Juventus vs Pisa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Juventus Stadium Sat, 7 Mar - 7:45 PM
Serie A
Juventus JUV
4 Winner 0
Pisa PIS
Full Time Sat, 7 Mar 7:45 PM
Andrea Cambiaso - 54'
Khéphren Thuram - 65'
Kenan Yıldız - 75'
Jérémie Boga - 90+3'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Juventus 4–0 Pisa. The result saw Juventus take the points. Juventus showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 60%–40%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Juventus showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Di Gioia
V. Di Gioia
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.14
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
P. Laudato
P. Laudato
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.14
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
N. Turrini
N. Turrini
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.14
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Sacchi
J. Sacchi
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.14
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Juventus L. Spalletti
L. Spalletti
VS
Pisa O. Hiljemark
O. Hiljemark
1.83
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.58
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cremonese Rank: W
Sassuolo Rank: W
Lecce Rank: D
Pisa Rank: W
Roma Rank: W
Bologna Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fiorentina Rank: L
AC Milan Rank: L
Hellas Verona Rank: D
Sassuolo Rank: L
Inter Rank: L
Atalanta Rank: D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Juventus
79.27%
Draw
14.08%
Away Pisa
6.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.52
22.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Juventus
Pisa
Power Score
59.52
22.38
League Position
6
19
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Juventus — Opponent-weighted form score
Pisa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Juventus Pisa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Juventus

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Pisa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Juventus ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Pisa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
47.42
23.75
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.75
47.42
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Juventus +2.51 Efficiency Index
vs
Pisa -2.51 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Juventus
Pisa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Juventus ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Pisa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Juventus Pisa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Juventus Pisa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Juventus
Pisa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Juventus JUV Home
1 matches
Pisa PIS Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
2
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:14:34+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 07, 2026, 07:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadium
Juventus Stadium
Capacity
41507
Attendance
39172
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Vittorio Di Gioia
Paolo Laudato
Niccolò Turrini
Juan Luca Sacchi

Statistics

Possession
JUV
58%
PIS
42%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 1
69 Dangerous attacks 50
60 Possession 40
4 Corners 4
7 Free kicks 7
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

0 Injuries 1
15 Goal Attempts 2
68 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
1 Hit Woodwork 1
23 Successful Dribbles 4
34 Dribble Attempts 8
21 Throwins 23
4 Goal Kicks 12
13 Successful Headers 21
56 Ball Safe 60
5 Substitutions 6
3 Assists 0

Attacking

102 Attacks 84
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
481 Successful Passes 290
36 Long Passes 53
20 Successful Long Passes 25
87 Successful Passes Percentage 79
551 Passes 366
22 Key Passes 6

