Gençlerbirliği vs Beşiktaş Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Eryaman Stadyumu Sun, 15 Mar - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Gençlerbirliği GSK
0 Winner 2
Beşiktaş BES
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 5:00 PM
|
Goal
Junior Olaitan - 56'
Orkun Kökçü - 67'
Sékou Koïta 18' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Gençlerbirliği 0–2 Beşiktaş. The result saw Beşiktaş take the points. Beşiktaş showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 31%–69%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Beşiktaş showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Mazlum
M. Mazlum
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.19
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
M. Curbay
M. Curbay
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.19
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
M. Metoğlu
M. Metoğlu
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.19
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Y. Kol
Y. Kol
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.19
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Gençlerbirliği V. Demirel
V. Demirel
VS
Beşiktaş A. Yalçın
A. Yalçın
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.82
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alanyaspor Rank: 68 D
Kayserispor Rank: 64 D
Eyüpspor Rank: 65 L
Rizespor Rank: 67 D
Fenerbahçe Rank: 86 L
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Galatasaray Rank: 88 L
Kocaelispor Rank: 66 W
Göztepe Rank: 75 W
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 75 W
Alanyaspor Rank: 70 D
Konyaspor Rank: 67 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 6 - 20
20

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gençlerbirliği
18.47%
Draw
23.55%
Away Beşiktaş
57.98%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.03
77.37
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gençlerbirliği
Beşiktaş
Power Score
57.03
77.37
League Position
13
4
Global Rank
295
74

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gençlerbirliği — Opponent-weighted form score
Beşiktaş — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gençlerbirliği Beşiktaş

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Gençlerbirliği

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Beşiktaş

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Gençlerbirliği ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Beşiktaş
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.97
39.49
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.49
40.97
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Gençlerbirliği +0.16 Efficiency Index
vs
Beşiktaş -0.16 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Gençlerbirliği
Beşiktaş
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Gençlerbirliği ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Beşiktaş
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Gençlerbirliği Beşiktaş
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Gençlerbirliği Beşiktaş
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Gençlerbirliği
Beşiktaş
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gençlerbirliği GSK Home
3 matches
Beşiktaş BES Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
2
Goals
3
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
3
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T02:45:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
M. Silva Velho
Portugal
24 M. Silva Velho
P. Almeida Lopes Pereira
Portugal
13 P. Almeida Lopes Pereira
D. Goutas
Greece
6 (C) D. Goutas
Ž. Žužek
Substitution
Slovenia
4 Ž. Žužek
T. da Silva
Brazil
2 T. da Silva
A. Dele-Bashiru
Nigeria
15 A. Dele-Bashiru
G. Gürpüz
Substitution
Turkey
11 G. Gürpüz
S. Koita
Mali
22 S. Koita
F. Tongya Heubang
Substitution
Italy
70 F. Tongya Heubang
M. Mimaroğlu
Substitution
Turkey
10 M. Mimaroğlu
M. Niang
Substitution
Senegal
29 M. Niang
E. Destanoğlu
Turkey
30 E. Destanoğlu
R. Yılmaz
Turkey
33 R. Yılmaz
T. Embalo Djaló
Portugal
35 T. Embalo Djaló
E. Agbadou
Ivory Coast
12 E. Agbadou
M. Murillo Bermudez
Panama
62 M. Murillo Bermudez
O. Ndidi
Nigeria
4 O. Ndidi
J. Olaitan
Substitution
Benin
15 J. Olaitan
O. Kökçü
Substitution
Turkey
10 (C) O. Kökçü
K. Asllani
Substitution
Albania
23 K. Asllani
V. Černý
Substitution
Czech Republic
18 V. Černý
H. Oh
Substitution
South Korea
9 H. Oh

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium
Eryaman Stadyumu
Capacity
20560
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mehmet Salih Mazlum
Murat Tuğberk Curbay
Muhammet Ali Metoğlu
Yasin Kol

Statistics

Possession
GSK
36%
BES
64%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 14
34 Dangerous attacks 65
31 Possession 69
6 Corners 10
10 Free kicks 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

