Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Rukh Vynnyky Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Livyy Bereh Sun, 15 Mar - 11:00 AM
Premier League
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2 Winner 0
Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 11:00 AM
Joaquinete - 52' (P)
Vadym Sydun - 87'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2–0 Rukh Vynnyky. The result saw Epitsentr Dunayivtsi take the points. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 56%–44%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
O. Solovyan
O. Solovyan
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.73
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
M. Chos
M. Chos
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.73
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
A. Semenov
A. Semenov
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.73
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
A. Zaytsev
A. Zaytsev
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.73
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi S. Nahornyak
S. Nahornyak
VS
Rukh Vynnyky I. Fedyk
I. Fedyk
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.14
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 53 W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 65 L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 55 L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 73 L
SK Poltava Rank: 38 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 47 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 47 L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 42 L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 65 L
SK Poltava Rank: 38 W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 59 W
Oleksandria Rank: 49 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
54.12%
Draw
28.11%
Away Rukh Vynnyky
17.78%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
44.63
45.47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Rukh Vynnyky
Power Score
44.63
45.47
League Position
13
14
Global Rank
850
861

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — Opponent-weighted form score
Rukh Vynnyky — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rukh Vynnyky

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rukh Vynnyky

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rukh Vynnyky
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
11.70
9.66
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
9.66
11.70
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi +0.21 Efficiency Index
vs
Rukh Vynnyky -0.21 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Rukh Vynnyky
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rukh Vynnyky
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rukh Vynnyky
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rukh Vynnyky
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Rukh Vynnyky
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Home
1 matches
Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:49:06+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
O. Bilyk
Ukraine
31 O. Bilyk
I. Kyryukhantsev
Ukraine
70 I. Kyryukhantsev
V. Moroz
Ukraine
4 (C) V. Moroz
S. Grygorashchuk
Ukraine
3 S. Grygorashchuk
V. Luchkevych
Substitution
Ukraine
67 V. Luchkevych
M. Myronyuk
Substitution
Ukraine
8 M. Myronyuk
J. Ceberio Amonarriz
Spain
39 J. Ceberio Amonarriz
C. Rojas Mosquera
Spain
99 C. Rojas Mosquera
K. Kovalets
Substitution
Ukraine
6 K. Kovalets
J. Cifuentes Xalmet
Substitution
Spain
9 J. Cifuentes Xalmet
V. Supriaha
Substitution
Ukraine
21 V. Supriaha
Y. Gereta
Ukraine
1 Y. Gereta
V. Yasinskyi
Substitution
Ukraine
79 V. Yasinskyi
O. Tovarnytskyi
Ukraine
76 O. Tovarnytskyi
D. Pidgurskyi
Ukraine
15 (C) D. Pidgurskyi
A. Kitela
Ukraine
75 A. Kitela
M. Boyko
Ukraine
56 M. Boyko
K. dos Santos Chrispim
Brazil
7 K. dos Santos Chrispim
T. Brener de Paula
Brazil
30 T. Brener de Paula
O. Prytula
Substitution
Ukraine
10 O. Prytula
S. Diallo
Substitution
Senegal
14 S. Diallo
L.Jorge Alexandrino de Lima
Brazil
21 L.Jorge Alexandrino de Lima

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 11:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadium
Stadion Livyy Bereh
Capacity
40003
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Oleksandr Solovyan
Maksim Chos
Andrii Semenov
Andrii Zaytsev

Statistics

Possession
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
53%
Rukh Vynnyky
47%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
3 Shots 1
31 Dangerous attacks 25
56 Possession 44
5 Corners 3
16 Free kicks 20
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

6 Goal Kicks 4
1 Penalties 0
5 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 0

Attacking

66 Attacks 67

Defensive

1 Saves 1

Discipline

20 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 6

Lineup

Referee : Oleksandr Solovyan

Starting XI ▼

31
Oleg Bilyk
Oleg Bilyk Goalkeeper
6.5
3
Stepan Grigorashchuk
Stepan Grigorashchuk Defender
6.5
4
Vladyslav Moroz
Vladyslav Moroz (C) Defender
6.5
67
Valeriy Luchkevych
Valeriy Luchkevych Defender
6.5
97
Oleksandr Klymets
Oleksandr Klymets
Defender90+1'
6
Kyrylo Kovalets
Kyrylo Kovalets Midfielder
6.5
17
Yehor Demchenko
Yehor Demchenko
Midfielder46'
6.5
8
Mykola Myronyuk
Mykola Myronyuk Midfielder
6.5
5
Yevhen Zaporozhets
Yevhen Zaporozhets
Midfielder64'
6.61
9
Joaquinete
Joaquinete Midfielder
6.54
7
Andriy Matkevych
Andriy Matkevych
Attacker77'
6.5
39
Jon Ceberio
Jon Ceberio Midfielder
6.45
70
Ihor Kyriukhantsev
Ihor Kyriukhantsev Midfielder
6.45
99
Carlos Rojas
Carlos Rojas Midfielder
6.5
21
Vladyslav Supryaga
Vladyslav Supryaga Attacker
6.46
20
Vadym Sydun
Vadym Sydun
Midfielder64'
6.69
Referee : Oleksandr Solovyan

Starting XI ▼

1
Yuriy-Volodymyr Gereta
Yuriy-Volodymyr Gereta Goalkeeper
5.88
76
Oleksiy Tovarnytskyi
Oleksiy Tovarnytskyi Defender
6.05
79
Volodymyr Yasinskyi
Volodymyr Yasinskyi Defender
6.25
33
Arsen Zalypka
Arsen Zalypka
Defender74'
6.26
7
Klayver
Klayver Midfielder
6.27
10
Ostap Prytula
Ostap Prytula Midfielder
6.27
8
Vlad Raileanu
Vlad Raileanu
Midfielder89'
14
Samba Diallo
Samba Diallo Midfielder
6.33
9
Igor Neves
Igor Neves
Attacker77'
6.46
15
Denys Pidgurskyi
Denys Pidgurskyi (C) Midfielder
6.27
30
Talles
Talles Midfielder
6.27
56
Maksym Boyko
Maksym Boyko Midfielder
6.27
75
Andriy Kitela
Andriy Kitela Midfielder
6.27
21
Luiz Jorge Alexandrino de Lima
Luiz Jorge Alexandrino de Lima Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Oleksandr Klymets → Valeriy Luchkevych
8th Substitution
90+1'
89'
Event
Vlad Raileanu → Ostap Prytula
7th Substitution
Event
Vadym Sydun
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
87'
Event
Andriy Matkevych → Joaquinete
5th Substitution
77'
77'
Event
Igor Neves → Samba Diallo 
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Arsen Zalypka → Volodymyr Yasinskyi
4th Substitution
Event
Jon Ceberio
5th Yellowcard
71'
Event
6th Yellowcard
71'
Event
Ihor Kyriukhantsev
4th Yellowcard
68'
68'
Event
Samba Diallo 
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Yevhen Zaporozhets → Mykola Myronyuk
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Vadym Sydun → Vladyslav Supryaga
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Vladyslav Supryaga
2nd Yellowcard
58'
54'
Event
Volodymyr Yasinskyi
1st Yellowcard
Event
Joaquinete
Penalty / 1st Penalty
52'
Event
Yehor Demchenko → Kyrylo Kovalets
1st Substitution
46'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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