Cracovia Kraków vs Wisła Płock Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach Sat, 14 Mar - 7:15 PM
Ekstraklasa
Cracovia Kraków Cracovia Kraków
1 Winner 2
Wisła Płock Wisła Płock
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 7:15 PM
Ajdin Hasic - 59'
Goal
|
Goal
Bosko Sutalo - 51' (Own Goal)
Deni Jurić - 69'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Cracovia Kraków 1–2 Wisła Płock. The result saw Wisła Płock take the points. Wisła Płock showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 74%–26%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Wisła Płock showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
T. Kwiatkowski
T. Kwiatkowski
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.64
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
M. Lisowski
M. Lisowski
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.64
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
M. Jenda
M. Jenda
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.64
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Cracovia Kraków L. Elsner
L. Elsner
VS
Wisła Płock M. Misiura
M. Misiura
1.12
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Legia Warszawa Rank: 62 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 61 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 58 D
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 67 D
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 61 D
Nieciecza Rank: 54 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arka Gdynia Rank: 54 L
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 63 L
Legia Warszawa Rank: 63 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 58 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 61 L
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 71 W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 5 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cracovia Kraków
48.06%
Draw
28.44%
Away Wisła Płock
23.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.82
49.7
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cracovia Kraków
Wisła Płock
Power Score
59.82
49.7
League Position
10
6
Global Rank
464
595

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cracovia Kraków — Opponent-weighted form score
Wisła Płock — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cracovia Kraków Wisła Płock

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cracovia Kraków

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Wisła Płock

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cracovia Kraków ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wisła Płock
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
44.59
23.08
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.08
44.59
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cracovia Kraków +1.90 Efficiency Index
vs
Wisła Płock -1.90 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cracovia Kraków
Wisła Płock
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cracovia Kraków ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wisła Płock
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cracovia Kraków Wisła Płock
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cracovia Kraków Wisła Płock
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cracovia Kraków
Wisła Płock
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cracovia Kraków Cracovia Kraków Home
7 matches
Wisła Płock Wisła Płock Away
Match Record
4
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
4
Goals
9
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
9
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:39:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
S. Madejski
Poland
13 S. Madejski
B. Šutalo
Substitution
Croatia
21 B. Šutalo
O. Wójcik
Poland
66 O. Wójcik
B. Traoré
France
61 B. Traoré
M. Perković
Substitution
Croatia
39 M. Perković
M. Klich
Poland
43 (C) M. Klich
A. Al-Ammari
Sweden
6 A. Al-Ammari
P. Sans Lopez
Substitution
Spain
11 P. Sans Lopez
M. Dominguez
Substitution
Switzerland
10 M. Dominguez
A. Hasić
Bosnia and Herzegovina
14 A. Hasić
M. Yankov Minchev
Substitution
Bulgaria
17 M. Yankov Minchev
R. Leszczynski
Poland
12 R. Leszczynski
N. Mijušković
Montenegro
25 N. Mijušković
M. Kamiński
Poland
35 M. Kamiński
M. Haglind-Sangré
Sweden
4 M. Haglind-Sangré
Q. Lecoeuche
Substitution
France
13 Q. Lecoeuche
W. Nowak
Poland
30 W. Nowak
K. Savvidis
Substitution
Greece
88 K. Savvidis
D. Kun
Poland
14 D. Kun
Ž. Rogelj
Slovenia
21 Ž. Rogelj
Ł. Sekulski
Substitution
Poland
20 (C) Ł. Sekulski
D. Jurić
Australia
99 D. Jurić

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadium
Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach
Capacity
2118
Attendance
9836
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tomasz Kwiatkowski
Marcin Lisowski
Mateusz Jenda

Statistics

Possession
Cracovia Kraków
68%
Wisła Płock
32%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 1
12 Shots 0
100 Dangerous attacks 40
74 Possession 26
11 Corners 4
8 Free kicks 6
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Injuries 3
9 Successful Dribbles 3
5 Goal Kicks 18
20 Throwins 13
21 Dribble Attempts 9
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
12 Goal Attempts 4
70 Ball Safe 75
5 Substitutions 3

