Real Valladolid vs Leganés Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla Sat, 14 Mar - 5:30 PM
La Liga 2
Real Valladolid REV
3 Winner 2
Leganés LEG
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 5:30 PM
Sergi Canós - 21'
Marcos André - 73'
Juanmi Latasa - 90+2'
Goal
|
Goal
Seydouba Cissé - 65'
Duk - 78'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Real Valladolid 3–2 Leganés. The result saw Real Valladolid take the points. Real Valladolid showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 34%–66%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Real Valladolid showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Sánchez López
R. Sánchez López
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 11.18
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.61
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
J. Hernández García
J. Hernández García
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 11.18
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.61
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
J. Mira García
J. Mira García
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 11.18
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.61
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
J. Ruiz Álvarez
J. Ruiz Álvarez
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 11.18
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.61
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Real Valladolid F. Escriba Segura
F. Escriba Segura
VS
Leganés I. Oca Pulido
I. Oca Pulido
0.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.26
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Málaga Rank: 66 D
Huesca Rank: 61 W
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 D
Granada Rank: 66 L
Castellón Rank: 69 L
Córdoba Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 61 D
Córdoba Rank: 66 L
Granada Rank: 66 W
Burgos Rank: 65 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 61 W
Castellón Rank: 69 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 5 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Valladolid
46.91%
Draw
28.23%
Away Leganés
24.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.15
58.98
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Valladolid
Leganés
Power Score
56.15
58.98
League Position
17
18
Global Rank
438
315

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score
Leganés — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Valladolid Leganés

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Real Valladolid

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Leganés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Valladolid ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Leganés
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
48.24
23.18
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.18
48.24
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Real Valladolid +2.50 Efficiency Index
vs
Leganés -2.50 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Valladolid
Leganés
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Valladolid ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Leganés
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Valladolid Leganés
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Valladolid Leganés
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Valladolid
Leganés
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Valladolid REV Home
5 matches
Leganés LEG Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
2
Goals
4
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
4
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:33:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
Á. Aceves Catalina
Spain
1 Á. Aceves Catalina
I. Alejo Peralta
Spain
14 I. Alejo Peralta
P. Tomeo Félez
Spain
15 P. Tomeo Félez
R. Martinez Gil
Spain
5 R. Martinez Gil
I. Garriel Muñoz
Substitution
Spain
27 I. Garriel Muñoz
J. Ponceau
Substitution
France
21 J. Ponceau
S. Jurić
Croatia
24 (C) S. Jurić
P. Gonzalez Carmona
Substitution
Spain
22 P. Gonzalez Carmona
I. San José Cantalejo
Spain
20 I. San José Cantalejo
S. Canós Tenes
Substitution
Spain
7 S. Canós Tenes
M. de Sousa Mendonça
Substitution
Brazil
10 M. de Sousa Mendonça
J. Soriano Oropesa
Spain
1 J. Soriano Oropesa
E. Franquesa Dolz
Spain
15 E. Franquesa Dolz
M. Antolín Garzón
Spain
2 M. Antolín Garzón
I. Miquel i Pons
Spain
5 I. Miquel i Pons
M. Leiva Calvo
Substitution
36 M. Leiva Calvo
Ó. Plano Pedreño
Substitution
Spain
20 Ó. Plano Pedreño
G. Melero Manzanares
Substitution
Spain
16 G. Melero Manzanares
S. Cisse
Guinea
8 S. Cisse
D. Rodríguez Vázquez
Spain
9 D. Rodríguez Vázquez
D. García Campos
Substitution
Spain
19 (C) D. García Campos
L. Lopes
Cape Verde
11 L. Lopes

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Stadium
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Capacity
27618
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rafael Sánchez López
José Hernández García
Jesús Manuel Mira García
Jaime Ruiz Álvarez

Statistics

Possession
REV
37%
LEG
63%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2
4 Big Chances Created 2
9 Shots 8
48 Dangerous attacks 46
34 Possession 66
3 Corners 4
9 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

