Westerlo vs Club Brugge Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Het Kuipje Sat, 14 Mar - 7:45 PM
Pro League
Westerlo KVC
1 Winner 2
Club Brugge BRU
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 7:45 PM
Seiji Kimura - 64'
Goal
|
Goal
Christos Tzolis - 6'
Nicolò Tresoldi - 35'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Westerlo 1–2 Club Brugge. The result saw Club Brugge take the points. Club Brugge showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 52%–48%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Club Brugge showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
B. Van Driessche
B. Van Driessche
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.25
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.44
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.31
Y. De Neve
Y. De Neve
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.25
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.44
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.31
Q. Blaise
Q. Blaise
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.25
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.44
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.31
M. Ledda
M. Ledda
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.25
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.44
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.31
Westerlo I. Charai
I. Charai
VS
Club Brugge I. Leko
I. Leko
1.39
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 84 D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 73 W
Antwerp Rank: 70 W
Sint-Truiden Rank: 78 L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 66 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 84 L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 66 W
La Louvière Rank: 67 L
Genk Rank: 78 W
Gent Rank: 72 W
Dender Rank: 62 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 5 - 21
21

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Westerlo
19.03%
Draw
21.73%
Away Club Brugge
59.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.15
83.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Westerlo
Club Brugge
Power Score
69.15
83.23
League Position
9
2
Global Rank
193
42

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Westerlo — Opponent-weighted form score
Club Brugge — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Westerlo Club Brugge

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Westerlo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Club Brugge

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Westerlo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Club Brugge
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.27
15.42
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.42
33.27
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Westerlo +1.57 Efficiency Index
vs
Club Brugge -1.57 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Westerlo
Club Brugge
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Westerlo
vs
Club Brugge
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Westerlo Club Brugge
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Westerlo Club Brugge
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Westerlo
Club Brugge
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Westerlo KVC Home
7 matches
Club Brugge BRU Away
Match Record
1
Wins
4
2
Draws
2
4
Losses
1
Goals
11
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
11
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:41:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Jungdal
Denmark
99 A. Jungdal
B. Reynolds
United States
22 B. Reynolds
E. Bayram
Turkey
40 E. Bayram
R. Neustädter
Substitution
Russia
33 R. Neustädter
S. Kimura
Japan
5 S. Kimura
D. Haspolat
Netherlands
34 (C) D. Haspolat
A. Piedfort
Belgium
46 A. Piedfort
S. Saito
Substitution
38 S. Saito
I. Sakamoto
Japan
13 I. Sakamoto
J. Alcócer
Costa Rica
77 J. Alcócer
I. Ferri Julià
Substitution
Spain
90 I. Ferri Julià
S. Mignolet
Belgium
22 S. Mignolet
J. Seys
Substitution
Belgium
65 J. Seys
J. Spileers
Belgium
58 J. Spileers
J. Ordóñez Guerrero
Ecuador
4 J. Ordóñez Guerrero
K. Sabbe
Belgium
64 K. Sabbe
R. Nwadike
Nigeria
15 R. Nwadike
A. Stankovic
Serbia
25 A. Stankovic
C. Tzolis
Greece
8 C. Tzolis
H. Vanaken
Substitution
Belgium
20 (C) H. Vanaken
C. Borges
Substitution
Portugal
9 C. Borges
N. Tresoldi
Substitution
Germany
7 N. Tresoldi

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 07:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stadium
Het Kuipje
Capacity
8182
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bram Van Driessche
Yves De Neve
Q. Blaise
Massimiliano Ledda

Statistics

Possession
KVC
51%
BRU
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 0
66 Dangerous attacks 28
52 Possession 48
11 Corners 2
18 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

3 Substitutions 4
73 Ball Safe 79
0 Injuries 1
8 Goal Attempts 8
13 Dribble Attempts 8
62 Successful Dribbles Percentage 63
4 Successful Headers 11
15 Throwins 14
8 Successful Dribbles 5
1 Assists 2
3 Goal Kicks 11

Attacking

87 Attacks 68

Possession

15 Successful Long Passes 31
10 Key Passes 4
81 Successful Passes Percentage 83
369 Successful Passes 356
456 Passes 430
47 Long Passes 59
32 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53

Defensive

10 Tackles 11
7 Interceptions 6
1 Saves 3

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 2
25 Total Crosses 10

Discipline

10 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Bram Van Driessche

Starting XI ▼

99
Andreas Jungdal
Andreas Jungdal Goalkeeper
6.05
5
Seiji Kimura
Seiji Kimura Defender
6.89
22
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds Defender
6.35
33
Roman Neustädter
Roman Neustädter Defender
6.28
11
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni
Attacker85'
6.74
40
Emin Bayram
Emin Bayram Defender
6.48
13
Isa Sakamoto
Isa Sakamoto Midfielder
7.21
34
Doğucan Haspolat
Doğucan Haspolat (C) Midfielder
8.08
38
Shunsuke Saito
Shunsuke Saito Midfielder
6.5
39
Thomas Van den Keybus
Thomas Van den Keybus
Midfielder77'
6.58
46
Arthur Piedfort
Arthur Piedfort Midfielder
7.01
77
Josimar Alcócer
Josimar Alcócer Midfielder
6.65
90
Nacho Ferri
Nacho Ferri Attacker
6.51
10
Afonso Patrão
Afonso Patrão
Attacker85'
6.5
Referee : Bram Van Driessche

Starting XI ▼

22
Simon Mignolet
Simon Mignolet Goalkeeper
6.95
4
Joel Ordóñez
Joel Ordóñez Defender
6.99
58
Jorne Spileers
Jorne Spileers Defender
6.72
64
Kyriani Sabbe
Kyriani Sabbe Defender
7.16
65
Joaquin Seys
Joaquin Seys Defender
6.68
14
Bjorn Meijer
Bjorn Meijer
Defender72'
6.6
8
Christos Tzolis
Christos Tzolis Midfielder
7.49
9
Carlos Forbs
Carlos Forbs Midfielder
6.78
17
Romeo Vermant
Romeo Vermant
Attacker73'
6.77
15
Raphael Onyedika
Raphael Onyedika Midfielder
6.65
20
Hans Vanaken
Hans Vanaken (C) Midfielder
6.77
10
Hugo Vetlesen
Hugo Vetlesen
Midfielder46'
6.38
25
Aleksandar Stanković
Aleksandar Stanković Midfielder
6.54
7
Nicolò Tresoldi
Nicolò Tresoldi Attacker
7.35
19
Gustaf Nilsson
Gustaf Nilsson
Attacker82'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Gustaf Nilsson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Afonso Patrão → Nacho Ferri
7th Substitution
85'
Event
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni → Roman Neustädter
6th Substitution
85'
83'
Event
Jorne Spileers
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
82'
Event
Gustaf Nilsson → Nicolò Tresoldi
5th Substitution
Event
Thomas Van den Keybus → Shunsuke Saito
4th Substitution
77'
73'
Event
Romeo Vermant → Carlos Forbs
3rd Substitution
72'
Event
Bjorn Meijer → Joaquin Seys
2nd Substitution
Event
Seiji Kimura
Header / 3rd Goal
64'
Event
Arthur Piedfort
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
57'
46'
Event
Hugo Vetlesen → Hans Vanaken
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
35'
Event
Nicolò Tresoldi
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
6'
Event
Christos Tzolis
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Club Brugge exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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