Arka Gdynia vs Widzew Lodz Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Sun, 15 Mar - 11:15 AM
Ekstraklasa
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
0 – 0
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 11:15 AM

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Arka Gdynia 0–0 Widzew Lodz. The match ended in a draw. Widzew Lodz showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 50%–50%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Widzew Lodz showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
P. Sokolnicki
P. Sokolnicki
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.16
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.36
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
D. Sylwestrzak
D. Sylwestrzak
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.16
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.36
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
A. Karasewicz
A. Karasewicz
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.16
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.36
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
A. Borowiak
A. Borowiak
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.16
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.36
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Arka Gdynia D. Szwarga
D. Szwarga
VS
Widzew Lodz A. Vukovic
A. Vukovic
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.06
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wisła Płock Rank: 56 W
Radomiak Radom Rank: 60 L
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 60 D
Katowice Rank: 63 W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 62 L
Legia Warszawa Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: 69 W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 62 L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 63 D
Wisła Płock Rank: 58 W
Katowice Rank: 63 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 67 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 3 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Arka Gdynia
27.84%
Draw
29.63%
Away Widzew Lodz
42.53%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
50.21
57.77
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Lodz
Power Score
50.21
57.77
League Position
15
17
Global Rank
576
525

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Arka Gdynia — Opponent-weighted form score
Widzew Lodz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Arka Gdynia Widzew Lodz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Arka Gdynia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Widzew Lodz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Arka Gdynia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Widzew Lodz
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.20
24.30
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.30
26.20
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Arka Gdynia +0.17 Efficiency Index
vs
Widzew Lodz -0.17 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Lodz
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Arka Gdynia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Widzew Lodz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Arka Gdynia Widzew Lodz
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Arka Gdynia Widzew Lodz
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Lodz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia Home
1 matches
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:49:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
D. Węglarz
Poland
77 D. Węglarz
S. Szota
Poland
3 S. Szota
M. Marcjanik
Poland
29 M. Marcjanik
D. Gojny
Poland
94 (C) D. Gojny
D. Kocyla
Poland
11 D. Kocyla
A. Sidibe
Substitution
Ivory Coast
8 A. Sidibe
K. Jakubczyk
Poland
35 K. Jakubczyk
Oskar Kubiak
7 Oskar Kubiak
P. Szysz
Poland
21 P. Szysz
V. Gutkovskis
Substitution
Latvia
19 V. Gutkovskis
S. Kerk
Germany
37 S. Kerk
B. Drągowski
Poland
1 B. Drągowski
S. Kapuadi
France
53 S. Kapuadi
P. Wisniewski
Poland
25 P. Wisniewski
M. Żyro
Poland
4 (C) M. Żyro
C. Cheng
Substitution
Norway
17 C. Cheng
J. Shehu
Albania
6 J. Shehu
L. Lerager
Denmark
21 L. Lerager
M. Krajewski
Poland
91 M. Krajewski
F. Alvarez Rodríguez
Substitution
Spain
10 F. Alvarez Rodríguez
E. Kornvig
Denmark
8 E. Kornvig
S. Bergier
Poland
99 S. Bergier

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 11:15 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadium
Stadion Miejski
Capacity
15300
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Pawel Sokolnicki
Damian Sylwestrzak
Adam Karasewicz
Aleksander Borowiak

Statistics

Possession
Arka Gdynia
51%
Widzew Lodz
49%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 4
62 Dangerous attacks 43
50 Possession 50
8 Corners 3
21 Free kicks 20
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

2 Substitutions 2
18 Dribble Attempts 3
6 Successful Dribbles 1
29 Throwins 23
3 Goal Kicks 7
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
79 Ball Safe 90
2 Injuries 3
7 Goal Attempts 5

Attacking

98 Attacks 101
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

76 Successful Passes Percentage 70
238 Successful Passes 233
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35
23 Successful Long Passes 23
314 Passes 331
57 Long Passes 66
5 Key Passes 6

Defensive

10 Tackles 16
10 Interceptions 8
1 Saves 1

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 11
3 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
18 Fouls 20

Lineup

Referee : Damian Sylwestrzak

Starting XI ▼

77
Damian Weglarz
Damian Weglarz Goalkeeper
6.92
3
Serafin Szota
Serafin Szota Defender
6.89
29
Michal Marcjanik
Michal Marcjanik Defender
6.82
94
Dawid Gojny
Dawid Gojny (C) Defender
7.49
7
O. Kubiak
O. Kubiak Midfielder
6.79
8
Alassane Sidibe
Alassane Sidibe Midfielder
6.21
10
Aurélien Nguiamba
Aurélien Nguiamba
Midfielder62'
6.54
11
Dawid Kocyla
Dawid Kocyla Midfielder
6.71
35
Kamil Jakubczyk
Kamil Jakubczyk Midfielder
7.5
19
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
Vladislavs Gutkovskis Attacker
6.77
31
Nazariy Rusyn
Nazariy Rusyn
Attacker76'
6.59
21
Patryk Szysz
Patryk Szysz Attacker
6.74
37
Sebastian Kerk
Sebastian Kerk Attacker
7.04
Referee : Damian Sylwestrzak

Starting XI ▼

1
Bartlomiej Dragowski
Bartlomiej Dragowski Goalkeeper
6.72
4
Mateusz Zyro
Mateusz Zyro (C) Defender
7.33
25
Przemysław Wiśniewski
Przemysław Wiśniewski Defender
7.26
53
Steve Kapuadi
Steve Kapuadi Defender
6.41
6
Juljan Shehu
Juljan Shehu Midfielder
7.48
17
Christopher Cheng
Christopher Cheng Midfielder
6.84
7
Mariusz Fornalczyk
Mariusz Fornalczyk
Midfielder81'
6.41
21
Lukas Lerager
Lukas Lerager Midfielder
6.95
91
Marcel Krajewski
Marcel Krajewski Midfielder
6.57
8
Emil Kornvig
Emil Kornvig Attacker
6.76
10
Fran Álvarez
Fran Álvarez Attacker
6.72
3
Samuel Kozlovský
Samuel Kozlovský
Defender81'
6.55
99
Sebastian Bergier
Sebastian Bergier Attacker
6.63

Events

2ND-HALF
81'
Event
Samuel Kozlovský → Fran Álvarez
4th Substitution
81'
Event
Mariusz Fornalczyk → Christopher Cheng
3rd Substitution
Event
Nazariy Rusyn → Vladislavs Gutkovskis
2nd Substitution
76'
73'
Event
Marcel Krajewski
Penalty disallowed
Event
Dawid Kocyla
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
71'
Event
Aurélien Nguiamba → Alassane Sidibe
1st Substitution
62'
59'
Event
Lukas Lerager
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
59'
Event
4th Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Alassane Sidibe
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
9'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Widzew Lodz exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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