Thun vs Grasshopper Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stockhorn Arena Sat, 14 Mar - 5:00 PM
Super League
Thun THU
5 Winner 1
Grasshopper GRA
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 5:00 PM
Mattias Käit - 33'
Genís Montolio - 37'
Brighton Labeau - 50'
Elmin Rastoder - 61'
Furkan Dursun - 80'
Goal
|
Goal
Young-joon Lee - 17'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Thun 5–1 Grasshopper. The result saw Thun take the points. Thun showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 49%–51%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Thun showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Grundbacher
D. Grundbacher
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.15
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.35
L. Aschwanden
L. Aschwanden
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.15
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.35
Z. Prskalo
Z. Prskalo
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.15
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.35
S. Küng
S. Küng
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.15
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.35
Thun M. Lustrinelli
M. Lustrinelli
VS
Grasshopper G. Scheiblehner
G. Scheiblehner
2.39
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.88
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Young Boys Rank: 62 W
St. Gallen Rank: 62 D
Luzern Rank: 58 W
Winterthur Rank: 45 W
Sion Rank: 58 W
Lausanne Sport Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lausanne Sport Rank: 58 L
Basel Rank: 63 L
Lugano Rank: 64 W
Zürich Rank: 53 L
St. Gallen Rank: 63 D
Luzern Rank: 57 L
20
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
20 - 13 - 17
17

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Thun
60.11%
Draw
23.31%
Away Grasshopper
16.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.97
50.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Thun
Grasshopper
Power Score
56.97
50.14
League Position
1
11
Global Rank
265
732

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Thun — Opponent-weighted form score
Grasshopper — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Thun Grasshopper

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Thun

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Grasshopper

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Thun ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Grasshopper
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.37
42.35
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
42.35
43.37
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Thun +0.10 Efficiency Index
vs
Grasshopper -0.10 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Thun
Grasshopper
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Thun
vs
Grasshopper
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Thun Grasshopper
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Thun Grasshopper
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Thun
Grasshopper
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Thun THU Home
2 matches
Grasshopper GRA Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
4
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:27:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
N. Steffen
Switzerland
24 N. Steffen
F. Fehr
Switzerland
47 F. Fehr
G. Montolio Lafuente
Spain
4 G. Montolio Lafuente
J. Bamert
Switzerland
19 J. Bamert
M. Heule
Switzerland
27 M. Heule
F. Meichtry
Substitution
77 F. Meichtry
L. Bertone
Switzerland
6 (C) L. Bertone
M. Käit
Substitution
Estonia
14 M. Käit
V. Matoshi
Substitution
Switzerland
78 V. Matoshi
B. Labeau Melchior
Substitution
Martinique
96 B. Labeau Melchior
E. Rastoder
Substitution
Switzerland
74 E. Rastoder
J. Hammel
Switzerland
71 J. Hammel
L. Mikulić
Croatia
4 L. Mikulić
A. Diaby
Mali
15 A. Diaby
M. Ngom
Senegal
20 M. Ngom
S. Krasniqi
Substitution
Switzerland
54 S. Krasniqi
D. Abels
Netherlands
2 (C) D. Abels
H. Imourane
Benin
5 H. Imourane
S. Stroscio
Substitution
Switzerland
28 S. Stroscio
T. Meyer
Switzerland
8 T. Meyer
L. Plange
Substitution
England
7 L. Plange
Y. Lee
Substitution
South Korea
18 Y. Lee

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadium
Stockhorn Arena
Capacity
10398
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Désirée Grundbacher
Livio Aschwanden
Zrinko Prskalo
Susann Küng

Statistics

Possession
THU
49%
GRA
51%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
19 Shots 19
45 Dangerous attacks 52
49 Possession 51
8 Corners 5
18 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

0 Injuries 1
21 Dribble Attempts 22
1 Hit Woodwork 0
4 Goal Kicks 9
28 Throwins 20
5 Substitutions 4
76 Ball Safe 87
8 Successful Dribbles 13
15 Goal Attempts 5
5 Assists 1
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 59

Attacking

86 Attacks 101
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

80 Long Passes 86
167 Successful Passes 181
58 Successful Passes Percentage 58
288 Passes 314
11 Key Passes 11
24 Successful Long Passes 27
30 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31

Defensive

28 Tackles 22
15 Interceptions 13
1 Saves 2

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 14
5 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Désirée Grundbacher

Starting XI ▼

24
Niklas Steffen
Niklas Steffen Goalkeeper
6.24
4
Genís Montolio
Genís Montolio Defender
8.5
19
Jan Bamert
Jan Bamert Defender
7.22
27
Michael Heule
Michael Heule Defender
6.89
47
Fabio Fehr
Fabio Fehr Defender
7.65
6
Leonardo Bertone
Leonardo Bertone (C) Midfielder
7.8
14
Mattias Käit
Mattias Käit Midfielder
7.96
5
Dominik Franke
Dominik Franke
Defender77'
6.42
77
Franz-Ethan Meichtry
Franz-Ethan Meichtry Midfielder
6.33
20
Noah Rupp
Noah Rupp
Midfielder64'
6.53
78
Valmir Matoshi
Valmir Matoshi Midfielder
6.02
70
Nils Reichmuth
Nils Reichmuth
Midfielder64'
6.73
74
Elmin Rastoder
Elmin Rastoder Attacker
6.97
18
Christopher Ibayi
Christopher Ibayi
Attacker64'
6.82
96
Brighton Labeau
Brighton Labeau Attacker
7.75
9
Furkan Dursun
Furkan Dursun
Attacker70'
6.97
Referee : Désirée Grundbacher

Starting XI ▼

71
Justin Hammel
Justin Hammel Goalkeeper
5.4
4
Luka Mikulić
Luka Mikulić Defender
6.07
15
Abdoulaye Diaby
Abdoulaye Diaby Defender
6.57
20
Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom
Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom Defender
6.18
2
Dirk Abels
Dirk Abels (C) Midfielder
6.71
5
Imourane Hassane
Imourane Hassane Midfielder
6.59
28
Simone Stroscio
Simone Stroscio Midfielder
6.47
52
Samuel Marques
Samuel Marques
Midfielder79'
6.26
54
Samuel Krasniqi
Samuel Krasniqi Midfielder
6.42
11
Salifou Diarrassouba
Salifou Diarrassouba
Midfielder66'
6.36
7
Luke Plange
Luke Plange Attacker
7.28
19
Felix Emmanuel Tsimba
Felix Emmanuel Tsimba
Attacker90+1'
8
Tim Meyer
Tim Meyer Attacker
6.69
18
Young-joon Lee
Young-joon Lee Attacker
7.52
17
Óscar Clemente Mues
Óscar Clemente Mues
Midfielder79'
6.55

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Felix Emmanuel Tsimba → Luke Plange
9th Substitution
Event
Furkan Dursun
Header / 6th Goal
80'
79'
Event
Óscar Clemente Mues → Young-joon Lee
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Samuel Marques → Simone Stroscio
8th Substitution
Event
Dominik Franke → Mattias Käit
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Furkan Dursun → Brighton Labeau
5th Substitution
70'
66'
Event
Salifou Diarrassouba → Samuel Krasniqi
4th Substitution
Event
Nils Reichmuth
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
65'
Event
Christopher Ibayi → Elmin Rastoder
1st Substitution
64'
Event
Nils Reichmuth → Valmir Matoshi
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Noah Rupp → Franz-Ethan Meichtry
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Elmin Rastoder
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
61'
Event
Brighton Labeau
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
50'
1ST-HALF
Event
Fabio Fehr
Goal disallowed
45+1'
41'
Event
Young-joon Lee
Goal disallowed
39'
Event
Dirk Abels
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Genís Montolio
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
37'
Event
Mattias Käit
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
33'
30'
Event
Abdoulaye Diaby
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
17'
Event
Young-joon Lee
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Valmir Matoshi
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
6'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Thun exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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