Norwich City vs Sheffield United Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Carrow Road Wed, 11 Mar - 7:45 PM
Championship
Norwich City NOR
2 Winner 1
Sheffield United SHU
Full Time Wed, 11 Mar 7:45 PM
Jack Stacey - 68'
Amankwah Forson - 84'
Goal
|
Goal
Jaïro Riedewald - 21'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished with Norwich City securing a 2-1 victory over Sheffield United. The home side had to dig deep, successfully overturning a 1-0 halftime deficit to claim the win. Norwich dictated the flow of the game, controlling 58% of the possession compared to Sheffield United's 42%. Going into the fixture, Sheffield United was rated as the stronger team. However, the pre-match market actually favored the hosts, assigning Norwich a 38.2% win probability against the visitors' 34.3%, with a draw set at 27.5%. The final result was market-aligned, validating the pre-game betting confidence in the home side. Nevertheless, the result still represented a significant deviation level (61.8%) in favor of Norwich City relative to standard baseline expectations. Expected goals (xG) data was not available for this contest to evaluate underlying chance quality or xG alignment. The match concluded without any red cards, meaning disciplinary events did not disrupt the 11-on-11 tactical balance. Furthermore, the overall efficiency shift was entirely in line with the match dynamics. Norwich proved highly effective during their second-half performance, utilizing their possession dominance to complete a well-earned comeback victory.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Norwich City showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
C. Brown
C. Brown
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.08
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
J. Smith
J. Smith
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.08
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
H. Gilroy
H. Gilroy
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.08
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
B. Toner
B. Toner
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.08
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Norwich City P. Clement
P. Clement
VS
Sheffield United C. Wilder
C. Wilder
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.46
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
West Bromwich Albion Rank: 64 W
Wrexham Rank: 73 W
Stoke City Rank: 68 L
Queens Park Rangers Rank: 67 W
Watford Rank: 67 L
Charlton Athletic Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ipswich Town Rank: 76 W
Southampton Rank: 72 L
Charlton Athletic Rank: 68 L
Leicester City Rank: 67 W
Stoke City Rank: 68 W
Wrexham Rank: 73 L
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 4 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Norwich City
38.2%
Draw
27.51%
Away Sheffield United
34.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.14
70.36
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Norwich City
Sheffield United
Power Score
70.14
70.36
League Position
15
13
Global Rank
175
170

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Norwich City — Opponent-weighted form score
Sheffield United — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Norwich City Sheffield United

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Norwich City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sheffield United

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Norwich City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sheffield United
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.02
18.21
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.21
38.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Norwich City +1.87 Efficiency Index
vs
Sheffield United -1.87 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Norwich City
Sheffield United
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Norwich City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sheffield United
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Norwich City Sheffield United
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Norwich City Sheffield United
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Norwich City
Sheffield United
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Norwich City NOR Home
5 matches
Sheffield United SHU Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
0
Goals
4
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
4
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-12T00:03:07+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 11, 2026, 07:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England
Stadium
Carrow Road
Capacity
27244
Attendance
25503
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Connor Brown
Joshua Smith
Hugh Gilroy
Ben Toner

Statistics

Possession
NOR
56%
SHU
44%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 3
61 Dangerous attacks 33
58 Possession 42
11 Corners 4
10 Free kicks 7
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

21 Dribble Attempts 18
6 Goal Kicks 9
17 Successful Headers 21
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 28
22 Throwins 19
6 Successful Dribbles 5
2 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 5
110 Ball Safe 94
13 Goal Attempts 6

Attacking

87 Attacks 98
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

366 Successful Passes 249
80 Successful Passes Percentage 75
456 Passes 333
18 Successful Long Passes 18
53 Long Passes 51
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35
12 Key Passes 6

Defensive

27 Tackles 27
9 Interceptions 10
1 Saves 5
60 Duels Won 61

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 7
7 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

