Akron vs Akhmat Grozny Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Sun, 15 Mar - 11:00 AM
Premier League
Akron Akron
1 – 1
Akhmat Grozny AKH
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 11:00 AM
Artem Dzyuba - 84'
Goal
|
Goal
Georgiy Melkadze - 27'
|
Second yellow card Ismael Silva 49'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Akron 1–1 Akhmat Grozny. The match ended in a draw. Akhmat Grozny showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 57%–43%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Akhmat Grozny showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Bulanov
E. Bulanov
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.95
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.05
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.55
D. Safjan
D. Safjan
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.95
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.05
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.55
D. Malikov
D. Malikov
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.95
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.05
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.55
S. Fedotov
S. Fedotov
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.95
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.05
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.55
Akron Z. Tedeev
Z. Tedeev
VS
Akhmat Grozny S. Cherchesov
S. Cherchesov
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.42
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Spartak Moskva Rank: 71 L
Orenburg Rank: 51 L
Zenit Rank: 79 L
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 50 L
Sochi Rank: 50 W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: 72 D
CSKA Moskva Rank: 74 W
Orenburg Rank: 51 W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 68 W
Rubin Kazan Rank: 60 L
Spartak Moskva Rank: 73 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Akron
0%
Draw
0%
Away Akhmat Grozny
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.42
58.52
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Akron
Akhmat Grozny
Power Score
54.42
58.52
League Position
10
9
Global Rank
625
505

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Akron — Opponent-weighted form score
Akhmat Grozny — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Akron Akhmat Grozny

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Akron

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Akhmat Grozny

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Akron ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Akhmat Grozny
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.81
31.74
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.74
37.81
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Akron +0.69 Efficiency Index
vs
Akhmat Grozny -0.69 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Akron
Akhmat Grozny
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Akron ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Akhmat Grozny
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Akron Akhmat Grozny
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Akron Akhmat Grozny
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Akron
Akhmat Grozny
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Akron Akron Home
3 matches
Akhmat Grozny AKH Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
3
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:48:15+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
I. Terekhovskiy
32 I. Terekhovskiy
D. Pestryakov
Russia
71 D. Pestryakov
I. Nedelcearu
Romania
24 I. Nedelcearu
M. Bokoev
Russia
19 M. Bokoev
R. Fernández Toro
Bolivia
21 R. Fernández Toro
I. Đakovac
Substitution
Serbia
35 I. Đakovac
K. Khosonov
Substitution
Russia
80 K. Khosonov
S. Loncar
Substitution
Montenegro
15 S. Loncar
G. Benchimol Tavares
Cape Verde
11 G. Benchimol Tavares
A. Dzyuba
Russia
22 (C) A. Dzyuba
M. Boldyrev
Russia
91 M. Boldyrev
V. Uljanov
Russia
1 V. Uljanov
D. Abdulkadyrov
2 D. Abdulkadyrov
O. Ndong
Senegal
90 O. Ndong
K. Cake
Albania
5 K. Cake
M. Bogosavac
Serbia
8 (C) M. Bogosavac
I. Silva Lima
Brazil
11 I. Silva Lima
S. Pryakhin
Substitution
Russia
19 S. Pryakhin
D. Khlusevich
Russia
82 D. Khlusevich
E. dos Santos Cacintura
Angola
17 E. dos Santos Cacintura
G. Melkadze
Substitution
Russia
77 G. Melkadze
M. Samorodov
Substitution
Kazakhstan
20 M. Samorodov

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 11:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Stadium
Samara Arena
Capacity
44918
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Evgeni Bulanov
Dmitri Safjan
Dmitri Malikov
Sergey Fedotov

Statistics

Possession
Akron
55%
AKH
45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 0
18 Shots 12
71 Dangerous attacks 33
57 Possession 43
4 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

6 Dribble Attempts 18
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
3 Successful Dribbles 6
11 Successful Headers 12
10 Goal Kicks 13
17 Throwins 15
1 Assists 1
1 Hit Woodwork 0
16 Goal Attempts 7
3 Substitutions 3
79 Ball Safe 84
1 Injuries 3

Attacking

113 Attacks 74
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

291 Successful Passes 223
376 Passes 301
77 Successful Passes Percentage 74
56 Long Passes 67
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48
26 Successful Long Passes 32

Defensive

11 Interceptions 15
19 Tackles 7
2 Saves 3

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 5
10 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

16 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Evgeni Bulanov

Starting XI ▼

32
Ignat Terekhovskiy
Ignat Terekhovskiy Goalkeeper
6.5
19
Marat Bokoev
Marat Bokoev Defender
7.21
21
Roberto Fernández
Roberto Fernández Defender
6.89
24
Ionuț Nedelcearu
Ionuț Nedelcearu Defender
6.96
71
Dmitriy Pestryakov
Dmitriy Pestryakov Defender
7.56
15
Stefan Loncar
Stefan Loncar Midfielder
6.9
10
K. Arévalo
K. Arévalo
Attacker69'
6.73
35
Ifet Djakovac
Ifet Djakovac Midfielder
6.76
81
Nikita Bazilevskiy
Nikita Bazilevskiy
Attacker81'
6.66
80
Khetag Khosonov
Khetag Khosonov Midfielder
6.55
6
Maksim Kuzmin
Maksim Kuzmin
Midfielder59'
6.82
11
Benchimol
Benchimol Attacker
6.94
22
Artem Dzyuba
Artem Dzyuba (C) Attacker
7.93
91
Maksim Boldyrev
Maksim Boldyrev Attacker
6.99
Referee : Evgeni Bulanov

Starting XI ▼

1
Vadim Ulyanov
Vadim Ulyanov Goalkeeper
6.85
2
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov Defender
6.47
5
Klisman Cake
Klisman Cake Defender
6.92
90
Ousmane N’Dong
Ousmane N’Dong Defender
7.03
8
Miroslav Bogosavac
Miroslav Bogosavac (C) Midfielder
7.26
11
Ismael Silva
Ismael Silva Midfielder
5.75
19
S. Pryakhin
S. Pryakhin Midfielder
6.54
10
Rifat Zhemaletdinov
Rifat Zhemaletdinov
Midfielder90'
6.57
82
Daniil Khlusevich
Daniil Khlusevich Midfielder
6.55
17
Egas Cacintura
Egas Cacintura Attacker
7.12
20
Maksim Samorodov
Maksim Samorodov Attacker
6.96
42
Kelliano
Kelliano
Midfielder54'
6.43
77
Georgiy Melkadze
Georgiy Melkadze Attacker
7.19
13
Mohamed Konaté
Mohamed Konaté
Attacker89'

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Rifat Zhemaletdinov → S. Pryakhin
6th Substitution
89'
Event
Mohamed Konaté → Georgiy Melkadze
5th Substitution
Event
Artem Dzyuba
Header / 2nd Goal
84'
Event
Nikita Bazilevskiy → Ifet Djakovac
4th Substitution
81'
80'
Event
Kelliano
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
K. Arévalo → Stefan Loncar
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Artem Dzyuba
Goal disallowed
64'
Event
Maksim Kuzmin → Khetag Khosonov
2nd Substitution
59'
54'
Event
Kelliano → Maksim Samorodov
1st Substitution
49'
Event
Ismael Silva
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
1ST-HALF
Event
Stefan Loncar
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
36'
27'
Event
Georgiy Melkadze
Header / 1st Goal
15'
Event
Ismael Silva
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
5'
Event
Georgiy Melkadze
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Akhmat Grozny exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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