Attacking

107 Attacks 61

Possession

44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
511 Passes 188
88 Successful Passes Percentage 54
32 Long Passes 64
450 Successful Passes 102
14 Successful Long Passes 26

Defensive

10 Tackles 17
6 Interceptions 2
2 Saves 7

Build-up

10 Accurate Crosses 1
56 Total Crosses 6

Discipline

7 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Starting XI ▼

13
Sebastian Madejski
Sebastian Madejski Goalkeeper
6.45
21
Bosko Sutalo
Bosko Sutalo Defender
6.33
79
Dominik Pila
Dominik Pila
Midfielder85'
6.89
39
Mauro Perkovic
Mauro Perkovic Defender
6.76
20
Karol Knap
Karol Knap
Midfielder79'
6.84
61
Brahim Traoré
Brahim Traoré Defender
6.34
66
Oskar Wojcik
Oskar Wojcik Defender
6.84
6
Amir Al-Ammari
Amir Al-Ammari Midfielder
7.7
10
Maxime Dominguez
Maxime Dominguez Midfielder
6.69
19
Mateusz Tabisz
Mateusz Tabisz
Midfielder58'
6.91
11
Pau Sans
Pau Sans Midfielder
6.82
7
Mateusz Praszelik
Mateusz Praszelik
Midfielder85'
6.61
14
Ajdin Hasic
Ajdin Hasic Midfielder
7.58
43
Mateusz Klich
Mateusz Klich (C) Midfielder
7.67
17
Martin Yankov
Martin Yankov Attacker
6.51
18
Kahveh Zahiroleslam
Kahveh Zahiroleslam
Attacker58'
6.88
Referee : Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Starting XI ▼

12
Rafal Leszczynski
Rafal Leszczynski Goalkeeper
8.41
4
Marcus Haglind-Sangré
Marcus Haglind-Sangré Defender
6.69
25
Nemanja Mijuskovic
Nemanja Mijuskovic Defender
6.98
35
Marcin Kaminski
Marcin Kaminski Defender
7.07
13
Quentin Lecoeuche
Quentin Lecoeuche Midfielder
6.88
16
Fabian Hiszpanski
Fabian Hiszpanski
Midfielder81'
6.51
14
Dominik Kun
Dominik Kun Midfielder
6.14
21
Zan Rogelj
Zan Rogelj Midfielder
6.57
30
Wiktor Nowak
Wiktor Nowak Midfielder
6.5
88
Kyriakos Savvidis
Kyriakos Savvidis Midfielder
6.9
8
Dani Pacheco
Dani Pacheco
Midfielder56'
6.54
20
Lukasz Sekulski
Lukasz Sekulski (C) Attacker
6.68
6
Krystian Pomorski
Krystian Pomorski
Midfielder90+1'
99
Deni Jurić
Deni Jurić Attacker
7.34

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Krystian Pomorski → Lukasz Sekulski
8th Substitution
90'
Event
Nemanja Mijuskovic
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Mateusz Praszelik → Pau Sans
7th Substitution
85'
Event
Dominik Pila → Bosko Sutalo
6th Substitution
85'
81'
Event
Fabian Hiszpanski → Quentin Lecoeuche
5th Substitution
Event
Karol Knap → Mauro Perkovic
4th Substitution
79'
69'
Event
Deni Jurić
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
61'
Event
Lukasz Sekulski
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ajdin Hasic
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
59'
Event
Mateusz Tabisz → Maxime Dominguez
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Kahveh Zahiroleslam → Martin Yankov
3rd Substitution
58'
56'
Event
Dani Pacheco → Kyriakos Savvidis
1st Substitution
51'
Event
Bosko Sutalo
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Kyriakos Savvidis
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Wisła Płock exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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