16 Dribble Attempts 17
6 Successful Dribbles 7
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 41
20 Throwins 11
16 Goal Kicks 7
8 Successful Headers 11
65 Ball Safe 70
10 Goal Attempts 18
5 Substitutions 5
2 Injuries 1

Attacking

64 Attacks 102
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

25 Successful Long Passes 30
218 Passes 493
51 Long Passes 41
154 Successful Passes 441
71 Successful Passes Percentage 89
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 73
8 Key Passes 16

Defensive

5 Saves 4
23 Tackles 20
7 Interceptions 5

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 4
14 Total Crosses 22

Discipline

2 Offsides 4
4 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Yasin Kol

Starting XI ▼

24
Ricardo Velho
Ricardo Velho Goalkeeper
7.41
2
Thalisson
Thalisson Defender
6.6
4
Zan Zuzek
Zan Zuzek Defender
6.91
23
Matej Hanousek
Matej Hanousek
Defender90'
6
Dimitrios Goutas
Dimitrios Goutas (C) Defender
6.72
13
Pedro Pereira
Pedro Pereira Defender
6.25
10
Metehan Mimaroğlu
Metehan Mimaroğlu Midfielder
6.44
99
Cihan Çanak
Cihan Çanak
Attacker68'
6.61
11
Göktan Gürpüz
Göktan Gürpüz Midfielder
6.39
20
Adama Traoré
Adama Traoré
Attacker68'
6.48
15
Tom Dele-Bashiru
Tom Dele-Bashiru Midfielder
6.83
22
Sékou Koïta
Sékou Koïta Midfielder
4.86
70
Franco Tongya
Franco Tongya Midfielder
6.74
8
Samed Onur
Samed Onur
Midfielder83'
6.89
29
M'Baye Niang
M'Baye Niang Attacker
6.86
7
Henry Onyekuru
Henry Onyekuru
Attacker83'
6.67
Referee : Yasin Kol

Starting XI ▼

30
Ersin Destanoğlu
Ersin Destanoğlu Goalkeeper
7.59
12
Emmanuel Agbadou
Emmanuel Agbadou Defender
7.3
33
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Rıdvan Yılmaz Defender
7.14
35
Tiago Djaló
Tiago Djaló Defender
7.68
62
Amir Murillo
Amir Murillo Defender
6.78
4
Wilfred Ndidi
Wilfred Ndidi Midfielder
7.06
10
Orkun Kökçü
Orkun Kökçü (C) Midfielder
8.2
8
Salih Uçan
Salih Uçan
Midfielder83'
6.66
15
Junior Olaitan
Junior Olaitan Midfielder
7.88
26
Jota Silva
Jota Silva
Attacker89'
6.18
18
Vaclav Cerny
Vaclav Cerny Midfielder
7.02
7
Milot Rashica
Milot Rashica
Midfielder73'
6.95
23
Kristjan Asllani
Kristjan Asllani Midfielder
6.97
11
Cengiz Ünder
Cengiz Ünder
Attacker73'
6.75
9
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Hyeon-gyu Oh Attacker
6.59
91
Mustafa Hekimoğlu
Mustafa Hekimoğlu
Attacker89'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Adama Traoré
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Matej Hanousek → Zan Zuzek
10th Substitution
90'
89'
Event
Jota Silva → Junior Olaitan
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Mustafa Hekimoğlu → Hyeon-gyu Oh
8th Substitution
Event
Henry Onyekuru → M'Baye Niang
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Samed Onur → Franco Tongya
5th Substitution
83'
83'
Event
Salih Uçan → Orkun Kökçü
7th Substitution
73'
Event
Milot Rashica → Vaclav Cerny
3rd Substitution
73'
Event
Cengiz Ünder → Kristjan Asllani
4th Substitution
Event
Adama Traoré → Göktan Gürpüz
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Cihan Çanak → Metehan Mimaroğlu
1st Substitution
68'
67'
Event
Orkun Kökçü
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Pedro Pereira
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
66'
56'
Event
Junior Olaitan
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
1ST-HALF
33'
Event
Emmanuel Agbadou
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Sékou Koïta
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
18'
Event
Sékou Koïta
Card adjusted
17'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Beşiktaş exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Super Lig View all league clusters