Zulte-Waregem vs Standard Liège Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Elindus Arena Sun, 8 Mar - 5:30 PM
Pro League
Zulte-Waregem ZUL
0 Winner 1
Standard Liège STL
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 5:30 PM
|
Goal
Henry Lawrence - 87'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Zulte-Waregem 0–1 Standard Liège. The result saw Standard Liège take the points. Standard Liège showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 49%–51%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Standard Liège showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Divincenzo
V. Divincenzo
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
L. Conotte
L. Conotte
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
A. Letellier
A. Letellier
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
N. Laforge
N. Laforge
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Zulte-Waregem S. Vandenbroeck
S. Vandenbroeck
VS
Standard Liège V. Euvrard
V. Euvrard
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mechelen Rank: L
Anderlecht Rank: L
Sint-Truiden Rank: L
Dender Rank: W
Westerlo Rank: L
Club Brugge Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
La Louvière Rank: D
Genk Rank: W
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: D
Club Brugge Rank: L
Anderlecht Rank: W
Gent Rank: L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 10 - 15
15

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zulte-Waregem
49.33%
Draw
26.76%
Away Standard Liège
23.91%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
34.44
45.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zulte-Waregem
Standard Liège
Power Score
34.44
45.24
League Position
12
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Zulte-Waregem — Opponent-weighted form score
Standard Liège — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zulte-Waregem Standard Liège

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Zulte-Waregem

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Standard Liège

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Zulte-Waregem ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Standard Liège
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.78
21.18
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.18
43.78
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Zulte-Waregem +2.00 Efficiency Index
vs
Standard Liège -2.00 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Zulte-Waregem
Standard Liège
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Zulte-Waregem ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Standard Liège
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Zulte-Waregem Standard Liège
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Zulte-Waregem Standard Liège
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Zulte-Waregem
Standard Liège
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zulte-Waregem ZUL Home
7 matches
Standard Liège STL Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
2
Goals
9
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
9
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:20:42+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stadium
Elindus Arena
Capacity
12414
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Vito Divincenzo
Laurent Conotte
Anthony Letellier
Nicolas Laforge

Statistics

Possession
ZUL
51%
STL
49%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
10 Shots 2
49 Dangerous attacks 36
49 Possession 51
3 Corners 2
9 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

26 Throwins 16
12 Successful Headers 20
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 30
12 Dribble Attempts 10
8 Goal Kicks 10
4 Successful Dribbles 3
0 Hit Woodwork 1
13 Goal Attempts 6
4 Substitutions 4
68 Ball Safe 88

Attacking

118 Attacks 85
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

81 Successful Passes Percentage 83
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46
494 Passes 515
33 Successful Long Passes 23
400 Successful Passes 428
67 Long Passes 50
14 Key Passes 5

Defensive

14 Tackles 11
16 Interceptions 9
3 Saves 5

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 8
3 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

10 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 2

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jelle Vossen
Penalty disallowed
90+4'
Event
Malick Mbaye → Lukas Willen
7th Substitution
89'
Event
Jelle Vossen → Dirk Asare
8th Substitution
89'
87'
Event
Henry Lawrence
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
86'
Event
Bernard Nguene → Rafiki Saïd
6th Substitution
Event
Stavros Gavriel → Jeppe Erenbjerg
5th Substitution
79'
78'
Event
Casper Nielsen → Marco Ilaimaharitra
4th Substitution
75'
Event
Adnane Abid
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Marley Ake → Joseph Okopu
3rd Substitution
68'
62'
Event
Timothé Nkada → Dennis Eckert Ayensa
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Adnane Abid → Tobias Mohr
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
Goal disallowed
35'
Event
David Bates
Persistent fouling / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Standard Liège exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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