
2.67
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0.87
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Savranlar
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
2.67
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0.87
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
A. Yalçın
VS
O. Buruk
1.95
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
2.35
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kocaelispor
Rank:
W
Göztepe
Rank:
W
İstanbul Başakşehir
Rank:
W
Alanyaspor
Rank:
D
Konyaspor
Rank:
W
Eyüpspor
Rank:
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rizespor
Rank:
W
Kayserispor
Rank:
W
Fatih Karagümrük
Rank:
W
Gaziantep F.K.
Rank:
D
Kasımpaşa
Rank:
W
Antalyaspor
Rank:
W
15
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 7 - 21
21
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Beşiktaş
37.7%
Draw
26.32%
Galatasaray
35.98%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.33
81.33
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Beşiktaş
Galatasaray
Power Score
61.33
81.33
League Position
4
1
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Beşiktaş
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Galatasaray
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Beşiktaş Galatasaray
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Beşiktaş
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Galatasaray
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Beşiktaş
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Galatasaray
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.75
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.13
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Beşiktaş
+1.12
Efficiency Index
vs
Galatasaray
-1.12
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Beşiktaş
Galatasaray
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Beşiktaş
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Galatasaray
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Beşiktaş
Galatasaray
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Beşiktaş
Galatasaray
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Beşiktaş
Galatasaray
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Beşiktaş
BES
Home
11
matches
Galatasaray
GAL
Away
Match Record
4
Wins
6
1
Draws
1
6
Losses
4
Goals
15
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
15
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:11:21+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
No team formation data available.
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 07, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium
Beşiktaş Park
Capacity
42590
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Adnan Deniz Kayatepe
Ozan Ergün
Anıl Usta
Mustafa Savranlar
Statistics
Possession
BES
58%
GAL
42%
Top Statistics
0
Goals
1
1
Big Chances Created
3
24
Shots
12
45
Dangerous attacks
25
60
Possession
40
8
Corners
4
15
Free kicks
10
3
Yellow Cards
7
0
Red Cards
1
Match Overview
24
Throwins
16
1
Injuries
1
8
Successful Headers
13
60
Successful Dribbles Percentage
20
6
Goal Kicks
12
5
Dribble Attempts
15
3
Successful Dribbles
3
45
Ball Safe
40
1
Goal Attempts
3
0
Assists
1
2
Substitutions
6
1
Hit Woodwork
0
Attacking
104
Attacks
79
0
Big Chances Missed
2
Possession
430
Successful Passes
267
14
Successful Long Passes
27
17
Key Passes
7
33
Successful Long Passes Percentage
40
510
Passes
345
42
Long Passes
68
84
Successful Passes Percentage
77
Defensive
20
Tackles
5
3
Saves
7
4
Interceptions
10
Build-up
25
Total Crosses
13
7
Accurate Crosses
3
Discipline
8
Fouls
13
2
Offsides
1
Events
2ND-HALF
90+4'
Wilfried Singo
Foul / 10th Yellowcard
90+3'
Kaan Ayhan → Lucas Torreira
7th Substitution
90+2'
Yunus Akgün → Roland Sallai
6th Substitution
Junior Olaitan
Argument / 9th Yellowcard
89'
84'
Roland Sallai
Time wasting / 8th Yellowcard
82'
Wilfried Singo → Mario Lemina
5th Substitution
81'
Eren Elmalı → Barış Alper Yılmaz
4th Substitution
80'
Uğurcan Çakır
Time wasting / 7th Yellowcard
77'
Mario Lemina
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Cengiz Ünder → Vaclav Cerny
3rd Substitution
72'
Mustafa Hekimoğlu → Kristjan Asllani
2nd Substitution
72'
71'
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
67'
Sacha Boey → Gabriel Sara
1st Substitution
62'
Leroy Sané
Foul / 1st Redcard
61'
Leroy Sané
Card adjusted
1ST-HALF
39'
Victor Osimhen
Header / 1st Goal
Amir Murillo
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
31'
Orkun Kökçü
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
29'
28'
Leroy Sané
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
6'
Victor Osimhen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Galatasaray exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.