Mirandés vs Cádiz Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Anduva Fri, 13 Mar - 7:30 PM
La Liga 2
Mirandés MIR
0 Winner 2
Cádiz CAD
Full Time Fri, 13 Mar 7:30 PM
|
Goal
Brian Ocampo - 7'
Yussi Diarra - 10'

CONTEXT

The match between Mirandés and Cádiz has officially finished, with Cádiz securing a decisive 2-0 away victory. All the scoring was completed in the first half, giving the visitors a comfortable 2-0 lead heading into the break. This result represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations. The market initially favored a Mirandés victory with a 42.2% probability,

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Cádiz showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Muresan
S. Muresan
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.74
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
D. Miranda Bolaño
D. Miranda Bolaño
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.74
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
José Bordoy
José Bordoy
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.74
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
A. Moleon Cuenca
A. Moleon Cuenca
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.74
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Mirandés A. Muneta Beldarrain
A. Muneta Beldarrain
VS
Cádiz C. Rodriguez Diaz
C. Rodriguez Diaz
0.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Huesca Rank: 63 W
Las Palmas Rank: 68 D
Racing Santander Rank: 70 L
Málaga Rank: 66 W
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 L
FC Andorra Rank: 58 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad II Rank: 61 L
Burgos Rank: 65 D
Almería Rank: 70 L
Huesca Rank: 62 L
Granada Rank: 66 L
Albacete Rank: 65 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mirandés
42.23%
Draw
28.54%
Away Cádiz
29.23%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.72
61.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mirandés
Cádiz
Power Score
56.72
61.23
League Position
22
13
Global Rank
560
424

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mirandés — Opponent-weighted form score
Cádiz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mirandés Cádiz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mirandés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Cádiz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mirandés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cádiz
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.63
25.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.00
42.63
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mirandés +1.76 Efficiency Index
vs
Cádiz -1.76 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mirandés
Cádiz
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mirandés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cádiz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mirandés Cádiz
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mirandés Cádiz
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Mirandés
Cádiz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mirandés MIR Home
3 matches
Cádiz CAD Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
3
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-14T02:13:09+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Palomares Pulpillo
Spain
13 J. Palomares Pulpillo
H. Novoa Ramos
Substitution
Spain
2 H. Novoa Ramos
J. Gutiérrez Martínez
Spain
22 (C) J. Gutiérrez Martínez
N. Maraš
Substitution
Serbia
19 N. Maraš
J. Cabello Trujillo
Spain
15 J. Cabello Trujillo
D. Sia
Substitution
Italy
20 D. Sia
A. Houary Jeddoub
Substitution
Morocco
29 A. Houary Jeddoub
S. Clua Oya
Spain
16 S. Clua Oya
R. Bauzà Sureda
Spain
18 R. Bauzà Sureda
F. Hernandez Coarasa
Spain
28 F. Hernandez Coarasa
S. Balde
Substitution
Spain
9 S. Balde
D. Gil Mohedano
Spain
1 D. Gil Mohedano
R. Pereira Vargas
Spain
33 R. Pereira Vargas
I. Ortega
Spain
6 I. Ortega
J. Moreno San Vidal
Spain
2 J. Moreno San Vidal
I. Carcelén Valencia
Substitution
Spain
20 I. Carcelén Valencia
M. Diakité
Mali
5 M. Diakité
S. Ortuño Díaz
Spain
15 S. Ortuño Díaz
B. Ocampo Ferreira
Substitution
Uruguay
10 B. Ocampo Ferreira
Y. Diarra
Substitution
Mali
18 Y. Diarra
J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
Substitution
Spain
11 (C) J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
?. García Pascual
Substitution
23 ?. García Pascual

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 13, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Anduva
Capacity
5759
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sergiu Claudiu Muresan
D. Miranda Bolaño
José Miguel Bordoy Homar
Aitor Moleon Cuenca

