Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Mon, 9 Mar - 1:00 PM
Super Lig
Eyüpspor
Eyüpspor
0
1
1
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
Full Time
Mon, 9 Mar
1:00 PM
|
Serdar Dursun - 6' (P)
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 17
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Eyüpspor 0–0 Kocaelispor. The match ended in a draw. Kocaelispor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 68%–32%.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Kocaelispor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: No major event distortion.
-
Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Gözütok
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
11.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.83
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.28
O. Gökçen
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
11.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.83
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.28
G. Hasova
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
11.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.83
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.28
S. Şenöz
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
11.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.83
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.28
A. Gerin
VS
S. İnan
0.9
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.45
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Göztepe
Rank:
D
Gençlerbirliği
Rank:
W
Galatasaray
Rank:
L
İstanbul Başakşehir
Rank:
L
Alanyaspor
Rank:
W
Beşiktaş
Rank:
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Beşiktaş
Rank:
L
Rizespor
Rank:
L
Gaziantep F.K.
Rank:
W
Kayserispor
Rank:
W
Fenerbahçe
Rank:
L
Samsunspor
Rank:
D
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Eyüpspor
26.05%
Draw
30.02%
Kocaelispor
43.93%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
29.33
42.39
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Eyüpspor
Kocaelispor
Power Score
29.33
42.39
League Position
15
7
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Eyüpspor
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Kocaelispor
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Eyüpspor Kocaelispor
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Eyüpspor
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Kocaelispor
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Eyüpspor
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Kocaelispor
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.44
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.78
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Eyüpspor
-0.04
Efficiency Index
vs
Kocaelispor
+0.04
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Eyüpspor
Kocaelispor
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Eyüpspor
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Kocaelispor
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Eyüpspor
Kocaelispor
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
1.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Eyüpspor
Kocaelispor
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Eyüpspor
Kocaelispor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Eyüpspor
Eyüpspor
Home
1
matches
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-10T00:01:38+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
No team formation data available.
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 09, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Capacity
14234
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Murat Ergin Gözütok
Oğuzhan Gökçen
Gürcan Hasova
Selim Şenöz
Statistics
Possession
Eyüpspor
65%
Kocaelispor
35%
Top Statistics
0
Goals
1
1
Big Chances Created
2
3
Shots
4
58
Dangerous attacks
33
68
Possession
32
3
Corners
3
21
Free kicks
12
4
Yellow Cards
2
Match Overview
13
Successful Headers
16
15
Dribble Attempts
21
53
Successful Dribbles Percentage
29
0
Penalties
1
23
Throwins
20
8
Successful Dribbles
6
4
Goal Kicks
4
100
Ball Safe
67
4
Goal Attempts
1
0
Hit Woodwork
2
5
Substitutions
4
Attacking
127
Attacks
82
1
Big Chances Missed
1
Possession
8
Key Passes
2
472
Successful Passes
175
555
Passes
261
53
Long Passes
46
49
Successful Long Passes Percentage
33
85
Successful Passes Percentage
67
26
Successful Long Passes
15
Defensive
15
Interceptions
13
27
Tackles
18
1
Saves
3
Build-up
5
Accurate Crosses
2
14
Total Crosses
10
Discipline
15
Fouls
16
3
Offsides
1
Events
2ND-HALF
Metehan Altunbaş
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
90+4'
87'
Samet Yalçın → Dan Agyei
9th Substitution
Denis Radu → Talha Ülvan
8th Substitution
80'
Mateusz Legowski → Taşkın İlter
7th Substitution
80'
74'
Ahmet Oğuz
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
72'
Massadio Haïdara → Serdar Dursun
6th Substitution
Metehan Altunbaş → Ángel Torres
5th Substitution
66'
62'
Joseph Nonge → Karol Linetty
4th Substitution
62'
Tayfur Bingöl → Darko Churlinov
3rd Substitution
Charles-Andre Raux Yao → Anıl Yaşar
2nd Substitution
60'
7th Yellowcard
55'
Taşkın İlter
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
55'
48'
Anfernee Dijksteel
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Anıl Yaşar → Jérôme Onguene
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Lenny Pintor
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
31'
6'
Serdar Dursun
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Jérôme Onguene
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
5'
4'
Serdar Dursun
Penalty awarded
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Kocaelispor exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.