Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu Mon, 9 Mar - 1:00 PM
Super Lig
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor
0 Winner 1
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
Full Time Mon, 9 Mar 1:00 PM
|
Goal
Serdar Dursun - 6' (P)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Eyüpspor 0–0 Kocaelispor. The match ended in a draw. Kocaelispor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 68%–32%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kocaelispor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

G. Hasova

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Gözütok

1st Assistant

O. Gökçen

4th Official

S. Şenöz

2nd Assistant

Eyüpspor A. Gerin
A. Gerin
VS
Kocaelispor S. İnan
S. İnan
0.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.45
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Göztepe Rank: D
Gençlerbirliği Rank: W
Galatasaray Rank: L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: L
Alanyaspor Rank: W
Beşiktaş Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Beşiktaş Rank: L
Rizespor Rank: L
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: W
Kayserispor Rank: W
Fenerbahçe Rank: L
Samsunspor Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Eyüpspor
26.05%
Draw
30.02%
Away Kocaelispor
43.93%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
29.33
42.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Eyüpspor
Kocaelispor
Power Score
29.33
42.39
League Position
15
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Eyüpspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Kocaelispor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Eyüpspor Kocaelispor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Eyüpspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kocaelispor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Eyüpspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kocaelispor
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.44
20.78
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.78
20.44
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Eyüpspor -0.03 Efficiency Index
vs
Kocaelispor +0.03 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Eyüpspor
Kocaelispor
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Eyüpspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kocaelispor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Eyüpspor Kocaelispor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Eyüpspor Kocaelispor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Eyüpspor
Kocaelispor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Eyüpspor Eyüpspor Home
1 matches
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-03-10T00:01:38+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 09, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium :
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Capacity :
14234
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Murat Ergin Gözütok
Oğuzhan Gökçen
Gürcan Hasova
Selim Şenöz

Statistics

Possession
Eyüpspor
65%
Kocaelispor
35%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 4
58 Dangerous attacks 33
68 Possession 32
3 Corners 3
21 Free kicks 12
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

13 Successful Headers 16
15 Dribble Attempts 21
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
0 Penalties 1
23 Throwins 20
8 Successful Dribbles 6
4 Goal Kicks 4
100 Ball Safe 67
4 Goal Attempts 1
0 Hit Woodwork 2
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

127 Attacks 82
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

8 Key Passes 2
472 Successful Passes 175
555 Passes 261
53 Long Passes 46
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33
85 Successful Passes Percentage 67
26 Successful Long Passes 15

Defensive

15 Interceptions 13
27 Tackles 18
1 Saves 3

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 2
14 Total Crosses 10

Discipline

15 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 1

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Metehan Altunbaş
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
90+4'
87'
Event
Samet Yalçın → Dan Agyei
9th Substitution
Event
Denis Radu → Talha Ülvan
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Mateusz Legowski → Taşkın İlter
7th Substitution
80'
74'
Event
Ahmet Oğuz
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Massadio Haïdara → Serdar Dursun
6th Substitution
Event
Metehan Altunbaş → Ángel Torres
5th Substitution
66'
62'
Event
Joseph Nonge → Karol Linetty
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Tayfur Bingöl → Darko Churlinov
3rd Substitution
Event
Charles-Andre Raux Yao → Anıl Yaşar
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
7th Yellowcard
55'
Event
Taşkın İlter
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
55'
48'
Event
Anfernee Dijksteel
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Anıl Yaşar → Jérôme Onguene
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Lenny Pintor
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
31'
6'
Event
Serdar Dursun
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Jérôme Onguene
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
5'
4'
Event
Serdar Dursun
Penalty awarded

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Kocaelispor exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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