HamKam vs Viking Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Briskeby Arena Sat, 14 Mar - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
HamKam HamKam
2 Winner 1
Viking Viking
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 3:00 PM
Loris Mettler - 38'
Henrik Udahl - 36'
Goal
|
Goal
Gianni Stensness - 45+4'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. HamKam 2–1 Viking. The result saw HamKam take the points. HamKam showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 39%–61%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: HamKam showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Grøtta

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Hareland

1st Assistant

HamKam T. Myhre
T. Myhre
VS
Viking B. Lunde Aarsheim
B. Lunde Aarsheim
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.6
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brann Rank: 69 L
Haugesund Rank: 42 W
Viking Rank: 76 L
Sandefjord Rank: 62 W
Kristiansund Rank: 54 W
Vålerenga Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vålerenga Rank: 60 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 63 W
HamKam Rank: 58 W
Strømsgodset Rank: 49 W
Bryne Rank: 55 W
Tromsø Rank: 66 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 4 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home HamKam
19.63%
Draw
23.5%
Away Viking
56.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.87
74.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
HamKam
Viking
Power Score
58.87
74.5
League Position
6
11
Global Rank
494
102

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
HamKam — Opponent-weighted form score
Viking — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) HamKam Viking

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

HamKam

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Viking

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

HamKam ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Viking
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.08
34.84
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.84
33.08
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
HamKam -0.18 Efficiency Index
vs
Viking +0.18 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
HamKam
Viking
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

HamKam
vs
Viking
Created Set-piece attacking threat
HamKam Viking
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
HamKam Viking
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
HamKam
Viking
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

HamKam HamKam Home
8 matches
Viking Viking Away
Match Record
1
Wins
5
2
Draws
2
5
Losses
1
Goals
13
Goals Scored
24
24
Goals Conceded
13
-11
Goal Difference
+11

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:11:24+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
M. Sandberg
Sweden
12 M. Sandberg
I. Hoffmann
Substitution
United States
24 I. Hoffmann
M. Gjone
Norway
2 M. Gjone
F. Sjølstad
Norway
23 (C) F. Sjølstad
I. Kukleci
Substitution
Norway
15 I. Kukleci
A. Ekeroth
Sweden
5 A. Ekeroth
L. Mettler
Substitution
Switzerland
10 L. Mettler
L. Mares
Netherlands
14 L. Mares
A. Baran Potur
Norway
17 A. Baran Potur
J. Gonstad
Substitution
Norway
20 J. Gonstad
H. Udahl
Substitution
Norway
19 H. Udahl
Pitch
A. Østbø
Norway
1 A. Østbø
K. Haugen
Norway
28 K. Haugen
H. Falchener
Norway
25 H. Falchener
G. Stensness
Substitution
Australia
6 G. Stensness
H. Heggheim
Substitution
Norway
5 H. Heggheim
J. Bell
New Zealand
8 J. Bell
Z. Tripić
Norway
10 (C) Z. Tripić
J. Hansen
Substitution
33 J. Hansen
K. Askildsen
Norway
7 K. Askildsen
N. Kemp Fuglestad
Substitution
23 N. Kemp Fuglestad
H. Mikaelsson
Substitution
Iceland
11 H. Mikaelsson

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 14, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Stadium :
Briskeby Arena
Capacity :
8068
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Marius Hansen Grøtta
Erland Hareland

Statistics

Possession
HamKam
42%
Viking
58%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
11 Shots 18
38 Dangerous attacks 65
39 Possession 61
6 Corners 11
14 Free kicks 14
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

9 Successful Dribbles 3
14 Dribble Attempts 7
4 Goal Attempts 8
0 Assists 1
17 Throwins 26
64 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43
5 Substitutions 5
14 Goal Kicks 4
0 Hit Woodwork 1
102 Ball Safe 73

Attacking

62 Attacks 113

Possession

238 Successful Passes 410
25 Successful Long Passes 32
27 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43
93 Long Passes 75
71 Successful Passes Percentage 80
333 Passes 513
5 Key Passes 8

Defensive

11 Tackles 16
3 Saves 2
6 Interceptions 8

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 35
4 Accurate Crosses 10

Discipline

2 Offsides 4
14 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI ▼

12
M. Sandberg
M. Sandberg Goalkeeper
6.79
2
Martin Gjone
Martin Gjone Defender
6.49
5
A. Ekeroth
A. Ekeroth Defender
7.01
15
Ilir Kukleci
Ilir Kukleci Defender
6.57
22
S. Strand Nilsen
S. Strand Nilsen
Defender61'
6.34
23
F. Sjølstad
F. Sjølstad (C) Defender
6.79
24
I. Hoffmann
I. Hoffmann Defender
6.49
7
V. Jónsson
V. Jónsson
Midfielder75'
6.57
10
Loris Mettler
Loris Mettler Midfielder
7.53
8
M. Johnsgård
M. Johnsgård
Midfielder61'
6.47
14
L. Mares
L. Mares Midfielder
6.93
17
A. Potur
A. Potur Midfielder
6.74
19
Henrik Udahl
Henrik Udahl Attacker
7.71
16
Anders Trondsen
Anders Trondsen
Midfielder90+2'
20
Julian Gonstad
Julian Gonstad Attacker
6.11
18
G. Simenstad
G. Simenstad
Midfielder75'
6.54
Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI ▼

1
Arild Østbø
Arild Østbø Goalkeeper
6.4
5
Henrik Heggheim
Henrik Heggheim Defender
6.88
18
Sondre Bjørshol
Sondre Bjørshol
Defender69'
6.93
6
Gianni Stensness
Gianni Stensness Defender
7.12
21
Anders Bærtelsen
Anders Bærtelsen
Defender46'
6.85
25
Henrik Falchener
Henrik Falchener Defender
7.3
28
Kristoffer Haugen
Kristoffer Haugen Defender
7.18
7
Kristoffer Askildsen
Kristoffer Askildsen Midfielder
6.69
8
Joe Bell
Joe Bell Midfielder
6.91
10
Zlatko Tripic
Zlatko Tripic (C) Midfielder
8.2
23
Niklas Fuglestad
Niklas Fuglestad Midfielder
6.02
2
Herman Haugen
Herman Haugen
Defender58'
6.67
33
Jakob Segadal Hansen
Jakob Segadal Hansen Midfielder
6.63
26
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Midfielder58'
6.42
11
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson Attacker
6.73
15
Ola Visted
Ola Visted
Midfielder70'
6.25

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Anders Trondsen → Henrik Udahl
10th Substitution
90+2'
Event
M. Sandberg
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
85'
82'
Event
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
V. Jónsson → I. Hoffmann
8th Substitution
75'
Event
G. Simenstad → Julian Gonstad
9th Substitution
75'
70'
Event
Ola Visted → Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson
7th Substitution
69'
Event
Sondre Bjørshol → Henrik Heggheim
6th Substitution
Event
M. Johnsgård → Loris Mettler
4th Substitution
61'
Event
S. Strand Nilsen → Ilir Kukleci
5th Substitution
61'
58'
Event
Herman Haugen → Niklas Fuglestad
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Simen Kvia-Egeskog → Jakob Segadal Hansen
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Anders Bærtelsen → Gianni Stensness
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+4'
Event
Gianni Stensness
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
45+4'
Event
Gianni Stensness
Header / 3rd Goal
45+4'
Event
6th Yellowcard
Event
Martin Gjone
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45+3'
Event
F. Sjølstad
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
41'
Event
Loris Mettler
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
38'
Event
Henrik Udahl
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
36'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: HamKam exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

HamKam vs Viking preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.