Basel vs Servette Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
St. Jakob-Park Sun, 15 Mar - 3:30 PM
Super League
Basel BAS
3 Winner 1
Servette Servette
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 3:30 PM
Dominik Schmid - 45'
Metinho  - 48', 90'
Goal
|
Goal
Samuel Mraz - 88'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Basel 3–1 Servette. The result saw Basel take the points. Basel showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 49%–51%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Basel showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
B. Lengacher
B. Lengacher
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.95
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.6
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.4
M. Turkes
M. Turkes
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.95
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.6
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.4
N. Gianforte
N. Gianforte
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.95
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.6
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.4
L. Schmid
L. Schmid
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.95
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.6
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.4
Basel S. Lichtsteiner
S. Lichtsteiner
VS
Servette J. Gourvennec
J. Gourvennec
1.59
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zürich Rank: 53 W
Thun Rank: 65 L
Zürich Rank: 53 W
Sion Rank: 58 D
Servette Rank: 60 D
Luzern Rank: 57 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zürich Rank: 51 W
Winterthur Rank: 44 D
Sion Rank: 59 D
St. Gallen Rank: 63 D
Lausanne Sport Rank: 60 D
Lugano Rank: 64 D
17
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 9 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Basel
42.07%
Draw
25.66%
Away Servette
32.27%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.22
58.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Basel
Servette
Power Score
63.22
58.58
League Position
4
9
Global Rank
360
503

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Basel — Opponent-weighted form score
Servette — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Basel Servette

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Basel

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Servette

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Basel ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Servette
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.69
37.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
37.55
34.69
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Basel -0.27 Efficiency Index
vs
Servette +0.27 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Basel
Servette
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Basel ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Servette
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Basel Servette
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Basel Servette
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Basel
Servette
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Basel BAS Home
21 matches
Servette Servette Away
Match Record
9
Wins
5
7
Draws
7
5
Losses
9
Goals
44
Goals Scored
23
23
Goals Conceded
44
+21
Goal Difference
-21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T02:25:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-1-1
Pitch
M. Hitz
Switzerland
1 M. Hitz
K. Rüegg
Switzerland
27 K. Rüegg
B. Omeragic
Substitution
Switzerland
4 B. Omeragic
N. Vouilloz
Switzerland
3 N. Vouilloz
D. Schmid
Switzerland
31 D. Schmid
A. Silu
Brazil
5 A. Silu
K. Koindredi
Substitution
France
8 K. Koindredi
I. Salah
Substitution
Morocco
21 I. Salah
X. Shaqiri
Substitution
Switzerland
10 (C) X. Shaqiri
B. Traore
Ivory Coast
11 B. Traore
G. Koloto
Substitution
37 G. Koloto
J. Mall
Cyprus
1 J. Mall
L. Njoh
France
14 L. Njoh
M. Burch
Switzerland
15 M. Burch
S. Rouiller
Switzerland
4 (C) S. Rouiller
T. Allix
Substitution
France
34 T. Allix
J. Kadile
France
10 J. Kadile
T. Cognat
France
8 T. Cognat
D. Douline
Substitution
France
28 D. Douline
M. Stevanović
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9 M. Stevanović
M. Ishuayed
Substitution
Switzerland
38 M. Ishuayed
F. Aye
Substitution
France
97 F. Aye

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadium
St. Jakob-Park
Capacity
37994
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bastien Lengacher
Mirel Turkes
Nico Gianforte
Linda Schmid

Statistics

Possession
BAS
49%
Servette
51%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 2
15 Shots 17
40 Dangerous attacks 43
49 Possession 51
6 Corners 3
17 Free kicks 5
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

83 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44
13 Goal Kicks 9
5 Successful Dribbles 8
15 Throwins 25
6 Dribble Attempts 18
5 Substitutions 5
1 Injuries 0
86 Ball Safe 78
9 Goal Attempts 13
1 Assists 1

Attacking

86 Attacks 85
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

45 Long Passes 32
366 Successful Passes 406
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44
442 Passes 469
83 Successful Passes Percentage 87
20 Successful Long Passes 14
6 Key Passes 15

Defensive

22 Tackles 19
3 Saves 2
12 Interceptions 14

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 19
3 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

5 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Nico Gianforte

Starting XI ▼

1
Marwin Hitz
Marwin Hitz Goalkeeper
6.86
3
Nicolas Vouilloz
Nicolas Vouilloz Defender
7.42
4
Becir Omeragic
Becir Omeragic Defender
6.46
24
Flavius Daniliuc
Flavius Daniliuc
Defender31'
6.5
27
Kevin Rüegg
Kevin Rüegg Defender
6.84
31
Dominik Schmid
Dominik Schmid Defender
7.52
5
Metinho
Metinho Midfielder
2
9.14
8
Koba Koindredi
Koba Koindredi Midfielder
7.11
22
Léo Leroy
Léo Leroy
Midfielder79'
6.62
10
Xherdan Shaqiri
Xherdan Shaqiri (C) Midfielder
6.82
14
Andrej Bacanin
Andrej Bacanin
Midfielder80'
6.5
11
Bénie Traoré
Bénie Traoré Midfielder
6.82
21
Ibrahim Salah
Ibrahim Salah Midfielder
6.96
18
Julien Duranville
Julien Duranville
Attacker71'
6.3
37
Giacomo Koloto
Giacomo Koloto Attacker
6.26
23
Albian Ajeti
Albian Ajeti
Attacker71'
6.46
Referee : Nico Gianforte

Starting XI ▼

1
Joël Mall
Joël Mall Goalkeeper
6.06
4
Steve Rouiller
Steve Rouiller (C) Defender
6.5
14
Lilian Njoh
Lilian Njoh Defender
7.27
15
Marco Burch
Marco Burch Defender
6.64
34
Teo Allix
Teo Allix Defender
6.2
17
Houboulang Mendes
Houboulang Mendes
Defender56'
6.21
8
Timothé Cognat
Timothé Cognat Midfielder
6.57
9
Miroslav Stevanovic
Miroslav Stevanovic Midfielder
6.57
21
Jérémy Guillemenot
Jérémy Guillemenot
Attacker74'
6.28
10
Junior Kadile
Junior Kadile Midfielder
7.62
28
David Douline
David Douline Midfielder
6.55
11
Lamine Fomba
Lamine Fomba
Midfielder81'
6.49
38
Malek Ishuayed
Malek Ishuayed Attacker
6.2
36
Thomas Lopes
Thomas Lopes
Midfielder56'
6.35
97
Florian Ayé
Florian Ayé Attacker
6.8
90
Samuel Mraz
Samuel Mraz
Attacker74'
7.49

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Metinho 
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
90'
88'
Event
Samuel Mraz
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
81'
Event
Lamine Fomba → David Douline
10th Substitution
Event
Andrej Bacanin → Xherdan Shaqiri  
9th Substitution
80'
Event
Léo Leroy → Koba Koindredi
8th Substitution
79'
74'
Event
Samuel Mraz → Florian Ayé
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Jérémy Guillemenot → Miroslav Stevanovic
6th Substitution
Event
Albian Ajeti → Giacomo Koloto
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Julien Duranville → Ibrahim Salah
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Bénie Traoré
Penalty disallowed
63'
61'
Event
Houboulang Mendes
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
56'
Event
Thomas Lopes → Malek Ishuayed
2nd Substitution
56'
Event
Houboulang Mendes → Teo Allix
3rd Substitution
Event
Metinho 
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
48'
48'
Event
Teo Allix
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Dominik Schmid
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
45'
Event
Flavius Daniliuc → Becir Omeragic
1st Substitution
31'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Basel exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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