Statistics

Possession
MIR
59%
CAD
41%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 2
63 Dangerous attacks 25
59 Possession 41
4 Corners 2
13 Free kicks 9

Match Overview

26 Throwins 23
4 Goal Kicks 13
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 19
0 Assists 2
15 Successful Dribbles 3
25 Dribble Attempts 16
65 Ball Safe 66
11 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 5
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

107 Attacks 76
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

84 Successful Passes Percentage 79
362 Successful Passes 245
433 Passes 312
64 Long Passes 58
37 Successful Long Passes 24
58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
17 Key Passes 8

Defensive

4 Interceptions 7
17 Tackles 19
4 Saves 6

Build-up

35 Total Crosses 11
9 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Fouls 2
2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Sergiu Claudiu Muresan

Starting XI ▼

13
Juanpa Palomares
Juanpa Palomares Goalkeeper
6.76
2
Hugo Novoa
Hugo Novoa Defender
6.41
27
Toni Tamarit
Toni Tamarit
Attacker59'
7.05
15
Jorge Cabello
Jorge Cabello Defender
6.75
19
Nikola Maras
Nikola Maras Defender
6.49
24
Iker Córdoba
Iker Córdoba
Defender46'
6.64
20
Diego Sia
Diego Sia Defender
6.07
30
Salim El Jebari
Salim El Jebari
Attacker46'
7.33
22
Juan Gutiérrez
Juan Gutiérrez (C) Defender
7.12
16
Selvi Clua
Selvi Clua Midfielder
7.07
18
Rafel Bauzà
Rafel Bauzà Midfielder
7.37
29
Ali Houary
Ali Houary Midfielder
6.78
48
Unax del Cura
Unax del Cura
Midfielder46'
6.69
9
Siren Diao
Siren Diao Attacker
6.6
7
Iker Varela
Iker Varela
Attacker78'
6.37
28
Javi Hernández
Javi Hernández Attacker
6.97
Referee : Sergiu Claudiu Muresan

Starting XI ▼

1
David Gil
David Gil Goalkeeper
8.14
2
Jorge Moreno
Jorge Moreno Defender
7.26
6
Iker Recio
Iker Recio Defender
7.5
20
Iza Carcelén
Iza Carcelén Defender
6.82
14
Bojan Kovacevic
Bojan Kovacevic
Defender79'
6.44
33
Raúl Pereira
Raúl Pereira Defender
6.88
5
Moussa Diakité
Moussa Diakité Midfielder
7.05
10
Brian Ocampo
Brian Ocampo Midfielder
7.28
24
Joaquín González
Joaquín González
Midfielder67'
6.88
11
Suso
Suso (C) Midfielder
6.33
29
Alfred Caicedo
Alfred Caicedo
Defender78'
6.31
15
Sergio Ortuño
Sergio Ortuño Midfielder
7.34
18
Yussi Diarra
Yussi Diarra Midfielder
6.98
19
José Antonio de la Rosa
José Antonio de la Rosa
Attacker83'
6.6
23
García Pascual
García Pascual Attacker
7.13
17
Dawda Camara
Dawda Camara
Attacker66'
6.42

Events

2ND-HALF
83'
Event
José Antonio de la Rosa → Yussi Diarra
10th Substitution
79'
Event
Bojan Kovacevic → Iza Carcelén
9th Substitution
Event
Iker Varela → Siren Diao
8th Substitution
78'
78'
Event
Alfred Caicedo → Suso
7th Substitution
67'
Event
Joaquín González → Brian Ocampo
6th Substitution
66'
Event
Dawda Camara → García Pascual
5th Substitution
Event
Toni Tamarit → Hugo Novoa
4th Substitution
59'
Event
Unax del Cura → Ali Houary
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Iker Córdoba → Nikola Maras
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Salim El Jebari → Diego Sia
3rd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
10'
Event
Yussi Diarra
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
7'
Event
Brian Ocampo
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Cádiz exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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