Córdoba vs Real Sociedad II Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Arcángel
Sun, 15 Mar - 1:00 PM
La Liga 2
Córdoba
Córdoba
0
2
2
Real Sociedad II
Real Sociedad II
Full Time
Sun, 15 Mar
1:00 PM
|
Job Ochieng - 11'
Dani Díaz - 19' (P)
|
Jon Balda 84'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 21
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Córdoba 0–2 Real Sociedad II. The result saw Real Sociedad II take the points. Real Sociedad II showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 75%–25%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Real Sociedad II showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
-
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Arcediano Monescillo
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
12.29
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.11
C. Valverde Monsalve
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
12.29
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.11
S. Sanz Torcal
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
12.29
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.11
M. Bárcenas Torres
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
12.29
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.11
I. Ania Cadavieco
VS
J. Ansotegi Gorostola
1.54
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.33
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Racing Santander
Rank: 71
L
FC Andorra
Rank: 58
L
Ceuta
Rank: 62
L
Almería
Rank: 70
L
Leganés
Rank: 67
W
Real Valladolid
Rank: 59
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Castellón
Rank: 67
W
Deportivo La Coruña
Rank: 67
L
Cádiz
Rank: 64
W
Málaga
Rank: 66
W
FC Andorra
Rank: 58
W
Las Palmas
Rank: 68
D
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Córdoba
53.79%
Draw
23.78%
Real Sociedad II
22.44%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.87
57.95
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Córdoba
Real Sociedad II
Power Score
61.87
57.95
League Position
11
12
Global Rank
402
363
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Córdoba
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Real Sociedad II
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Córdoba Real Sociedad II
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Córdoba
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Real Sociedad II
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Córdoba
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Real Sociedad II
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.67
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.60
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Córdoba
+0.21
Efficiency Index
vs
Real Sociedad II
-0.21
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Córdoba
Real Sociedad II
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Córdoba
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Real Sociedad II
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Córdoba
Real Sociedad II
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
1.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Córdoba
Real Sociedad II
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Córdoba
Real Sociedad II
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Córdoba
Córdoba
Home
1
matches
Real Sociedad II
Real Sociedad II
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:55:25+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
I. Iker
#146'
13 (C) C. Marín Tomás
22 Álvaro Pérez Campo
4 J. Martín Valerón
15 X. Egea
D. Bri Carrazoni
#546'
21 C. Albarrán Sanz
8 I. Ruiz Sánchez
S. Guardiola Navarro
#1471'
24 P. Ortiz Bernat
23 C. Carracedo García
A. Mendes Martins
#1746'
25 M. Goti López
D. de Almeida Leite
#1978'
10 J. González Rodrigañez
18 A. Fuentes González
1 A. Fraga Torres
3 J. Balda Zubiri
15 K. Kita
4 (C) L. Beitia Aguirregomezcorta
22 A. Dadie Izagirre
G. Gorosabel Añorga
#1659'
31 I. Aguirre Basurko
14 T. Carbonell Del Rio
A. Marchal Garcia
#1971'
11 J. Ochieng
U. Ayo Larrañaga
#3981'
8 M. Rodriguez Carrasco
L. Astiazarán Escabias
#1759'
7 D. Díaz Gándara
A. Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta
#1071'
18 G. Carrera Zarranz
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Arcángel
Capacity
21384
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo
Christian Arlex Valverde Monsalve
Samuel Sanz Torcal
Millan Bárcenas Torres
Statistics
Possession
Córdoba
68%
Real Sociedad II
32%
Top Statistics
0
Goals
2
3
Big Chances Created
3
12
Shots
1
100
Dangerous attacks
23
75
Possession
25
16
Corners
2
20
Free kicks
15
2
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
1
Match Overview
22
Dribble Attempts
16
11
Successful Dribbles
7
50
Successful Dribbles Percentage
44
69
Ball Safe
79
27
Throwins
13
14
Goal Attempts
8
0
Penalties
1
0
Assists
1
4
Goal Kicks
20
1
Hit Woodwork
1
5
Substitutions
5
0
Injuries
3
Attacking
112
Attacks
54
3
Big Chances Missed
2
Possession
476
Passes
174
36
Successful Long Passes
22
405
Successful Passes
93
52
Long Passes
73
18
Key Passes
3
69
Successful Long Passes Percentage
30
85
Successful Passes Percentage
53
Defensive
3
Interceptions
10
3
Saves
6
15
Tackles
19
Build-up
49
Total Crosses
8
13
Accurate Crosses
1
Discipline
15
Fouls
16
3
Offsides
1
Lineup
Referee :
Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo
Manager ▼
I. Ania Cadavieco
Coach
Starting XI ▼
13
Carlos Marín (C)
Goalkeeper
6.15 1Iker Álvarez
6.96Goalkeeper46'
4
Álex Martín
Defender
7.25 15
Xavi Sintes
Defender
6.66
21
Carlos Albarrán
Defender
5.57 5Diego Bri
6.35Attacker46'
22
Trilli
Defender
7.19 8
Isma Ruiz
Midfielder
7.34 10
Jacobo González
Midfielder
6.82 19Dalisson de Almeida
6.81Midfielder78'
23
Cristian Carracedo
Midfielder
7.98 24
Pedro Ortiz
Midfielder
6.67
14Sergi Guardiola
6.88Attacker71'
25
Mikel Goti
Midfielder
6.49 17Adilson
6.65Attacker46'
18
Adrián Fuentes
Attacker
7.5 Substitutes ▼
2
Ignasi Vilarrasa
Defender
7
Théo Zidane
Midfielder
30
Dani Requena
Midfielder
6
Diego Percan
Attacker
9
Nikolay Obolskiy
Attacker
11
Kevin Medina
Attacker
Referee :
Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo
Manager ▼
J. Ansotegi Gorostola
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Aitor Fraga
Goalkeeper
7.92 3
Jon Balda
Defender
6.11
4
Luken Beitia (C)
Defender
6.92 15
Kazunari Kita
Defender
7.03 22
Alberto Dadie
Defender
7.24 7
Dani Díaz
Midfielder
17Lander Astiazaran
6.67Midfielder59'
8
Mikel Rodriguez
Midfielder
7.15 39Unax Larrañaga
6.56Defender81'
11
Job Ochieng
Midfielder
19Alex Marchal
6.42Attacker71'
14
Tomy Carbonell
Midfielder
6.82 31
Ibai Aguirre Basurco
Midfielder
6.33 16Gorka Gorosabel
Midfielder59'
6.71
18
Gorka Carrera
Attacker
6.77
10Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Attacker71'
6.41
Substitutes ▼
13
Egoitz Arana
Goalkeeper
45
Lander Olasagasti
Goalkeeper
23
Unax Agote
Defender
21
Joni Eceiza
Midfielder
29
Jon Garro
Midfielder
34
Joan Oleaga
Midfielder
Events
2ND-HALF
90+1'
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
84'
Jon Balda
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
81'
Unax Larrañaga → Mikel Rodriguez
10th Substitution
Dalisson de Almeida → Jacobo González
9th Substitution
78'
77'
Gorka Gorosabel
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Sergi Guardiola → Pedro Ortiz
6th Substitution
71'
71'
Alex Marchal → Job Ochieng
7th Substitution
71'
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena → Gorka Carrera
8th Substitution
63'
Jon Balda
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
59'
Lander Astiazaran → Dani Díaz
4th Substitution
59'
Gorka Gorosabel → Ibai Aguirre Basurco
5th Substitution
Adilson → Mikel Goti
1st Substitution
46'
Iker Álvarez → Carlos Marín
2nd Substitution
46'
Diego Bri → Carlos Albarrán
3rd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Pedro Ortiz
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
45+1'
44'
Gorka Carrera
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
19'
Dani Díaz
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
18'
Dani Díaz
Penalty awarded
Xavi Sintes
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
15'
11'
Job Ochieng
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Real Sociedad II exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.