Venezia vs Reggiana Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Sat, 7 Mar - 4:15 PM
Serie B
Venezia
VEN
2
0
0
Reggiana
Reggiana
Full Time
Sat, 7 Mar
4:15 PM
Ridgeciano Haps - 15'
Issa Doumbia - 71'
|
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 16
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Venezia 2–0 Reggiana. The result saw Venezia take the points. Venezia showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 66%–34%.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Venezia showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: No major event distortion.
-
Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Preti
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
11.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
1.65
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.13
F. Fontani
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
11.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
1.65
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.13
A. Diop
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
11.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
1.65
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.13
D. Chiffi
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
11.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
1.65
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.13
G. Stroppa
VS
L. Rubinacci
2.13
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.04
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cesena
Rank:
W
Modena
Rank:
L
Frosinone
Rank:
W
Carrarese
Rank:
W
Mantova
Rank:
W
Catanzaro
Rank:
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Spezia
Rank:
W
Avellino
Rank:
D
Empoli
Rank:
D
Mantova
Rank:
W
Catanzaro
Rank:
L
Juve Stabia
Rank:
D
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 3
3
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Venezia
74.69%
Draw
16.3%
Reggiana
9.01%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.54
33.33
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Venezia
Reggiana
Power Score
64.54
33.33
League Position
1
17
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Venezia
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Reggiana
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Venezia Reggiana
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Venezia
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Reggiana
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Venezia
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Reggiana
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.88
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.44
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Venezia
+0.24
Efficiency Index
vs
Reggiana
-0.24
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Venezia
Reggiana
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Venezia
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Reggiana
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Venezia
Reggiana
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Venezia
Reggiana
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Venezia
Reggiana
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Venezia
VEN
Home
5
matches
Reggiana
Reggiana
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
8
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:10:40+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
No team formation data available.
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 07, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadium
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Capacity
11150
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Fabiano Preti
Federico Fontani
Abdoulaye Diop
Daniele Chiffi
Statistics
Possession
VEN
63%
Reggiana
37%
Top Statistics
2
Goals
0
4
Big Chances Created
0
8
Shots
5
60
Dangerous attacks
21
66
Possession
34
5
Corners
3
11
Free kicks
17
1
Yellow Cards
0
Match Overview
22
Throwins
23
44
Successful Dribbles Percentage
33
1
Assists
0
16
Dribble Attempts
12
3
Goal Kicks
7
7
Successful Dribbles
4
42
Ball Safe
41
4
Hit Woodwork
0
5
Substitutions
4
7
Goal Attempts
5
Attacking
132
Attacks
63
3
Big Chances Missed
0
Possession
560
Passes
288
31
Long Passes
52
13
Successful Long Passes
18
42
Successful Long Passes Percentage
35
15
Key Passes
7
489
Successful Passes
212
87
Successful Passes Percentage
74
Defensive
12
Tackles
18
6
Interceptions
12
4
Saves
8
Build-up
10
Total Crosses
11
2
Accurate Crosses
2
Discipline
1
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
10
Events
2ND-HALF
90+2'
Tommaso Fumagalli → Andrija Novakovich
9th Substitution
Nunzio Lella → Issa Doumbia
8th Substitution
86'
Seid Korac → Joël Schingtienne
7th Substitution
85'
Matteo Dagasso → Kike Pérez
6th Substitution
80'
Lion Lauberbach
Var
80'
73'
Tobías Reinhart → Massimo Bertagnoli
4th Substitution
73'
Mario Sampirisi → Mateus Lusuardi
5th Substitution
Issa Doumbia
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
71'
Lion Lauberbach → Andrea Adorante
2nd Substitution
67'
Richie Sagrado → Ridgeciano Haps
3rd Substitution
67'
61'
Mathis Lambourde → Simone Bonetti
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Ridgeciano Haps
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
39'
Ridgeciano Haps
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
15'
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Venezia exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.