Oxford United vs Charlton Athletic Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Championship, England
Championship
Charlton Athletic
CHA
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
The match between Oxford United and Charlton Athletic has officially finished in a 1-1 draw. After a tightly contested first half that ended scoreless, both sides managed to find the back of the net in the second period to ultimately share the points. The match was played with a full complement of players, as no red cards were issued to impact the overall flow of the game. This full-time result represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations. Oxford United entered the contest as the stronger team and clear favorites, carrying a 42.8% implied probability to win compared to Charlton's 27.9% and a 29.2% chance of a draw. Consequently, the final stalemate did not align with the pre-match betting market, frustrating the home supporters. Despite being the underdogs, Charlton Athletic controlled the tempo on the pitch, dominating the ball with 62% possession while Oxford managed just 38%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to firmly state if the scoreline aligned with the underlying quality of chances created. However, the overall efficiency shift remained strictly in line with expectations, reflecting a balanced output from both sides over the ninety minutes.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Oxford United showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Oxford United
Charlton Athletic
Team Power Ranking
i
64.14
61.7
Oxford United
Charlton Athletic
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Oxford United
Charlton Athletic
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Oxford United
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Oxford United
Oxford United
Charlton Athletic
Oxford United
Charlton Athletic
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-03-16T00:44:22+00:00
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General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary