Trabzonspor vs Rizespor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Medical Park Stadyumu Sat, 14 Mar - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Trabzonspor TRA
1 Winner 0
Rizespor Rizespor
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 5:00 PM
Paul Onuachu - 51'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Trabzonspor 1–0 Rizespor. The result saw Trabzonspor take the points. Trabzonspor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 56%–44%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Trabzonspor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Ürün
F. Ürün
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
M. Dakan
M. Dakan
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
?. Altay
?. Altay
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
K. İlitangil
K. İlitangil
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Trabzonspor F. Tekke
F. Tekke
VS
Rizespor R. Uçar
R. Uçar
2.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.32
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kayserispor Rank: 64 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 61 W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 67 W
Fenerbahçe Rank: 86 L
Samsunspor Rank: 70 W
Antalyaspor Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 W
Kasımpaşa Rank: 64 W
Kocaelispor Rank: 68 W
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 67 D
Galatasaray Rank: 88 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 75 D
17
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 3 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Trabzonspor
52.34%
Draw
24.47%
Away Rizespor
23.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.95
67.64
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Trabzonspor
Rizespor
Power Score
78.95
67.64
League Position
3
10
Global Rank
66
228

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Trabzonspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Rizespor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Trabzonspor Rizespor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Trabzonspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rizespor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Trabzonspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rizespor
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.95
29.77
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.77
22.95
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Trabzonspor -0.74 Efficiency Index
vs
Rizespor +0.74 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Trabzonspor
Rizespor
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Trabzonspor
vs
Rizespor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Trabzonspor Rizespor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Trabzonspor Rizespor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Trabzonspor
Rizespor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Trabzonspor TRA Home
9 matches
Rizespor Rizespor Away
Match Record
4
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
4
Goals
13
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
13
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:25:35+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Onana
Cameroon
24 A. Onana
O. Tufan
Substitution
Turkey
11 O. Tufan
C. Nwaiwu
Nigeria
27 C. Nwaiwu
S. Savić
Montenegro
15 (C) S. Savić
M. Lövik
Substitution
Norway
14 M. Lövik
C. Inao Oulaï
42 C. Inao Oulaï
T. Jabol Folcarelli
France
26 T. Jabol Folcarelli
F. da Silva
Substitution
Brazil
99 F. da Silva
E. Muçi
Substitution
Albania
10 E. Muçi
M. Eskihellaç
Substitution
Turkey
19 M. Eskihellaç
E. Onuachu
Nigeria
30 E. Onuachu
Y. Fofana
France
75 Y. Fofana
M. Pala
Turkey
54 (C) M. Pala
M. Sagnan
France
27 M. Sagnan
S. Akaydin
Turkey
3 S. Akaydin
M. Şahin
Substitution
Turkey
37 M. Şahin
G. Papanikolaou
Greece
6 G. Papanikolaou
T. Antalyalı
Substitution
Turkey
14 T. Antalyalı
V. Mihăilă
Romania
7 V. Mihăilă
I. Olawoyin
Substitution
Nigeria
10 I. Olawoyin
A. Awokoya-Mebude
Substitution
Scotland
17 A. Awokoya-Mebude
İ. Dervişoğlu
Substitution
Turkey
11 İ. Dervişoğlu

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium
Medical Park Stadyumu
Capacity
40782
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Furkan Ürün
Melek Dakan
Çağdaş Altay
Kerem İlitangil

Statistics

Possession
TRA
54%
Rizespor
46%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 4
57 Dangerous attacks 42
56 Possession 44
8 Corners 4
14 Free kicks 11
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

9 Goal Attempts 6
19 Throwins 12
5 Substitutions 5
7 Goal Kicks 7
7 Successful Headers 13
61 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64
18 Dribble Attempts 14
72 Ball Safe 68
1 Assists 0
11 Successful Dribbles 9

Attacking

92 Attacks 81
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

86 Successful Passes Percentage 83
7 Key Passes 9
461 Passes 366
44 Long Passes 56
398 Successful Passes 304
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 59
22 Successful Long Passes 33

Defensive

15 Tackles 13
5 Interceptions 10
3 Saves 2

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 19
3 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

13 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Çağdaş Altay

Starting XI ▼

24
André Onana
André Onana Goalkeeper
7.1
11
Ozan Tufan
Ozan Tufan Defender
7.4
18
Umut Nayir
Umut Nayir
Attacker75'
6.38
14
Mathias Løvik
Mathias Løvik Defender
6.67
22
Oleksandr Zubkov
Oleksandr Zubkov
Midfielder46'
7.1
15
Stefan Savic
Stefan Savic (C) Defender
7.14
27
Chibuike Nwaiwu
Chibuike Nwaiwu Defender
6.86
10
Ernest Muci
Ernest Muci Midfielder
7.42
5
Okay Yokuşlu
Okay Yokuşlu
Midfielder90+1'
19
Mustafa Eskihellaç
Mustafa Eskihellaç Midfielder
6.77
74
Salih Malkoçoğlu
Salih Malkoçoğlu
Midfielder90+1'
26
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli Midfielder
6.73
42
Christ Inao Oulaï
Christ Inao Oulaï Midfielder
7.32
99
Felipe Augusto
Felipe Augusto Midfielder
6.6
20
Wagner Pina
Wagner Pina
Defender65'
6.73
30
Paul Onuachu
Paul Onuachu Attacker
7.33
Referee : Çağdaş Altay

Starting XI ▼

75
Yahia Fofana
Yahia Fofana Goalkeeper
6.75
3
Samet Akaydin
Samet Akaydin Defender
6.65
27
Modibo Sagnan
Modibo Sagnan Defender
6.75
37
Taha Şahin
Taha Şahin Defender
7.2
77
Altin Zeqiri
Altin Zeqiri
Midfielder86'
6.65
54
Mithat Pala
Mithat Pala (C) Defender
6.85
6
Giannis Papanikolaou
Giannis Papanikolaou Midfielder
6.97
7
Valentin Mihăilă
Valentin Mihăilă Midfielder
6.65
10
Ibrahim Olawoyin
Ibrahim Olawoyin Midfielder
6.76
99
Emrecan Bulut
Emrecan Bulut
Attacker86'
14
T. Antalyalı
T. Antalyalı Midfielder
6.7
18
Muhamed Buljubasic
Muhamed Buljubasic
Midfielder86'
6.57
17
Adedire Mebude
Adedire Mebude Midfielder
6.72
50
Loide Augusto
Loide Augusto
Attacker65'
6.75
11
Halil Dervişoğlu
Halil Dervişoğlu Attacker
6.56
19
Frantzdy Pierrot
Frantzdy Pierrot
Attacker74'
6.23

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Salih Malkoçoğlu → Mustafa Eskihellaç
9th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Okay Yokuşlu → Ernest Muci
10th Substitution
90+1'
86'
Event
Muhamed Buljubasic → T. Antalyalı
6th Substitution
86'
Event
Emrecan Bulut → Ibrahim Olawoyin
7th Substitution
86'
Event
Altin Zeqiri → Taha Şahin
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Valentin Mihăilă
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Umut Nayir → Ozan Tufan
5th Substitution
75'
74'
Event
Frantzdy Pierrot → Halil Dervişoğlu
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Giannis Papanikolaou
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Wagner Pina → Felipe Augusto
3rd Substitution
65'
65'
Event
Loide Augusto → Adedire Mebude
2nd Substitution
Event
Paul Onuachu
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
51'
Event
Oleksandr Zubkov → Mathias Løvik
1st Substitution
46'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Trabzonspor exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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