Real Sociedad II vs Castellón Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Anoeta Stadium
Sat, 7 Mar - 3:15 PM
La Liga 2
Real Sociedad II
Real Sociedad II
4
2
2
Castellón
Castellón
Full Time
Sat, 7 Mar
3:15 PM
Job Ochieng - 2', 69'
Gorka Carrera - 6'
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena - 90+3'
|
Álex Calatrava - 5'
Ousmane Camara - 24'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 21
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Real Sociedad II 4–2 Castellón. The result saw Real Sociedad II take the points. Real Sociedad II showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 33%–67%.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Real Sociedad II showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: No major event distortion.
-
Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. De Ena Wolf
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
6.94
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
1.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.06
R. Porras Rico
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
6.94
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
1.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.06
Aleksandar Angelov
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
6.94
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
1.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.06
S. Fernández Pérez
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
6.94
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
1.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.06
J. Ansotegi Gorostola
VS
P. Hernández Domínguez
1.2
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
2
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña
Rank:
L
Cádiz
Rank:
W
Málaga
Rank:
W
FC Andorra
Rank:
W
Las Palmas
Rank:
D
Leganés
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Racing Santander
Rank:
L
Las Palmas
Rank:
D
Deportivo La Coruña
Rank:
W
Real Valladolid
Rank:
W
FC Andorra
Rank:
W
Real Zaragoza
Rank:
D
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Real Sociedad II
23.52%
Draw
25.11%
Castellón
51.37%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
43.58
56.32
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Sociedad II
Castellón
Power Score
43.58
56.32
League Position
12
2
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Real Sociedad II
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Castellón
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Real Sociedad II Castellón
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Real Sociedad II
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Castellón
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Real Sociedad II
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Castellón
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
55.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.85
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Real Sociedad II
+1.51
Efficiency Index
vs
Castellón
-1.51
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Sociedad II
Castellón
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Real Sociedad II
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Castellón
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Real Sociedad II
Castellón
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Sociedad II
Castellón
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Sociedad II
Castellón
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Real Sociedad II
Real Sociedad II
Home
1
matches
Castellón
Castellón
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
4
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
4
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:08:57+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
No team formation data available.
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 07, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Stadium
Anoeta Stadium
Capacity
40000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alonso De Ena Wolf
Rubén Porras Rico
Aleksandar Ivaylov Angelov
S. Fernández Pérez
Statistics
Possession
Real Sociedad II
38%
Castellón
62%
Top Statistics
4
Goals
2
5
Big Chances Created
2
8
Shots
8
23
Dangerous attacks
74
33
Possession
67
2
Corners
6
9
Free kicks
18
6
Yellow Cards
3
Match Overview
21
Dribble Attempts
15
10
Throwins
14
52
Successful Dribbles Percentage
53
11
Successful Dribbles
8
1
Assists
1
47
Ball Safe
35
18
Goal Kicks
7
4
Goal Attempts
15
4
Hit Woodwork
0
1
Injuries
0
5
Substitutions
5
Attacking
75
Attacks
142
3
Big Chances Missed
0
Possession
23
Successful Long Passes
25
66
Long Passes
41
271
Passes
555
69
Successful Passes Percentage
85
35
Successful Long Passes Percentage
61
11
Key Passes
13
187
Successful Passes
469
Defensive
15
Interceptions
13
19
Tackles
13
6
Saves
4
Build-up
3
Accurate Crosses
6
10
Total Crosses
27
Discipline
1
Offsides
3
16
Fouls
9
Events
2ND-HALF
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Header / 6th Goal
90+3'
Joan Oleaga → Gorka Gorosabel
10th Substitution
89'
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Foul / 9th Yellowcard
86'
10th Yellowcard
86'
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena → Gorka Carrera
9th Substitution
84'
Lander Astiazaran
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
82'
Unax Larrañaga → Ibai Aguirre Basurco
7th Substitution
81'
Alex Marchal → Job Ochieng
8th Substitution
81'
73'
Tincho Conde → Salva Ruiz
5th Substitution
73'
Adam Jakobsen → Diego Barri
6th Substitution
Gorka Carrera
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
71'
71'
Diego Barri
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
70'
Beñat Gerenabarrena
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Job Ochieng
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
69'
68'
Álvaro García → Ousmane Camara
3rd Substitution
68'
Awer Mabil → Raúl Sánchez
4th Substitution
Tomy Carbonell
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
56'
Lander Astiazaran → Dani Díaz
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Israel Suero → Pablo Santiago
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+4'
Salva Ruiz
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Kazunari Kita
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45+2'
24'
Ousmane Camara
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Jon Balda
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
14'
Gorka Carrera
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
6'
5'
Álex Calatrava
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Job Ochieng
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
2'
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Real Sociedad II exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.