Polissya Zhytomyr vs Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Tsentralnyi Stadion Sat, 14 Mar - 4:00 PM
Premier League
Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr
2 Winner 0
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 4:00 PM
Igor Krasnopir - 34'
Oleksandr Nazarenko - 75'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Polissya Zhytomyr 2–0 Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih. The result saw Polissya Zhytomyr take the points. Polissya Zhytomyr showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 48%–52%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Polissya Zhytomyr showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Panchyshyn
D. Panchyshyn
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.05
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.18
V. Dumenko
V. Dumenko
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.05
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.18
Y. Povazhnyi
Y. Povazhnyi
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.05
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.18
A. Mykhaylyuk
A. Mykhaylyuk
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.05
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.18
Polissya Zhytomyr R. Rotan
R. Rotan
VS
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih P. van Leeuwen
P. van Leeuwen
2.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.47
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 65 L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 56 W
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 54 W
Karpaty Rank: 51 W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 50 L
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 52 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 43 D
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 52 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 47 D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 54 D
Oleksandria Rank: 49 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 73 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Polissya Zhytomyr
62.08%
Draw
24.16%
Away Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
13.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.41
55.61
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Polissya Zhytomyr
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Power Score
60.41
55.61
League Position
3
5
Global Rank
441
587

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Polissya Zhytomyr — Opponent-weighted form score
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Polissya Zhytomyr Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Polissya Zhytomyr

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Polissya Zhytomyr ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.71
23.56
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.56
37.71
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Polissya Zhytomyr +1.43 Efficiency Index
vs
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih -1.43 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Polissya Zhytomyr
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Polissya Zhytomyr ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Polissya Zhytomyr Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Polissya Zhytomyr Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Polissya Zhytomyr
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr Home
5 matches
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
5
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:16:10+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
E. Volynets
Ukraine
23 E. Volynets
B. Mykhaylichenko
Ukraine
15 B. Mykhaylichenko
S. Chobotenko
Ukraine
44 S. Chobotenko
E. Sarapiy
Ukraine
5 E. Sarapiy
B. Krushynskyi
Ukraine
55 B. Krushynskyi
R. Babenko
Substitution
Ukraine
8 R. Babenko
O. Hutsuliak
Ukraine
11 O. Hutsuliak
O. Andrievsky
Substitution
Ukraine
18 O. Andrievsky
L. Emërllahu
Substitution
Kosovo
14 L. Emërllahu
O. Nazarenko
Substitution
Ukraine
7 O. Nazarenko
I. Krasnopir
Substitution
Ukraine
95 I. Krasnopir
O. Kemkin
Ukraine
12 O. Kemkin
J. Nyabeye Dibango
Cameroon
55 J. Nyabeye Dibango
J. Jones
Panama
15 J. Jones
V. Volodymyr
Substitution
Ukraine
4 V. Volodymyr
J. Jurčec
Croatia
2 J. Jurčec
Y. Shevchenko
Substitution
8 Y. Shevchenko
A. Araujo Araque
Venezuela
6 A. Araujo Araque
G. Herbert
Substitution
Panama
10 G. Herbert
G. Mendoza Barrios
Substitution
Venezuela
7 G. Mendoza Barrios
M. Zaderaka
Ukraine
94 M. Zaderaka
B. Lin
Substitution
Israel
18 B. Lin

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadium
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Capacity
5928
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Dmytro Panchyshyn
Volodymyr Dumenko
Yaroslav Povazhnyi
Artem Mykhaylyuk

Statistics

Possession
Polissya Zhytomyr
52%
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
48%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
11 Shots 7
42 Dangerous attacks 25
48 Possession 52
8 Corners 1
2 Free kicks 2
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

14 Dribble Attempts 28
23 Throwins 20
11 Successful Dribbles 19
79 Successful Dribbles Percentage 68
9 Goal Kicks 8
2 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

