Odense BK vs FC København Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Nature Energy Park Sun, 15 Mar - 1:00 PM
Superliga
Odense BK ODE
2 Winner 1
FC København COP
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 1:00 PM
Julius Berthel Askou - 79'
Rasmus Falk - 87'
Goal
|
Goal
Jordan Larsson - 24'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Odense BK 2–0 FC København. The result saw Odense BK take the points. Odense BK showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 60%–40%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Odense BK showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Maae
J. Maae
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 7
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.57
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. García Nilton
J. García Nilton
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 7
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.57
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Aagerup
S. Aagerup
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 7
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.57
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Markus
M. Markus
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 7
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.57
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Odense BK A. Zorniger
A. Zorniger
VS
FC København J. Neestrup Hansen
J. Neestrup Hansen
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.93
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 62 L
FC København Rank: 70 D
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 L
AGF Rank: 70 L
Fredericia Rank: 51 W
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 50 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Randers FC Rank: 60 L
Odense BK Rank: 57 D
Nordsjælland Rank: 65 L
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 L
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 62 L
AGF Rank: 70 L
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 14 - 31
31

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Odense BK
32.3%
Draw
25.75%
Away FC København
41.95%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.85
67.21
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Odense BK
FC København
Power Score
47.85
67.21
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
548
240

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Odense BK — Opponent-weighted form score
FC København — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Odense BK FC København

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Odense BK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC København

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Odense BK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC København
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.50
30.63
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.63
20.50
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Odense BK -1.01 Efficiency Index
vs
FC København +1.01 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Odense BK
FC København
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Odense BK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC København
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Odense BK FC København
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Odense BK FC København
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Odense BK
FC København
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Odense BK ODE Home
10 matches
FC København COP Away
Match Record
2
Wins
5
3
Draws
3
5
Losses
2
Goals
10
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
10
-12
Goal Difference
+12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:58:15+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
V. Røsholt Myhra
Norway
16 V. Røsholt Myhra
L. Owusu
Netherlands
20 L. Owusu
N. Bürgy
Switzerland
5 N. Bürgy
J. Berthel Askou Harvey
Denmark
13 J. Berthel Askou Harvey
M. McCoy
Denmark
15 M. McCoy
J. Arp
Substitution
Germany
7 J. Arp
R. Falk Jensen
Denmark
8 (C) R. Falk Jensen
I. Ouédraogo
Substitution
Burkina Faso
22 I. Ouédraogo
M. Ejdum
Substitution
Denmark
18 M. Ejdum
N. Ganaus
Substitution
Germany
17 N. Ganaus
J. Niemiec
Substitution
Germany
11 J. Niemiec
R. Rúnarsson
Iceland
31 R. Rúnarsson
J. Suzuki
Japan
20 J. Suzuki
M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
Denmark
25 M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
G. Pereira Magalhães dos Santos
Brazil
5 G. Pereira Magalhães dos Santos
M. López Lanfranco
Peru
15 M. López Lanfranco
M. Elyounoussi
Norway
10 M. Elyounoussi
T. Delaney
Substitution
Denmark
27 (C) T. Delaney
K. Myrie Reyes
Substitution
Costa Rica
18 K. Myrie Reyes
R. Rodrigues Silva
Substitution
Brazil
16 R. Rodrigues Silva
Y. Moukoko
Substitution
Germany
9 Y. Moukoko
J. Larsson
Substitution
Sweden
11 J. Larsson

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Stadium
Nature Energy Park
Capacity
15790
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jens Maae
Jonathan García Nilton
Sebastian Friis Aagerup
Martin Markus

Statistics

Possession
ODE
56%
COP
44%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
5 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 5
66 Dangerous attacks 45
60 Possession 40
9 Corners 4
10 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

4 Goal Kicks 11
18 Throwins 24
15 Dribble Attempts 15
4 Successful Dribbles 3
27 Successful Dribbles Percentage 20
10 Goal Attempts 6
84 Ball Safe 95
5 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 3
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

1 Counter Attacks 4
115 Attacks 103
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

562 Passes 376
85 Successful Passes Percentage 76
478 Successful Passes 285
6 Key Passes 6
36 Long Passes 75
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48
13 Successful Long Passes 36

Defensive

12 Interceptions 14
22 Tackles 20
2 Saves 4

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 9
2 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

10 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Jens Maae

Starting XI ▼

16
Viljar Myhra
Viljar Myhra Goalkeeper
6.59
5
Nicolas Bürgy
Nicolas Bürgy Defender
6.9
13
Julius Berthel Askou
Julius Berthel Askou Defender
7.65
15
Marcus McCoy
Marcus McCoy Defender
7.85
20
Leeroy Owusu
Leeroy Owusu Defender
6.83
7
Fiete Arp
Fiete Arp Midfielder
6.56
10
Anssi Suhonen
Anssi Suhonen
Midfielder46'
7.29
8
Rasmus Falk
Rasmus Falk (C) Midfielder
7.37
18
Max Ejdum
Max Ejdum Midfielder
6.94
4
Bjørn Paulsen
Bjørn Paulsen
Defender89'
22
Ismahila Ouédraogo
Ismahila Ouédraogo Midfielder
7.69
24
Yaya Bojang
Yaya Bojang
Defender90+2'
11
Jona Niemiec
Jona Niemiec Attacker
6.28
31
Jay-Roy Grot
Jay-Roy Grot
Attacker46'
6.38
17
Noah Ganaus
Noah Ganaus Attacker
6.2
3
Adam Sørensen
Adam Sørensen
Defender90+4'
Referee : Jens Maae

Starting XI ▼

31
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson Goalkeeper
7.05
5
Gabriel Pereira
Gabriel Pereira Defender
7.24
20
Junnosuke Suzuki
Junnosuke Suzuki Defender
6.65
25
Zanka
Zanka Defender
6.67
10
Mohamed Elyounoussi
Mohamed Elyounoussi Midfielder
6.71
15
Marcos López
Marcos López Midfielder
6.36
18
Kenan Myrie
Kenan Myrie Midfielder
6.4
44
Geovanni Vianney
Geovanni Vianney
Attacker80'
6.5
27
Thomas Delaney
Thomas Delaney (C) Midfielder
6.73
36
William Clem
William Clem
Midfielder37'
6.88
9
Youssoufa Moukoko
Youssoufa Moukoko Attacker
6.44
14
Andreas Cornelius
Andreas Cornelius
Attacker62'
6.53
11
Jordan Larsson
Jordan Larsson Attacker
7.5
23
Amir Richardson
Amir Richardson
Midfielder62'
6.04
16
Robert
Robert Attacker
6.13
6
Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Defender80'
6.16

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Adam Sørensen → Noah Ganaus
10th Substitution
90+4'
Event
Yaya Bojang → Ismahila Ouédraogo
9th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Bjørn Paulsen → Max Ejdum
8th Substitution
89'
Event
Rasmus Falk
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
87'
80'
Event
Pantelis Hatzidiakos → Robert
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Geovanni Vianney → Kenan Myrie
7th Substitution
Event
Julius Berthel Askou
Header / 2nd Goal
79'
Event
Rasmus Falk
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
72'
62'
Event
Andreas Cornelius → Youssoufa Moukoko
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Amir Richardson → Jordan Larsson
5th Substitution
Event
Anssi Suhonen → Fiete Arp
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Jay-Roy Grot → Jona Niemiec
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
William Clem → Thomas Delaney
1st Substitution
24'
Event
Jordan Larsson
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Odense BK exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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