Leganés vs SD Eibar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Butarque Sun, 8 Mar - 5:30 PM
La Liga 2
Leganés LEG
0 Winner 1
SD Eibar EIB
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 5:30 PM
|
Goal
Peru Nolaskoain - 28'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Leganés 0–0 SD Eibar. The match ended in a draw. SD Eibar showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 63%–37%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: SD Eibar showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Lax Franco
S. Lax Franco
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 9.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.1
C. Grande Rabadán
C. Grande Rabadán
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 9.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.1
D. Fernández Correas
D. Fernández Correas
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 9.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.1
V. Broncano Suárez
V. Broncano Suárez
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 9.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.1
Leganés I. Oca Pulido
I. Oca Pulido
VS
SD Eibar B. San José Gil
B. San José Gil
1.26
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cultural Leonesa Rank: D
Córdoba Rank: L
Granada Rank: W
Burgos Rank: L
Real Sociedad II Rank: W
Castellón Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: D
Sporting Gijón Rank: W
Almería Rank: W
Granada Rank: D
Burgos Rank: L
Mirandés Rank: W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 6 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Leganés
35.85%
Draw
31.42%
Away SD Eibar
32.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
41.17
47.13
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Leganés
SD Eibar
Power Score
41.17
47.13
League Position
17
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Leganés — Opponent-weighted form score
SD Eibar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leganés SD Eibar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Leganés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SD Eibar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Leganés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.03
24.73
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.73
36.03
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Leganés +1.13 Efficiency Index
vs
SD Eibar -1.13 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Leganés
SD Eibar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Leganés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Leganés SD Eibar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Leganés SD Eibar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Leganés
SD Eibar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leganés LEG Home
7 matches
SD Eibar EIB Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
6
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:21:36+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Capacity
12454
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Salvador Lax Franco
Carlos Grande Rabadán
Diego Fernández Correas
Víctor Manuel Broncano Suárez

Statistics

Possession
LEG
61%
EIB
39%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 3
20 Shots 8
54 Dangerous attacks 23
63 Possession 37
10 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 14
4 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36
3 Goal Kicks 14
16 Dribble Attempts 14
20 Throwins 10
10 Successful Dribbles 5
8 Goal Attempts 5
64 Ball Safe 65
0 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 3
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

130 Attacks 60
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

87 Successful Passes Percentage 80
15 Key Passes 6
532 Passes 320
462 Successful Passes 256
36 Long Passes 66
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
18 Successful Long Passes 27

Defensive

17 Tackles 11
7 Interceptions 9
5 Saves 3

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 2
33 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

14 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Dani Rodríguez
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Gonzalo Melero → Sebastián Figueredo
8th Substitution
84'
82'
Event
Jon Magunazelaia → Adu Ares
7th Substitution
Event
Álex Millán
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
78'
Event
Álex Millán → Seydouba Cissé
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Duk → Juan Cruz
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Sebastián Figueredo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
70'
69'
Event
Sergio Álvarez → Jon Guruzeta
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Jon Bautista → Javi Martón
4th Substitution
Event
Amadou Diawara
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
66'
Event
Luis Asué → Diego García
1st Substitution
65'
Event
Óscar Plano → Naim García
2nd Substitution
65'
1ST-HALF
28'
Event
Peru Nolaskoain
Header / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: SD Eibar exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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