Gent vs Zulte-Waregem Match Preview, Stats & Prediction

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium

Planet Group Arena Fri, 13 Mar - 7:45 PM

Pro League

Gent GNT

Zulte-Waregem ZUL

Full Time Fri, 13 Mar 7:45 PM

Wilfried Kanga - 68' (P)

Max Dean - 38'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished, with Gent securing a 2-0 home victory over Zulte-Waregem. Gent established their advantage early, carrying a 1-0 lead into half-time before adding a second goal to seal the result. Entering the fixture, Gent was the narrow pre-match favorite with a 40.8% implied probability of winning, compared to a 26.6% chance for a draw and Zulte-Waregem's 32.7%. The final outcome aligned perfectly with these market expectations. However, Gent's dominant final margin created a significant statistical deviation in their favor. Play on the pitch was highly competitive, which was reflected by a nearly perfectly even possession split. Gent slightly edged the ball control with 51% possession, leaving Zulte-Waregem with 49%. While expected goals (xG) data was not available to measure underlying chance creation for either side, the overall efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match dynamics. Gent simply made the most of their time on the ball to secure a comfortable multi-goal cushion. The match concluded without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither side received a red card. With no sending-offs to alter the tactical landscape, Gent successfully managed their lead to see out the expected win.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Gent showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

S. Bourdeaud'hui

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

B. Bijnens

1st Assistant

J. Van Dyck

2nd Assistant

W. De Cremer

4th Official

R. Demil

S. Vandenbroeck

1.48

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.14

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

19 - 10 - 14

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Gent

40.77%

Draw

26.55%

Zulte-Waregem

32.68%

Team Power Ranking

71.36

54.05

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Gent

Zulte-Waregem

Power Score

71.36

54.05

League Position

Global Rank

161

383

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Gent — Opponent-weighted form score

Zulte-Waregem — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gent Zulte-Waregem

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Gent

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Zulte-Waregem

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Gent ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Zulte-Waregem

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

26.08

14.90

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

14.90

26.08

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Gent +1.06 Efficiency Index

Zulte-Waregem -1.06 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Gent

Zulte-Waregem

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Gent ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Zulte-Waregem

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Gent Zulte-Waregem

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Gent Zulte-Waregem

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Gent

Zulte-Waregem

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gent GNT Home

7 matches

Zulte-Waregem ZUL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-7

Data last updated: 2026-03-14T02:15:41+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2

33 (C) D. Roef

4 D. Hashioka

57 M. Volckaert

44 S. Van der Heyden

29 J. Duverne

27 T. De Vlieger

22 L. da Silva Lopes

8 M. Skóraś

24 H. Hong

21 M. Dean

7 A. Kanga

13 B. Gabriel

31 L. Willen

5 J. Kiilerich

45 B. De Jaegere

55 Y. Cappelle

8 T. Claes

40 D. Asare

12 W. Paugain

10 (C) J. Erenbjerg

22 J. Amankwaah Opoku

18 A. Ementa

General Information

Date & Time :

Mar 13, 2026, 07:45 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium

Stadium :

Planet Group Arena

Capacity :

20185

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Bryan Bijnens

Jonas Van Dyck

Wesli De Cremer

Statistics

Possession

GNT

52%

ZUL

48%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0

3 Big Chances Created 1

11 Shots 5

46 Dangerous attacks 46

51 Possession 49

2 Corners 6

12 Free kicks 12

2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

8 Dribble Attempts 16

50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56

19 Successful Headers 19

5 Goal Kicks 6

22 Throwins 22

4 Successful Dribbles 9

4 Substitutions 4

1 Penalties 1

41 Ball Safe 53

0 Injuries 1

8 Goal Attempts 3

Attacking

121 Attacks 93

2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

430 Passes 407

23 Successful Long Passes 20

82 Successful Passes Percentage 76

354 Successful Passes 310

49 Long Passes 51

47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39

7 Key Passes 3

Defensive

18 Interceptions 13

13 Tackles 8

1 Saves 3

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 15

3 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

13 Fouls 13

2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Manager ▼

R. Demil Coach

Starting XI ▼

Davy Roef (C) Goalkeeper

7.36

Daiki Hashioka Defender

6.49

Siebe Van der Heyden Defender

7.12

Matties Volckaert Defender

7.19

Michal Skoras Midfielder

7.56

Leonardo Lopes Midfielder

6.88

Tibe De Vlieger Midfielder

7.22

Jean-Kévin Duverne Midfielder

6.67

Gilles De Meyer

Defender83'

6.57

Wilfried Kanga Attacker

7.53

Ibrahima Cissé

Attacker83'

6.43

Max Dean Attacker

7.97

Hyllarion Goore

Attacker83'

6.49

Hyun-seok Hong Attacker

6.97

Abdelkahar Kadri

Midfielder61'

6.47

Substitutes ▼

Abdelkahar Kadri

Midfielder61'

6.47

Ibrahima Cissé

Attacker83'

6.43

Hyllarion Goore

Attacker83'

6.49

Gilles De Meyer

Defender83'

6.57

Bench ▼

Kjell Peersman Goalkeeper

Hatim Es-Saoubi Defender

Aimé Omgba Midfielder

Atsuki Ito Midfielder

Momodou Lamin Sonko Attacker

Referee : Simon Bourdeaud'hui