20 Throwins 22
6 Goal Kicks 9
70 Ball Safe 134
1 Successful Dribbles 5
9 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
3 Assists 2
11 Dribble Attempts 13
10 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 0
68 Attacks 105

Possession

56 Long Passes 63
201 Successful Passes 475
9 Key Passes 10
25 Successful Long Passes 30
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48
72 Successful Passes Percentage 85
279 Passes 559

Defensive

19 Tackles 19
2 Saves 5
7 Interceptions 6

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 5
13 Total Crosses 20

Discipline

9 Fouls 5
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Rafael Sánchez López

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Aceves
Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper
6.4
5
Ramón Martínez
Ramón Martínez Defender
6.35
14
Iván Alejo
Iván Alejo Defender
6.3
15
Pablo Tomeo
Pablo Tomeo Defender
6.32
27
Iván Garriel
Iván Garriel Defender
6.41
30
Hugo San
Hugo San
Defender82'
6.63
7
Sergi Canós
Sergi Canós Midfielder
7.25
9
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi Latasa
Attacker69'
7.36
20
Chuki
Chuki Midfielder
7.34
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Midfielder
7.03
25
Vegard Erlien
Vegard Erlien
Attacker82'
6.63
22
Peter Federico
Peter Federico Midfielder
6.38
19
Lucas Sanseviero
Lucas Sanseviero
Attacker86'
24
Stanko Juric
Stanko Juric (C) Midfielder
7.31
10
Marcos André
Marcos André Attacker
7.04
6
Mathis Lachuer
Mathis Lachuer
Midfielder82'
6.42
Referee : Rafael Sánchez López

Starting XI ▼

1
Juan Soriano
Juan Soriano Goalkeeper
6.93
2
Marvelous Antolín Garzón
Marvelous Antolín Garzón Defender
6.82
5
Ignasi Miquel
Ignasi Miquel Defender
6.95
15
Enric Franquesa
Enric Franquesa Defender
6.71
36
Marcos Leiva Calvo
Marcos Leiva Calvo Defender
6.63
22
Sebastián Figueredo
Sebastián Figueredo
Defender86'
8
Seydouba Cissé
Seydouba Cissé Midfielder
7.19
16
Gonzalo Melero
Gonzalo Melero Midfielder
6.59
26
Carlos Guirao
Carlos Guirao
Midfielder46'
6.39
20
Óscar Plano
Óscar Plano Midfielder
6.57
10
Juan Cruz
Juan Cruz
Midfielder80'
6.43
9
Dani Rodríguez
Dani Rodríguez Attacker
8.43
11
Duk
Duk Attacker
7.22
19
Diego García
Diego García (C) Attacker
6.65
12
Luis Asué
Luis Asué
Attacker80'
6.32

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Pablo Tomeo
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+10'
Event
Juanmi Latasa
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
90+10'
Event
Juanmi Latasa
Header / 5th Goal
90+2'
Event
Lucas Sanseviero → Peter Federico
9th Substitution
86'
86'
Event
Sebastián Figueredo → Marcos Leiva Calvo
8th Substitution
Event
Mathis Lachuer → Marcos André
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Vegard Erlien → Julien Ponceau
5th Substitution
82'
Event
Hugo San → Iván Garriel
7th Substitution
82'
80'
Event
Juan Cruz → Óscar Plano
4th Substitution
80'
Event
Luis Asué → Diego García
3rd Substitution
78'
Event
Duk
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Marcos André
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
73'
Event
Juanmi Latasa → Sergi Canós
2nd Substitution
69'
65'
Event
Seydouba Cissé
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
58'
Event
Dani Rodríguez
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Carlos Guirao → Gonzalo Melero
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Gonzalo Melero
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Sergi Canós
Header / 1st Goal
21'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Real Valladolid exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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