7 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 3

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Ki-Jana Hoever
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Ki-Jana Hoever → Femi Seriki
8th Substitution
88'
Event
Danny Ings → Callum O'Hare
9th Substitution
88'
Event
Chiedozie Ogbene → Andre Brooks
10th Substitution
Event
Amankwah Forson
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
84'
Event
Amankwah Forson → Ali Ahmed
7th Substitution
81'
77'
Event
Sydie Peck
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
P. Mattsson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
72'
Event
Jack Stacey
Header / 2nd Goal
68'
65'
Event
Tahith Chong → Tyrese Campbell
6th Substitution
64'
Event
Joe Rothwell → Jaïro Riedewald
5th Substitution
Event
Errol Mundle-Smith → Mathias Kvistgaarden
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Jacob Wright → Anis Slimane
4th Substitution
61'
Event
P. Mattsson → Sam Field
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Paris Maghoma → Tony Springett
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Kenny McLean
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
44'
21'
Event
Jaïro Riedewald
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Sheffield United awarded a free kick after a foul by Japhet Tanganga.
90
Update Update
Ki-Jana Hoever from Sheffield United committed a foul.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ki-Jana Hoever of Sheffield United has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Norwich City 2, Sheffield United 1.
90
Update Update
Paris Maghoma of Norwich City has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 4 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Errol Mundle-Smith from Norwich City has been awarded a free kick on the left flank.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Ki-Jana Hoever comes on to replace Femi Seriki.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Chiedozie Ogbene comes on to replace Andre Brooks.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Danny Ings replaces Callum O'Hare.
88
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Callum O'Hare of Sheffield United headed the ball from the center of the box but failed to find the target. The assist came from Joe Rothwell, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
87
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Sheffield United after Jack Stacey allowed the ball to go out.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Norwich City takes the lead with a score of 2-1 against Sheffield United. Amankwah Forson scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, finding the top left corner of the net. The assist comes from Paris Maghoma after a quick counterattack.
83
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Andre Brooks from Sheffield United took a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Harrison Burrows.
82
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push from Norwich City. Paris Maghoma takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Adam Davies from Sheffield United makes a save, catching it in the top center of the goal. The assist came from Kellen Fisher.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Norwich City: Amankwah Forson replaces Ali Ahmed.
81
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Jacob Wright from Norwich City takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area. However, Adam Davies of Sheffield United makes a fantastic save, denying the attempt aimed at the top center of the goal. The assist comes from Ali Ahmed.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sheffield United after Kellen Fisher allowed the ball to go out.
80
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Thomas Cannon from Sheffield United attempted a header from just a few meters out, but it went just wide to the left. The assist came from Harrison Burrows, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sydie Peck from Sheffield United has been shown a yellow card.
76
Update Update
Offside call against Norwich City. Errol Mundle-Smith has been flagged for being in an offside position.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sheffield United after Harry Darling allowed the ball to go out.
75
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Ali Ahmed from Norwich City attempted a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it went over the bar and to the right.
73
Update Update
Jacob Wright from Norwich City has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
73
Update Update
Foul committed by Japhet Tanganga against Sheffield United.
73
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Harry Darling from Norwich City fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets intercepted.
72
Update Update
Pelle Mattsson from Norwich City committed a foul.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pelle Mattsson of Norwich City has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
72
Update Update
Callum O'Hare from Sheffield United earned a free kick in the defensive area.
71
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Sydie Peck from Sheffield United attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the left of the goal. The assist came from Andre Brooks.
70
Update Update
Femi Seriki from Sheffield United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
70
Update Update
Errol Mundle-Smith from Norwich City committed a foul.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Norwich City after Tyler Bindon allowed the ball to go out.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now 1-1 between Norwich City and Sheffield United. Jack Stacey scores for Norwich City, heading the ball in from close range right at the center of the goal. The assist came from Jacob Wright, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
67
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive push from Norwich City as Kellen Fisher takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but Adam Davies of Sheffield United makes a save, diving to his left. The assist came from Jacob Wright.
66
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Thomas Cannon from Sheffield United takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the box. However, Norwich City's goalkeeper, Vladan Kovacevic, makes a crucial save right in the center of the goal. The assist came from Andre Brooks.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Tahith Chong replaces Tyrese Campbell.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Joe Rothwell comes on to replace Jairo Riedewald.
62