69 Attacks 60

Possession

300 Successful Passes 298
70 Long Passes 59
41 Successful Long Passes 28
376 Passes 373
80 Successful Passes Percentage 80
59 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47

Defensive

3 Saves 4
15 Interceptions 13
5 Tackles 1

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 3
16 Total Crosses 10

Discipline

4 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 4

Lineup

Referee : Dmytro Panchyshyn

Starting XI ▼

23
Yevgen Volynets
Yevgen Volynets Goalkeeper
7.28
5
Eduard Sarapiy
Eduard Sarapiy Defender
7.08
15
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko Defender
6.55
44
Sergiy Chobotenko
Sergiy Chobotenko Defender
7.23
55
Borys Krushynskyi
Borys Krushynskyi Defender
7.21
7
Oleksandr Nazarenko
Oleksandr Nazarenko Midfielder
7.24
45
Maksym Bragaru
Maksym Bragaru
Midfielder78'
6.37
8
Ruslan Babenko
Ruslan Babenko Midfielder
6.34
16
Ilir Krasniqi
Ilir Krasniqi
Midfielder63'
6.51
11
Oleksiy Gutsulyak
Oleksiy Gutsulyak Midfielder
7.55
14
Lindon Emërllahu
Lindon Emërllahu Midfielder
6.26
27
Oleg Fedor
Oleg Fedor
Midfielder63'
6.92
18
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi Midfielder
6.92
19
Volodymyr Shepelev
Volodymyr Shepelev
Midfielder82'
6.21
95
Igor Krasnopir
Igor Krasnopir Attacker
7.12
89
Mykola Gayduchyk
Mykola Gayduchyk
Attacker63'
6.8
Referee : Dmytro Panchyshyn

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksandr Kemkin
Oleksandr Kemkin Goalkeeper
6.71
2
Jan Jurcec
Jan Jurcec Defender
6.9
4
Volodymyr Vilivald
Volodymyr Vilivald Defender
7.08
19
Yevgen Mayakov
Yevgen Mayakov
Defender90+1'
6.34
15
Joseph Jones
Joseph Jones Defender
6.34
55
Yvan Dibango
Yvan Dibango Defender
5.87
6
Andrusw Araujo
Andrusw Araujo Midfielder
6.54
8
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Yaroslav Shevchenko Midfielder
6.54
21
Oleksandr Kamenskyi
Oleksandr Kamenskyi
Midfielder85'
6.64
10
Giovany Herbert
Giovany Herbert Midfielder
5.82
14
Assane Seck
Assane Seck
Midfielder77'
6.63
7
Gleiker Mendoza
Gleiker Mendoza Attacker
7.9
28
Jhoel Maya
Jhoel Maya
Midfielder90+1'
6.5
18
Bar Lin
Bar Lin Attacker
6.97
24
Volodymyr Mulyk
Volodymyr Mulyk
Attacker77'
6.56
94
Maksym Zaderaka
Maksym Zaderaka Attacker
6.69

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Mykola Gayduchyk
Var
90+6'
90+4'
Event
4th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Yevgen Mayakov
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Jhoel Maya → Gleiker Mendoza
10th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Yevgen Mayakov → Volodymyr Vilivald
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Oleksandr Kamenskyi → Yaroslav Shevchenko
8th Substitution
Event
Volodymyr Shepelev → Oleksandr Andriyevskyi
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Maksym Bragaru → Oleksandr Nazarenko
6th Substitution
78'
77'
Event
Volodymyr Mulyk → Bar Lin
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Assane Seck → Giovany Herbert
5th Substitution
Event
Oleksandr Nazarenko
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
75'
Event
Oleg Fedor → Lindon Emërllahu
1st Substitution
63'
Event
Mykola Gayduchyk → Igor Krasnopir
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Ilir Krasniqi → Ruslan Babenko
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
61'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Yvan Dibango
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Igor Krasnopir
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
34'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Polissya Zhytomyr exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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