Defensive

2 Saves 3
11 Interceptions 12
12 Tackles 16
54 Duels Won 47

Build-up

1 Accurate Crosses 5
11 Total Crosses 18

Discipline

7 Fouls 7

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jérémie Boga
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
90+3'
Event
Filip Kostić → Kenan Yıldız
10th Substitution
83'
Event
Teun Koopmeiners → Khéphren Thuram
8th Substitution
77'
Event
Fabio Miretti → Francisco Conceição
9th Substitution
77'
76'
Event
Filip Stojilkovic → Arturo Calabresi
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Samuel Iling-Junior → Rafiu Durosinmi
6th Substitution
Event
Kenan Yıldız
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
75'
Event
Bremer
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
72'
70'
Event
Antonio Caracciolo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Khéphren Thuram
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
65'
60'
Event
Juan Cuadrado → Mehdi Léris
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Felipe Loyola → Marius Marin
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Gabriele Piccinini → Malthe Højholt
5th Substitution
Event
Andrea Cambiaso
Header / 1st Goal
54'
48'
Event
Mehdi Léris
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Jérémie Boga → Jonathan David
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Lloyd Kelly → Federico Gatti
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Marius Marin
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Gabriele Piccinini from Pisa commits a foul.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Juventus leads 4-0 against Pisa. Jérémie Boga scores with a right-footed strike from a challenging position on the left after a quick counterattack.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with Juventus dominating the match, finishing with a score of 4-0 against Pisa.
90
Update Update
Mattia Perin from Juventus earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
Juan Cuadrado commits a foul for Pisa.
90
Update Update
Filip Kostic from Juventus earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
89
Update Update
Samuele Angori from Pisa earns a free kick in his own half.
89
Update Update
Manuel Locatelli from Juventus commits a foul.
86
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Andrea Cambiaso from Juventus took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area that nearly found the top left corner, but it went wide. The chance was set up by Lloyd Kelly after a corner kick.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Juventus, following a foul by Juan Cuadrado.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Juventus: Filip Kostic comes on to take the place of Kenan Yildiz.
82
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Kenan Yildiz from Juventus.
82
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
80
Update Update
Kenan Yildiz from Juventus has committed a handball.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Pisa: Filip Stojilkovic comes on to take the place of Arturo Calabresi.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Juventus: Fabio Miretti comes on to take the place of Francisco Conceição.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Juventus: Teun Koopmeiners comes on to take the place of Khéphren Thuram.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Pisa: Samuel Iling-Junior comes on to take the place of Rafiu Durosinmi.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Juventus leads 3-0 against Pisa. Kenan Yildiz scores with a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, placing the ball into the bottom left corner of the net. The assist came from Francisco Conceição after a quick counterattack.
73
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Jérémie Boga from Juventus took a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bremer from Juventus receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
72
Update Update
Juan Cuadrado from Pisa earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
72
Update Update
Bremer from Juventus commits a foul.
71
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Juventus after a deflection off Arturo Calabresi.
71
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt was thwarted. Francisco Conceição of Juventus tried a left-footed strike from the right side of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Khéphren Thuram.
70
Update Update
Jérémie Boga of Juventus earns a free kick on the left flank.
70
Update Update
Antonio Caracciolo from Pisa commits a foul.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Antonio Caracciolo from Pisa receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
69
Attempt Attempt
Shot off target. Jérémie Boga of Juventus tried a right-footed strike from the left side of the penalty area.
65
Update Update
Manuel Locatelli from Juventus strikes the crossbar with a right-footed attempt from the right side of the penalty area.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Juventus leads 2-0 against Pisa. Khéphren Thuram scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, placing the ball into the bottom left corner.
62
Update Update
Francesco Coppola of Pisa is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
62
Update Update
Manuel Locatelli from Juventus commits a foul.
61
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Antonio Caracciolo from Pisa tries a left-footed strike from the center of the box, but it's blocked. The chance was set up by a headed pass from Stefano Moreo.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Pisa: Juan Cuadrado comes on to take the place of Mehdi Léris.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Pisa: Gabriele Piccinini comes on to take the place of Malthe Højholt.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Pisa: Felipe Loyola comes on to take the place of Marius Marin.
58
Update Update
Weston McKennie of Juventus earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
58
Update Update
Foul committed by Malthe Højholt of Pisa.
57
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Francisco Conceição from Juventus took a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the right side, but it didn't hit the target.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Juventus takes the lead 1-0 against Pisa. Andrea Cambiaso scores with a header from just a short distance, placing the ball in the top left corner of the net. The assist comes from Kenan Yildiz.
53
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Kenan Yildiz from Juventus took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed just over the crossbar. He was set up by Weston McKennie.
53
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Francisco Conceição of Juventus takes a left-footed strike from the right side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Pierre Kalulu.
51
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Kenan Yildiz from Juventus tries a left-footed effort from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
49
Update Update
Lloyd Kelly's header from the center of the box is deflected away, preventing Juventus from scoring.
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mehdi Léris from Pisa receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
47
Update Update
Mehdi Léris from Pisa commits a foul.
47
Update Update
Jérémie Boga of Juventus earns a free kick on the left flank.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with the score tied at 0-0 between Juventus and Pisa.
45
Attempt Attempt
The shot is deflected. Francisco Conceição from Juventus tries a left-footed strike from the right side of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Juventus: Lloyd Kelly comes on to take the place of Federico Gatti.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Juventus: Jérémie Boga comes on to take the place of Jonathan David.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Juventus: Jérémie Boga comes on to take the place of Jonathan David.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marius Marin from Pisa receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
40
Update Update
Federico Gatti of Juventus commits a foul.
40
Update Update
Francesco Coppola from Pisa earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
39
Update Update
Kenan Yildiz from Juventus earns a free kick on the left side of the field.
39
Update Update
Marius Marin from Pisa commits a foul.
38
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Manuel Locatelli from Juventus tried a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the right of the goal. The chance was set up by Andrea Cambiaso after a corner kick.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Juventus after a play that resulted in a deflection off Samuele Angori.
36
Update Update
Francisco Conceição of Juventus earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
36
Update Update
Malthe Højholt from Pisa commits a foul.
36
Attempt Attempt
The shot is denied. Mehdi Léris from Pisa takes a right-footed attempt from the middle of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
35
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Pisa, following a foul by Andrea Cambiaso.
33
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
32
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Arturo Calabresi from Pisa.
31
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Jonathan David of Juventus heads the ball from the center of the box, but it's just over the bar. The assist came from Andrea Cambiaso.
31
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Manuel Locatelli from Juventus takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
28
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Pisa after a play that was deflected out by Federico Gatti.
27
Update Update
Manuel Locatelli from Juventus commits a foul.
27
Update Update
Rafiu Durosinmi from Pisa earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
25
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Stefano Moreo from Pisa attempted a header from the middle of the penalty area.
24
Attempt Attempt
The shot is blocked. Khéphren Thuram from Juventus takes a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Nícolas from Pisa makes a save right in the middle of the goal, with the assist coming from Kenan Yildiz.
22
Update Update
Manuel Locatelli from Juventus commits a foul.
22
Update Update
Malthe Højholt from Pisa is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
22
Update Update
Malthe Højholt from Pisa is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
20
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt was thwarted. Jonathan David of Juventus took a left-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Kenan Yildiz.
18
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Pisa, following a foul by Andrea Cambiaso.
17
Corner Corner
Shot on goal denied. Francisco Conceição of Juventus took a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Nícolas from Pisa made a save in the bottom left corner, with the assist coming from Manuel Locatelli.
16
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal denied. Federico Gatti of Juventus directed a header from the middle of the box, but Nícolas from Pisa made a save right in front of the goal. The attempt was set up by Bremer, who provided a headed assist.
15
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Juventus after Mehdi Léris allowed the ball to go out.
15
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Juventus after Marius Marin allowed the ball to go out.
11
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Khéphren Thuram from Juventus takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
6
Corner Corner
The attempt was thwarted. Rafiu Durosinmi of Pisa directed a header from the left side of the six-yard area, but Mattia Perin of Juventus made a fantastic save, denying the effort in the top left corner.
5
Update Update
Blocked attempt. Francesco Coppola of Pisa had a header from the left side of the six-yard box that was stopped. The cross was delivered by Samuele Angori.
4
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Pisa, following a foul by Kenan Yildiz.
4
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Pisa, following a foul by Manuel Locatelli.
4
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Samuele Angori from Pisa tries a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Juventus exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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