Sion vs Winterthur Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stade de Tourbillon
Sat, 7 Mar - 5:00 PM
Super League
Sion
SIO
1
–
1
Winterthur
Winterthur
Full Time
Sat, 7 Mar
5:00 PM
Winsley Boteli - 66'
|
Andrin Hunziker - 5'
Jan Kronig 89'
|
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 16
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Sion 1–1 Winterthur. The match ended in a draw. Sion showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 68%–32%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Sion showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
-
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Hartmann
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
14.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.36
A. Dudic
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
14.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.36
C. dos Santos
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
14.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.36
L. Schelbli
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
14.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.36
D. Tholot
VS
P. Rahmen
1.42
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.57
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lugano
Rank:
L
Servette
Rank:
D
Young Boys
Rank:
W
Thun
Rank:
L
Basel
Rank:
W
Luzern
Rank:
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Servette
Rank:
D
St. Gallen
Rank:
L
Thun
Rank:
L
St. Gallen
Rank:
L
Young Boys
Rank:
L
Zürich
Rank:
L
4
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 1 - 5
5
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Sion
73.47%
Draw
17.46%
Winterthur
9.07%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.28
18.39
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sion
Winterthur
Power Score
48.28
18.39
League Position
5
12
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Sion
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Winterthur
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Sion Winterthur
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Sion
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Winterthur
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Sion
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Winterthur
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.49
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
43.91
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Sion
-0.42
Efficiency Index
vs
Winterthur
+0.42
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sion
Winterthur
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Sion
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Winterthur
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Sion
Winterthur
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Sion
Winterthur
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sion
Winterthur
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Sion
SIO
Home
10
matches
Winterthur
Winterthur
Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
4
Goals
13
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
13
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:11:38+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
No team formation data available.
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 07, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadium
Stade de Tourbillon
Capacity
16263
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Leroy Hartmann
Alessandro Dudic
Claudio dos Santos
Luca Schelbli
Statistics
Possession
SIO
63%
Winterthur
37%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
1
2
Big Chances Created
1
8
Shots
4
57
Dangerous attacks
61
68
Possession
32
9
Corners
4
18
Free kicks
15
3
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
0
Match Overview
53
Successful Dribbles Percentage
58
9
Successful Dribbles
7
3
Goal Attempts
2
16
Ball Safe
13
3
Goal Kicks
15
1
Assists
1
20
Throwins
9
17
Dribble Attempts
12
5
Substitutions
5
Attacking
125
Attacks
72
1
Big Chances Missed
1
Possession
21
Successful Long Passes
30
454
Successful Passes
171
40
Long Passes
61
515
Passes
247
88
Successful Passes Percentage
69
53
Successful Long Passes Percentage
49
14
Key Passes
8
Defensive
6
Interceptions
7
13
Tackles
18
3
Saves
5
Build-up
39
Total Crosses
11
10
Accurate Crosses
7
Discipline
14
Fouls
14
3
Offsides
0
Events
2ND-HALF
90+4'
Francis Momoh
6th Yellowcard
Baltazar
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+3'
90'
Francis Momoh → Nishan Burkart
10th Substitution
Jan Kronig
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
89'
87'
Randy Schneider
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Josias Lukembila → Ilyas Chouaref
9th Substitution
85'
Marquinhos Cipriano → Nias Hefti
8th Substitution
84'
Jan Kronig
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
81'
78'
Tibault Citherlet → Loïc Lüthi
6th Substitution
78'
Bafode Dansoko → Fabian Rohner
7th Substitution
Var
77'
71'
Stéphane Cueni
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
70'
Randy Schneider → Alexandre Jankewitz
5th Substitution
Winsley Boteli
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
66'
Winsley Boteli → Rilind Nivokazi
3rd Substitution
60'
Benjamin Kololli → Liam Chipperfield
4th Substitution
60'
Franck Surdez → Théo Berdayes
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Théo Golliard → Roman Buess
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
15'
Roman Buess
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
5'
Andrin Hunziker
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Sion exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.