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Kenny McLean from Norwich City takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Norwich City: Jacob Wright comes on to replace Anis Ben Slimane.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Norwich City: Errol Mundle-Smith comes on to replace Mathias Kvistgaarden.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Norwich City: Pelle Mattsson replaces Sam Field.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Norwich City: Pelle Mattsson comes on to replace Sam Field.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Norwich City after Japhet Tanganga allowed the ball to go out.
58
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Mathias Kvistgaarden from Norwich City had a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area that was blocked. The assist came from Anis Ben Slimane.
56
Update Update
Thomas Cannon from Sheffield United committed a foul.
56
Update Update
Thomas Cannon from Sheffield United committed a foul.
56
Update Update
José Córdoba of Norwich City was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
56
Update Update
Kellen Fisher from Norwich City has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
54
Update Update
Offside call against Norwich City. Mathias Kvistgaarden has been flagged for being offside.
54
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Anis Ben Slimane from Norwich City takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area. The effort is expertly stopped in the left corner by Adam Davies of Sheffield United, with the assist coming from Kenny McLean.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Norwich City after Japhet Tanganga allowed the ball to go out.
48
Update Update
Femi Seriki from Sheffield United committed a foul.
48
Update Update
Anis Ben Slimane from Norwich City earned a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Sheffield United leading Norwich City by a score of 1-0.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with Norwich City trailing Sheffield United 0-1.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Norwich City: Paris Maghoma is coming on to replace Tony Springett.
44
Update Update
José Córdoba from Norwich City committed a foul.
44
Update Update
Tyrese Campbell from Sheffield United earned a free kick in an offensive position.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kenny McLean of Norwich City has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
43
Update Update
The attempt on goal was denied. Mathias Kvistgaarden from Norwich City tried a header from close range, but it was blocked. The cross that set him up came from Tony Springett.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Norwich City after Japhet Tanganga allowed the ball to go out.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Norwich City after Harrison Burrows allowed the ball to go out.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Norwich City after Japhet Tanganga allowed the ball to go out.
41
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered! Sam Field of Norwich City heads the ball from close range, but it sails over the bar. The assist came from Tony Springett, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
39
Update Update
Offside call against Sheffield United. Harrison Burrows has been caught offside.
37
Corner Corner
Another offensive effort underway. Sam Field from Norwich City takes a left-footed shot from within the six-yard box, aiming for the left corner, but the attempt is saved.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Norwich City after Adam Davies allowed the ball to go out.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Norwich City after Femi Seriki allowed the ball to go out.
36
Update Update
Mathias Kvistgaarden from Norwich City earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
36
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Harry Darling of Norwich City attempted a header from the center of the box but failed to convert. The chance was set up by Kenny McLean, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
36
Update Update
Sheffield United has been awarded a free kick after Japhet Tanganga committed a foul.
34
Update Update
Offside call against Sheffield United. Jairo Riedewald is caught in an offside position.
33
Update Update
Ali Ahmed from Norwich City has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
33
Update Update
Femi Seriki from Sheffield United earned a free kick on the right side of the pitch.
31
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Harry Darling from Norwich City takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Norwich City after Tyler Bindon allowed the ball to go out.
30
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Norwich City after Harrison Burrows allowed the ball to go out of play.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Norwich City after Femi Seriki allowed the ball to go out of play.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Sheffield United has been awarded a corner kick after Kellen Fisher allowed the ball to go out of play.
15
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered! Andre Brooks of Sheffield United took a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box but failed to find the target. The assist came from Thomas Cannon.
13
Update Update
Harry Darling from Norwich City earned a free kick in the defensive area.
13
Update Update
Tyrese Campbell commits a foul against Sheffield United.
12
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Anis Ben Slimane of Norwich City attempted a header from the middle of the penalty area but sent it over the bar. The cross was delivered by Jack Stacey.
11
Update Update
Ali Ahmed from Norwich City has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
11
Update Update
Femi Seriki from Sheffield United committed a foul.
10
Update Update
Kellen Fisher from Norwich City committed a foul.
10
Update Update
Offside call against Sheffield United. Tyrese Campbell has been flagged for being offside.
10
Update Update
Andre Brooks from Sheffield United earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
6
Update Update
Kenny McLean from Norwich City committed a foul.
6
Update Update
Harrison Burrows from Sheffield United was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
5
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Jack Stacey from Norwich City takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails over the goal.
4
Update Update
Tony Springett from Norwich City committed a foul.
4
Update Update
Harrison Burrows from Sheffield United has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
2
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Anis Ben Slimane from Norwich City attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went just wide to the left.
2
Update Update
Harrison Burrows from Sheffield United committed a foul.
2
Update Update
Mathias Kvistgaarden from Norwich City has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Norwich City exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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