Krylya Sovetov vs Dynamo Makhachkala Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Sun, 8 Mar - 11:30 AM
Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov
2 Winner 0
Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 11:30 AM
Chinedu Geoffrey - 9', 25'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Krylya Sovetov 2–0 Dynamo Makhachkala. The result saw Krylya Sovetov take the points. Krylya Sovetov showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 46%–54%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Krylya Sovetov showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Sukhoy
A. Sukhoy
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.06
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
I. Demeshko
I. Demeshko
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.06
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
A. Bogdanov
A. Bogdanov
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.06
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
E. Rubtsov
E. Rubtsov
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.06
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
Krylya Sovetov M. Adiev
M. Adiev
VS
Dynamo Makhachkala V. Evseev
V. Evseev
0.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.83
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: L
Krasnodar Rank: L
Rostov Rank: W
Zenit Rank: D
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rubin Kazan Rank: W
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: L
Sochi Rank: D
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
CSKA Moskva Rank: L
Krylya Sovetov Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Krylya Sovetov
0%
Draw
0%
Away Dynamo Makhachkala
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
33.33
30
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Krylya Sovetov
Dynamo Makhachkala
Power Score
33.33
30
League Position
12
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Krylya Sovetov — Opponent-weighted form score
Dynamo Makhachkala — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Krylya Sovetov Dynamo Makhachkala

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Krylya Sovetov

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dynamo Makhachkala

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Krylya Sovetov ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Makhachkala
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.20
19.91
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
19.91
21.20
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Krylya Sovetov +0.15 Efficiency Index
vs
Dynamo Makhachkala -0.15 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Krylya Sovetov
Dynamo Makhachkala
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Krylya Sovetov ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Makhachkala
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Krylya Sovetov Dynamo Makhachkala
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Krylya Sovetov Dynamo Makhachkala
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Krylya Sovetov
Dynamo Makhachkala
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov Home
3 matches
Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
0
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:03:43+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Stadium
Samara Arena
Capacity
44918
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Aleksey Sukhoy
Igor Demeshko
Aleksandr Bogdanov
Efim Rubtsov

Statistics

Possession
Krylya Sovetov
48%
Dynamo Makhachkala
52%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 8
35 Dangerous attacks 35
46 Possession 54
6 Corners 7
13 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 42
14 Dribble Attempts 12
8 Successful Dribbles 5
4 Goal Kicks 7
20 Throwins 24
14 Successful Headers 15
2 Assists 0

Attacking

87 Attacks 85
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

266 Successful Passes 335
370 Passes 438
72 Successful Passes Percentage 76
20 Successful Long Passes 18
55 Long Passes 62
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29

Defensive

3 Saves 2
18 Interceptions 7
21 Tackles 13

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 25
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

16 Fouls 13
5 Offsides 1

Events

2ND-HALF
82'
Event
Serder Serderov → Jan Dapo
8th Substitution
Event
N. Rasskazov → Gonzalo Requena 
7th Substitution
80'
Event
V. Ignatenko → Chinedu Geoffrey
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Sergey Bozhin
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
77'
Event
Mihajlo Banjac → K. Stolbov
4th Substitution
72'
72'
Event
Hazem Mastouri → Gamid Agalarov
5th Substitution
Event
Fernando Costanza → I. Akhmetov
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
I. Oleynikov → Artem Shumansky
3rd Substitution
66'
46'
Event
Miro → Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Mohamed Azzi
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Chinedu Geoffrey
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
25'
Event
Chinedu Geoffrey
Header / 1st Goal
9'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Krylya Sovetov exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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